AZ Alkmaar 3–3 NAC Breda — pronostico pre-gara — Eredivisie — 17 Maggio 2026

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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34 17 Maggio 2026 14:30 AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

#5 · 20 pts

3 – 3

Risultato finale

NAC Breda

✗Modello errato — pronostico AZ Alkmaar, risultato Pareggio

S. Mijnans (ass. T. Parrott) 8'

M. Chavez Garcia (ass. S. Mijnans) 12'

M. Meerdink (ass. Weslley Patati) 90'

61' (ass. C. Valerius) M. Soumano

71' (ass. F. Jensen) M. Soumano

89' (ass. C. Valerius) J. Talvitie

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Il pronostico pre-gara di ForzaPitch assegnava a AZ Alkmaar il 67% di probabilità di vittoria (pareggio 20%, NAC Breda 11%). Il risultato finale è stato AZ Alkmaar 3–3 NAC Breda. Nei 1 precedenti diretti, AZ Alkmaar ha vinto 1 volte, 0 pareggi e NAC Breda 0 vittorie.

Statistiche partita

Tiri totali

Tiri in porta

1.45

xG reale

2.08

Parate

55%

Possesso

45%

Corner

Contrasti

🟨 Ammonizioni

Cronaca

⚽S. Mijnans · ass. T. Parrott

⚽M. Chavez Garcia · ass. S. Mijnans

12'

↕ T. Parrott / M. Meerdink

37'

54'

J. Candelaria / K. Sowah ↕

55'

C. Brym / P. Reulen ↕

55'

J. Talvitie / E. Mahmutovic ↕

↕ I. Jensen / Weslley Patati

57'

↕ M. Chavez Garcia / D. Kasius

57'

59'

R. Hillen

61'

ass. C. Valerius · M. Soumano⚽

68'

L. Holtby / B. Ghalidi ↕

68'

A. Ayew / C. Leemans ↕

↕ J. Clasie / K. Boogaard

70'

↕ R. Daal / A. Oufkir

70'

71'

ass. F. Jensen · M. Soumano⚽

M. Meerdink

85'

89'

ass. C. Valerius · J. Talvitie⚽

⚽M. Meerdink · ass. Weslley Patati

90'

Previsione pre-partita

67.88%

20.86%

X ←

11.26%

NAC

✗ Pronostico errato — al risultato reale (Pareggio) avevamo assegnato 20.86% (bassa confidenza)

xG previsto vs reale

Prev.

Reale

1.80

1.45

-0.35

NAC

0.54

2.08

+1.54

NAC Breda ha dominato per xG (2.08 vs 1.45). Il risultato finale non riflette il dominio nel gioco. Le stime xG del modello si sono discostate dalla realtà.

Classifica

#	Squadra	G	Pts
1	Feyenoord	10	24
2	Ajax	10	21
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	20
4	Twente	10	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	20
6	Fortuna Sittard	10	18
7	Heerenveen	10	15
8	Groningen	10	15
9	GO Ahead Eagles	10	14
10	Cambuur	10	12
11	Utrecht	10	12
12	NEC Nijmegen	10	11
13	Excelsior	10	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	9
15	PEC Zwolle	10	8
16	Telstar	10	6
17	ADO Den Haag	10	6
18	Willem II	10	2

Formazioni

AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1

R. Owusu-Oduro G 8.90

M. Chávez 1 ⚽ 57' D 7.90

Alexandre Penetra D 7.20

W. Goes D 6.30

E. Dijkstra D 6.90

P. Koopmeiners M 6.30

J. Clasie 70' M 7.20

R. Daal 70' M 7.20

S. Mijnans 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.60

I. Jensen 57' M 6.90

T. Parrott 1 👟 37' F 7.00

Panchina

A. Oufkir 20' F 6.70

B. Kovacs F

B. van Duijl D

D. Kasius 33' D 6.30

I. Sadiq F

Jeroen Zoet G

Kasper Boogaard 20' M 6.20

M. Meerdink 1 ⚽ 53' F 7.20

M. Šín M

R. Ichihara D

S. Maikuma D

Weslley Patati 1 👟 33' F 7.20

NAC Breda 4-4-2

D. Bielica G 7.20

R. Hillen D 6.90

F. Oldrup Jensen 1 👟 D 6.90

E. Mahmutović 55' D 6.00

Cherrion Valerius 2 👟 D 7.90

Kamal Sowah 54' M 6.90

Clint Leemans 68' M 7.30

Maximilien Balard M 6.90

Brahim Ghalidi 68' M 6.70

M. Soumano 2 ⚽ F 8.30

P. Reulen 55' F 6.50

Panchina

André Ayew 22' F 6.30

B. Kemper D

C. Brym 35' F 6.70

Jayden Candelaria 36' D 6.70

Juho Talvitie 1 ⚽ 35' F 8.20

Kostas Lamprou G

L. Holtby 22' M 6.70

Roy Kortsmit G

Thomas Goos G

Migliori in campo

R. Owusu-Oduro

G · AZ

8.90

· 26 pass

S. Mijnans

M · AZ

8.60

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 tiri · 49 pass

M. Soumano

F · NAC

8.30

2 ⚽

5 tiri · 26 pass

Juho Talvitie

F · NAC

8.20

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 16 pass

M. Chávez

D · AZ

7.90

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 26 pass

Cherrion Valerius

D · NAC

7.90

2 👟

· 33 pass

AZ Alkmaar — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
R. Owusu-Oduro	G	90	8.90	—	—	—	26	17%	—	—	—
M. Chávez	D	57	7.90	1	—	1	26	20%	3	—	—
Alexandre Penetra	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	38	35%	1	—	—
W. Goes	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	48	43%	1	—	—
E. Dijkstra	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	38	34%	5	—	—
P. Koopmeiners	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	43	36%	2	—	—
J. Clasie	M	70	7.20	—	—	1	40	37%	1	—	—
R. Daal	M	70	7.20	—	—	1	24	20%	1	—	—
S. Mijnans	M	90	8.60	1	1	3	49	43%	2	—	—
I. Jensen	M	57	6.90	—	—	—	20	19%	—	—	—
T. Parrott	F	37	7.00	—	1	—	15	12%	—	—	—
A. Oufkir	F	20	6.70	—	—	1	9	5%	—	—	—
D. Kasius	D	33	6.30	—	—	—	15	15%	1	—	—
Kasper Boogaard	M	20	6.20	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
M. Meerdink	F	53	7.20	1	—	3	12	8%	—	1	—
Weslley Patati	F	33	7.20	—	1	1	15	13%	1	—	—

NAC Breda — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
D. Bielica	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	22	12%	—	—	—
R. Hillen	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	34	26%	4	1	—
F. Oldrup Jensen	D	90	6.90	—	1	—	49	46%	3	—	—
E. Mahmutović	D	55	6.00	—	—	1	19	18%	—	—	—
Cherrion Valerius	D	90	7.90	—	2	—	33	25%	4	—	—
Kamal Sowah	M	54	6.90	—	—	1	24	18%	1	—	—
Clint Leemans	M	68	7.30	—	—	3	40	38%	—	—	—
Maximilien Balard	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	31%	3	—	—
Brahim Ghalidi	M	68	6.70	—	—	—	20	18%	—	—	—
M. Soumano	F	90	8.30	2	—	5	26	21%	1	—	—
P. Reulen	F	55	6.50	—	—	1	9	9%	—	—	—
André Ayew	F	22	6.30	—	—	1	5	5%	—	—	—
C. Brym	F	35	6.70	—	—	—	15	14%	—	—	—
Jayden Candelaria	D	36	6.70	—	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
Juho Talvitie	F	35	8.20	1	—	1	16	11%	3	—	—
L. Holtby	M	22	6.70	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—

Domande frequenti

Qual è stato il risultato finale di AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?

Il risultato finale è stato AZ Alkmaar 3–3 NAC Breda.

Cosa aveva previsto il modello per AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?

Il modello aveva assegnato al AZ Alkmaar una probabilità del 67%, pareggio 20%, vittoria NAC Breda 11%.