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ForzaPitch — Football Analytics

August 04, 2026 131 left today
61.7% 1X2 accuracy · 1,491 Predictions last 3 months · 223 Active leagues How the model works → →
Top match
Champions League
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb #25
vs
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Dinamo Zagreb 48.1% Draw 25.15% Kauno Žalgiris 26.75%
xG  1.73 – 1.15 Full analysis →

More key matches

Matches →
Champions League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
FK Crvena Zvezda
1 29.36%
X 22.15%
2 48.49%
Champions League
Union St. Gilloise
Bodo/Glimt
1 45.05%
X 22.65%
2 32.3%
Champions League
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
1 40.78%
X 26.15%
2 33.07%
Champions League
Mjallby AIF
Slovan Bratislava
1 35.15%
X 25.21%
2 39.64%
Champions League
Levski Sofia
Kairat Almaty
1 42.37%
X 30.42%
2 27.2%

League Table

ELO Ranking →
Form Last 5
Best attack Goals per match
Best defense Goals conceded per match

Season projections

Leagues →
Bundesliga Pre-season
Title race
Bayern München 16%
Borussia Dortmund 13%
Bayer Leverkusen 10%
Champions League
Bayern München 46%
Borussia Dortmund 41%
Bayer Leverkusen 36%
RB Leipzig 32%
Relegation zone
Werder Bremen 25%
1. FC Köln 24%
Eintracht Frankfurt 19%
Newcomers
FC Schalke 04 2. Bundesliga
SV Elversberg 2. Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07 2. Bundesliga
Eredivisie Pre-season
Title race
ADO Den Haag 11%
PSV Eindhoven 10%
Willem II 7%
Champions League
ADO Den Haag 28%
PSV Eindhoven 26%
Willem II 21%
Cambuur 19%
Relegation zone
PEC Zwolle 17%
Fortuna Sittard 17%
Sparta Rotterdam 16%
Newcomers
Cambuur Eerste Divisie
ADO Den Haag Eerste Divisie
La Liga Pre-season
Title race
Barcelona 25%
Real Madrid 18%
Atletico Madrid 7%
Champions League
Barcelona 60%
Real Madrid 52%
Atletico Madrid 29%
Real Betis 27%
Relegation zone
Sevilla 26%
Espanyol 26%
Osasuna 23%
Newcomers
Malaga Segunda División
Racing Santander Segunda División
Deportivo La Coruna Segunda División
Ligue 1 Pre-season
Title race
Paris Saint Germain 12%
Lyon 9%
Rennes 9%
Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 38%
Rennes 31%
Lyon 30%
Lille 29%
Relegation zone
Angers 34%
Stade Brestois 29 29%
Le Havre 27%
Newcomers
Le Mans Ligue 2
Estac Troyes Ligue 2
Premier League Pre-season
Title race
Manchester City 20%
Manchester United 11%
Aston Villa 9%
Champions League
Manchester City 53%
Manchester United 37%
Aston Villa 32%
Arsenal 31%
Relegation zone
Tottenham 25%
Everton 25%
Crystal Palace 22%
Newcomers
Coventry Championship
Hull City Championship
Ipswich Championship
Serie A Pre-season
Title race
Inter 20%
Como 11%
AS Roma 10%
Champions League
Inter 53%
Como 38%
AS Roma 34%
Juventus 30%
Relegation zone
Lecce 31%
Cagliari 28%
Genoa 26%
Newcomers
Frosinone Serie B
Monza Serie B
Venezia Serie B

Top performers

ForzaPitch Awards →
🧤 Goalkeepers →
  • 1
    David De Gea
    David De Gea Fiorentina
    7.17
  • 2
    Mostafa Makhlouf
    Mostafa Makhlouf Future FC
    7.11
  • 3
    Raúl Rangel
    Raúl Rangel Mexico
    7.02
  • 4
    David Raya
    David Raya Arsenal
    6.84
  • 5
    Nikita Haikin
    Nikita Haikin Bodo/Glimt
    6.81
🛡️ Defenders →
  • 1
    Fredrik Sjøvold
    Fredrik Sjøvold Bodo/Glimt
    7.72
  • 2
    Odin Luras Bjørtuft
    Odin Luras Bjørtuft Bodo/Glimt
    7.67
  • 3
    N. Schlotterbeck
    N. Schlotterbeck Borussia Dortmund
    7.60
  • 4
    Fredrik Holmé
    Fredrik Holmé Fredrikstad
    7.56
  • 5
    R. Manning
    R. Manning Southampton
    7.53
⚙️ Midfielders →
  • 1
    C. Tzolis
    C. Tzolis Club Brugge KV
    8.60
  • 2
    Z. Tripić
    Z. Tripić Viking
    8.24
  • 3
    Jordan Larsson
    Jordan Larsson FC Copenhagen
    7.94
  • 4
    Lamine Yamal
    Lamine Yamal Barcelona
    7.87
  • 5
    Carles Gil
    Carles Gil New England Revolution
    7.86
⚽ Forwards →
  • 1
    L. Messi
    L. Messi Argentina
    9.14
  • 2
    Evander
    Evander FC Cincinnati
    8.86
  • 3
    Cryzan
    Cryzan Shandong Luneng
    8.66
  • 4
    K. Kvaratskhelia
    K. Kvaratskhelia Paris Saint Germain
    8.51
  • 5
    O. Dembélé
    O. Dembélé Paris Saint Germain
    8.45

In form

last 6 weeks · min. 3 matches
  • 1 Lucas Ocampos
    Lucas Ocampos Monterrey
    8.8 rat.
  • 2 Agustin Campana
    Agustin Campana Macara
    8.6 rat.
  • 3 Michael Estrada
    Michael Estrada LDU de Quito
    8.5 rat.
  • 4 Franco Posse
    Franco Posse Macara
    8.5 rat.
  • 5 Bruno Nazário
    Bruno Nazário Henan Jianye
    8.5 rat.
  • 6 Marcel Hartel
    Marcel Hartel St. Louis City
    8.4 rat.
  • 7 L. Messi
    L. Messi Argentina
    8.4 rat.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is ForzaPitch?
ForzaPitch is a statistical football analytics platform providing Poisson-model predictions, expected goals (xG), Elo rankings and Monte Carlo season projections for ~170 leagues worldwide. All predictions include a publicly verifiable accuracy record.
How are football predictions calculated?
Predictions use a Poisson model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction, blended with Elo-derived probabilities. Inputs include offensive and defensive indices, recent form (exponential decay over 8 matches), rest factor, weather conditions and a dynamic bookmaker market signal.
How accurate is the ForzaPitch prediction model?
Global accuracy is tracked match by match and publicly displayed on the Model page. Each league is calibrated independently using a Brier Skill Score optimizer, and per-league accuracy is shown on every league page.
How many football leagues does ForzaPitch cover?
ForzaPitch covers ~170 football leagues and cup competitions worldwide, including the top European leagues, Champions League, World Cup and competitions from South America, Asia and Africa.
What does the Over 1.5 goals probability mean?
The Over 1.5 probability estimates the chance that a match produces at least 2 goals. It blends Poisson xG estimates with historical goals-involvement rates and clean-sheet rates for each team at their home or away venue.