ForzaPitch — Football Analytics

June 15, 2026 25 left today

61.6% 1X2 accuracy · 2,166 Predictions last 3 months · 222 Active leagues How the model works → →

Top match

World Cup 18:00

Spain #1

#2 Cape Verde Islands

Spain 47.68% Draw 25.41% Cape Verde Islands 26.9%

More key matches

Matches →

League Table

ELO Ranking →

Form Last 5

1 Arsenal
Premier
2 Villarreal
La
3 Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
4 AS Roma
Serie
5 PSV Eindhoven
Eredivisie

Best attack Goals per match

1 Bayern München 3.59
Bundesliga
2 PSV Eindhoven 3.03
Eredivisie
3 Paris Saint Germain 2.71
Ligue
4 Barcelona 2.68
La
5 Inter 2.34
Serie

Best defense Goals conceded per match

1 Burnley 0.35
Championship
2 Arsenal 0.71
Premier
3 Napoli 0.71
Serie
4 Athletic Club 0.76
La
5 Como 0.76
Serie

Season projections

Leagues →

Paris Saint Germain 100%

Atletico Paranaense 56%

Top performers

ForzaPitch Awards →

🧤 Goalkeepers →

1

Moritz Nicolas Borussia Mönchengladbach
7.89
2

Matt Turner New England Revolution
7.81
3

David De Gea Fiorentina
7.72
4

Shuichi Gonda Vissel Kobe
7.68
5

David Lazar AFC Hermannstadt
7.67

🛡️ Defenders →

1

F. Sjøvold Bodo/Glimt
7.80
2

J. Laporte Montpellier
7.73
3

C. Montes Lokomotiv
7.71
4

C. Nwaiwu Trabzonspor
7.67
5

N. Schlotterbeck Borussia Dortmund
7.66

⚙️ Midfielders →

1

C. Tzolis Club Brugge KV
8.60
2

Z. Tripić Viking
8.55
3

L. Paredes Boca Juniors
8.24
4

J. Larsson FC Copenhagen
8.08
5

W. Ferry Dundee Utd
8.01

⚽ Forwards →

1

L. Messi Inter Miami
8.79
2

Evander FC Cincinnati
8.46
3

Cryzan Shandong Luneng
8.31
4

Vinícius Júnior Real Madrid
8.27
5

O. Dembélé Paris Saint Germain
7.98

In form

last 6 weeks · min. 3 matches

1
L. Messi Inter Miami
9.2 rat.
2
C. Tzolis Club Brugge KV
8.5 rat.
3
Cryzan Shandong Luneng
8.7 rat.
4
A. Hadj-Moussa Feyenoord
8.5 rat.
5
J. Doku Manchester City
8.5 rat.
6
Evander FC Cincinnati
8.5 rat.
7
Z. Tripić Viking
8.5 rat.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is ForzaPitch?

ForzaPitch is a statistical football analytics platform providing Poisson-model predictions, expected goals (xG), Elo rankings and Monte Carlo season projections for ~170 leagues worldwide. All predictions include a publicly verifiable accuracy record.

How are football predictions calculated?

Predictions use a Poisson model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction, blended with Elo-derived probabilities. Inputs include offensive and defensive indices, recent form (exponential decay over 8 matches), rest factor, weather conditions and a dynamic bookmaker market signal.

How accurate is the ForzaPitch prediction model?

Global accuracy is tracked match by match and publicly displayed on the Model page. Each league is calibrated independently using a Brier Skill Score optimizer, and per-league accuracy is shown on every league page.

How many football leagues does ForzaPitch cover?

ForzaPitch covers ~170 football leagues and cup competitions worldwide, including the top European leagues, Champions League, World Cup and competitions from South America, Asia and Africa.

What does the Over 1.5 goals probability mean?

The Over 1.5 probability estimates the chance that a match produces at least 2 goals. It blends Poisson xG estimates with historical goals-involvement rates and clean-sheet rates for each team at their home or away venue.