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ForzaPitch — Football Analytics

September 18, 2026 602 left today
62.3% 1X2 accuracy · 1,280 Predictions last 3 months · 225 Active leagues How the model works → →
Top match
Superettan
Falkenbergs FF
Falkenbergs FF #2
vs
#3 Ostersunds FK
Ostersunds FK
Falkenbergs FF 42.54% Draw 36.27% Ostersunds FK 21.19%
xG  0.83 – 0.44 Full analysis →

More key matches

Matches →
Bundesliga
Bayern München
Union Berlin
1 47.62%
X 26.41%
2 25.97%
Ligue 1
Monaco
Lens
1 33.88%
X 32.46%
2 33.66%
La Liga
Espanyol
Elche
1 43.7%
X 27.74%
2 28.56%
Serie A
Monza
Sassuolo
1 39.36%
X 28.34%
2 32.3%
Premier League
Brentford
Chelsea
1 35.42%
X 30.08%
2 34.5%

League Table

ELO Ranking →
Form Last 5
Best attack Goals per match
Best defense Goals conceded per match

Season projections

Leagues →
Bundesliga
Title race
Bayern München 38%
Borussia Dortmund 32%
SC Freiburg 19%
Champions League
Bayern München 89%
Borussia Dortmund 86%
SC Freiburg 76%
FC Augsburg 44%
Relegation zone
Hamburger SV 72%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 46%
Union Berlin 36%
Eredivisie
Title race
PSV Eindhoven 73%
Feyenoord 9%
AZ Alkmaar 9%
Champions League
Feyenoord 61%
Ajax 61%
AZ Alkmaar 60%
Twente 16%
Relegation zone
Willem II 53%
PEC Zwolle 51%
ADO Den Haag 40%
La Liga
Title race
Barcelona 87%
Real Madrid 13%
Champions League
Atletico Madrid 73%
Real Betis 61%
Sevilla 22%
Alaves 17%
Relegation zone
Malaga 62%
Elche 61%
Osasuna 45%
Ligue 1
Title race
Lille 23%
Monaco 21%
Paris FC 16%
Champions League
Lille 67%
Monaco 65%
Paris FC 58%
Rennes 57%
Relegation zone
Nice 48%
Auxerre 47%
Le Havre 41%
Premier League
Title race
Arsenal 55%
Manchester City 37%
Brighton 3%
Champions League
Manchester City 94%
Brighton 46%
Leeds 38%
Hull City 26%
Relegation zone
Tottenham 50%
Crystal Palace 44%
Fulham 41%
Serie A
Title race
AS Roma 61%
Inter 27%
Como 10%
Champions League
Como 85%
Frosinone 27%
Juventus 21%
Lazio 17%
Relegation zone
Venezia 73%
Genoa 57%
Parma 49%

Top performers

ForzaPitch Awards →
🧤 Goalkeepers →
  • 1
    David Raya
    David Raya Arsenal
    7.05
  • 2
    B. Özer
    B. Özer Lille
    6.95
  • 3
    Everson
    Everson Atletico-MG
    6.95
  • 4
    J. Rangel
    J. Rangel Guadalajara Chivas
    6.95
  • 5
    D. Melián
    D. Melián Sport Boys
    6.93
🛡️ Defenders →
  • 1
    N. Schlotterbeck
    N. Schlotterbeck Borussia Dortmund
    7.57
  • 2
    T. Harwood-Bellis
    T. Harwood-Bellis Southampton
    7.52
  • 3
    M. Osipenko
    M. Osipenko Dynamo
    7.47
  • 4
    F. Sjøvold
    F. Sjøvold Bodo/Glimt
    7.47
  • 5
    J. Bednarek
    J. Bednarek FC Porto
    7.45
⚙️ Midfielders →
  • 1
    Z. Tripić
    Z. Tripić Viking
    8.22
  • 2
    C. Tzolis
    C. Tzolis Club Brugge KV
    8.06
  • 3
    M. Olise
    M. Olise Bayern München
    7.82
  • 4
    L. Paredes
    L. Paredes Boca Juniors
    7.78
  • 5
    J. Larsson
    J. Larsson FC Copenhagen
    7.77
⚽ Forwards →
  • 1
    L. Messi
    L. Messi Inter Miami
    9.11
  • 2
    Evander
    Evander FC Cincinnati
    8.75
  • 3
    Cryzan
    Cryzan Shandong Luneng
    8.66
  • 4
    S. Essende
    S. Essende BSC Young Boys
    8.55
  • 5
    Kylian Mbappé
    Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid
    8.50

In form

last 6 weeks · min. 3 matches
  • 1 Raphinha
    Raphinha Barcelona
    8.8 rat.
  • 2 Marko Tolić
    Marko Tolić Hangzhou Greentown
    8.7 rat.
  • 3 V. Osimhen
    V. Osimhen Galatasaray
    8.5 rat.
  • 4 Gianluca Prestianni
    Gianluca Prestianni Benfica
    8.5 rat.
  • 5 Kylian Mbappé
    Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid
    8.5 rat.
  • 6 Lamine Yamal
    Lamine Yamal Barcelona
    8.5 rat.
  • 7 M. Zabiri
    M. Zabiri Racing Santander
    8.5 rat.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is ForzaPitch?
ForzaPitch is a statistical football analytics platform providing Poisson-model predictions, expected goals (xG), Elo rankings and Monte Carlo season projections for ~170 leagues worldwide. All predictions include a publicly verifiable accuracy record.
How are football predictions calculated?
Predictions use a Poisson model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction, blended with Elo-derived probabilities. Inputs include offensive and defensive indices, recent form (exponential decay over 8 matches), rest factor, weather conditions and a dynamic bookmaker market signal.
How accurate is the ForzaPitch prediction model?
Global accuracy is tracked match by match and publicly displayed on the Model page. Each league is calibrated independently using a Brier Skill Score optimizer, and per-league accuracy is shown on every league page.
How many football leagues does ForzaPitch cover?
ForzaPitch covers ~170 football leagues and cup competitions worldwide, including the top European leagues, Champions League, World Cup and competitions from South America, Asia and Africa.
What does the Over 1.5 goals probability mean?
The Over 1.5 probability estimates the chance that a match produces at least 2 goals. It blends Poisson xG estimates with historical goals-involvement rates and clean-sheet rates for each team at their home or away venue.