AZ Alkmaar 3–3 NAC Breda — pronostico pre-gara — Eredivisie — 17 Maggio 2026

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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34 17 Maggio 2026 14:30 AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

#7 · 52 pts

3 – 3

Risultato finale

NAC Breda

#17 · 29 pts

✗Modello errato — pronostico AZ Alkmaar, risultato Pareggio

S. Mijnans (ass. T. Parrott) 8'

M. Chavez Garcia (ass. S. Mijnans) 12'

M. Meerdink (ass. Weslley Patati) 90'

61' (ass. C. Valerius) M. Soumano

71' (ass. F. Jensen) M. Soumano

89' (ass. C. Valerius) J. Talvitie

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Il pronostico pre-gara di ForzaPitch assegnava a AZ Alkmaar il 67% di probabilità di vittoria (pareggio 20%, NAC Breda 11%). Il risultato finale è stato AZ Alkmaar 3–3 NAC Breda. Nei 1 precedenti diretti, AZ Alkmaar ha vinto 1 volte, 0 pareggi e NAC Breda 0 vittorie.

Statistiche partita

Tiri totali

Tiri in porta

1.45

xG reale

2.08

Parate

55%

Possesso

45%

Corner

Contrasti

🟨 Ammonizioni

Cronaca

⚽S. Mijnans · ass. T. Parrott

⚽M. Chavez Garcia · ass. S. Mijnans

12'

↕ T. Parrott / M. Meerdink

37'

54'

J. Candelaria / K. Sowah ↕

55'

C. Brym / P. Reulen ↕

55'

J. Talvitie / E. Mahmutovic ↕

↕ I. Jensen / Weslley Patati

57'

↕ M. Chavez Garcia / D. Kasius

57'

59'

R. Hillen

61'

ass. C. Valerius · M. Soumano⚽

68'

L. Holtby / B. Ghalidi ↕

68'

A. Ayew / C. Leemans ↕

↕ J. Clasie / K. Boogaard

70'

↕ R. Daal / A. Oufkir

70'

71'

ass. F. Jensen · M. Soumano⚽

M. Meerdink

85'

89'

ass. C. Valerius · J. Talvitie⚽

⚽M. Meerdink · ass. Weslley Patati

90'

Previsione pre-partita

67.88%

20.86%

X ←

11.26%

NAC

✗ Pronostico errato — al risultato reale (Pareggio) avevamo assegnato 20.86% (bassa confidenza)

xG previsto vs reale

Prev.

Reale

1.80

1.45

-0.35

NAC

0.54

2.08

+1.54

NAC Breda ha dominato per xG (2.08 vs 1.45). Il risultato finale non riflette il dominio nel gioco. Le stime xG del modello si sono discostate dalla realtà.

Classifica

#	Squadra	G	Pts
1	Roda	1	1
1	Willem II	1	3
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	84
2	Feyenoord	34	65
2	Waalwijk	1	1
2	Waalwijk	1	0
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	59
4	Twente	34	58
5	Ajax	34	56
6	Utrecht	34	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	52
8	Heerenveen	34	51
9	Groningen	34	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	38
13	Excelsior	34	38
14	Telstar	34	37
15	PEC Zwolle	34	37
16	FC Volendam	34	32
17	NAC Breda	34	29
18	Heracles	34	19

Formazioni

AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1

Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro G 8.90

Mateo Chávez 1 ⚽ 57' D 7.90

Alexandre Penetra D 7.20

W. Goes D 6.30

Elijah Dijkstra D 6.90

Peer Koopmeiners M 6.30

Jordy Clasie 70' M 7.20

R. Daal 70' M 7.20

S. Mijnans 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.60

I. Jensen 57' M 6.90

T. Parrott 1 👟 37' F 7.00

Panchina

Ayoub Oufkir 20' F 6.70

Bendegúz Kovács F

Billy van Duijl D

Denso Kasius 33' D 6.30

I. Sadiq F

Jeroen Zoet G

K. Boogaard 20' M 6.20

Matěj Šín M

Mexx Meerdink 1 ⚽ 53' F 7.20

Rion Ichihara D

Seiya Maikuma D

Weslley Patati 1 👟 33' F 7.20

NAC Breda 4-4-2

Daniel Bielica G 7.20

R. Hillen D 6.90

Fredrik Jensen 1 👟 D 6.90

Enes Mahmutović 55' D 6.00

Cherrion Valerius 2 👟 D 7.90

Kamal Sowah 54' M 6.90

Clint Leemans 68' M 7.30

Maximilien Balard M 6.90

Brahim Ghalidi 68' M 6.70

Moussa Soumano 2 ⚽ F 8.30

Pepijn Reulen 55' F 6.50

Panchina

André Ayew 22' F 6.30

Boy Kemper D

Charles-Andreas Brym 35' F 6.70

Jayden Candelaria 36' D 6.70

Juho Talvitie 1 ⚽ 35' F 8.20

Kostas Lamprou G

L. Holtby 22' M 6.70

Roy Kortsmit G

Thomas Goos G

Migliori in campo

Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro

G · AZ

8.90

· 26 pass

S. Mijnans

M · AZ

8.60

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 tiri · 49 pass

Moussa Soumano

F · NAC

8.30

2 ⚽

5 tiri · 26 pass

Juho Talvitie

F · NAC

8.20

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 16 pass

Mateo Chávez

D · AZ

7.90

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 26 pass

Cherrion Valerius

D · NAC

7.90

2 👟

· 33 pass

AZ Alkmaar — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro	G	90	8.90	—	—	—	26	17%	—	—	—
Mateo Chávez	D	57	7.90	1	—	1	26	20%	3	—	—
Alexandre Penetra	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	38	35%	1	—	—
W. Goes	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	48	43%	1	—	—
Elijah Dijkstra	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	38	34%	5	—	—
Peer Koopmeiners	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	43	36%	2	—	—
Jordy Clasie	M	70	7.20	—	—	1	40	37%	1	—	—
R. Daal	M	70	7.20	—	—	1	24	20%	1	—	—
S. Mijnans	M	90	8.60	1	1	3	49	43%	2	—	—
I. Jensen	M	57	6.90	—	—	—	20	19%	—	—	—
T. Parrott	F	37	7.00	—	1	—	15	12%	—	—	—
Ayoub Oufkir	F	20	6.70	—	—	1	9	5%	—	—	—
Denso Kasius	D	33	6.30	—	—	—	15	15%	1	—	—
K. Boogaard	M	20	6.20	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
Mexx Meerdink	F	53	7.20	1	—	3	12	8%	—	1	—
Weslley Patati	F	33	7.20	—	1	1	15	13%	1	—	—

NAC Breda — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
Daniel Bielica	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	22	12%	—	—	—
R. Hillen	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	34	26%	4	1	—
Fredrik Jensen	D	90	6.90	—	1	—	49	46%	3	—	—
Enes Mahmutović	D	55	6.00	—	—	1	19	18%	—	—	—
Cherrion Valerius	D	90	7.90	—	2	—	33	25%	4	—	—
Kamal Sowah	M	54	6.90	—	—	1	24	18%	1	—	—
Clint Leemans	M	68	7.30	—	—	3	40	38%	—	—	—
Maximilien Balard	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	31%	3	—	—
Brahim Ghalidi	M	68	6.70	—	—	—	20	18%	—	—	—
Moussa Soumano	F	90	8.30	2	—	5	26	21%	1	—	—
Pepijn Reulen	F	55	6.50	—	—	1	9	9%	—	—	—
André Ayew	F	22	6.30	—	—	1	5	5%	—	—	—
Charles-Andreas Brym	F	35	6.70	—	—	—	15	14%	—	—	—
Jayden Candelaria	D	36	6.70	—	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
Juho Talvitie	F	35	8.20	1	—	1	16	11%	3	—	—
L. Holtby	M	22	6.70	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—

Domande frequenti

Qual è stato il risultato finale di AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?

Il risultato finale è stato AZ Alkmaar 3–3 NAC Breda.

Cosa aveva previsto il modello per AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?

Il modello aveva assegnato al AZ Alkmaar una probabilità del 67%, pareggio 20%, vittoria NAC Breda 11%.