Cardiff 5–1 Watford — pronostico pre-gara — Championship — 13 Ottobre 2026

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Championship · Regular Season - 10 13 Ottobre 2026 20:45 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Cardiff

#16 · 14 pts

5 – 1

Risultato finale

Watford

#21 · 11 pts

✓Modello corretto — pronostico Cardiff

Jack Moylan 11' (rig.)

Jack Moylan (ass. C. Ashford) 35'

Matthew Pollock 41' (aut.)

Ollie·Tanner (ass. Perry Tian Hee Ng) 45'+5

Callum Robinson (ass. David Turnbull) 85'

87' (ass. Iker Bravo) Hector Kyprianou

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Il pronostico pre-gara di ForzaPitch assegnava a Cardiff il 53% di probabilità di vittoria (pareggio 25%, Watford 21%). Il risultato finale è stato Cardiff 5–1 Watford.

Statistiche partita

Tiri totali

Tiri in porta

3.75

xG reale

1.52

Parate

58%

Possesso

42%

Corner

Contrasti

🟨 Ammonizioni

Cronaca

Martin Payero

⚽Jack Moylan (rig.)

11'

↕ Dylan Lawlor / William Fish

29'

⚽Jack Moylan · ass. C. Ashford

35'

⚽Matthew Pollock (aut.)

41'

⚽Ollie·Tanner · ass. Perry Tian Hee Ng

45'+5

56'

Mamadou Doumbia / Myron Boadu ↕

56'

Marc Bola / Jordan Zemura ↕

56'

Amin Nabizada / Stephy Mavididi ↕

⚽Christopher Willock (rig. sbagliato)

65'

67'

Iker Bravo / Martin Payero ↕

↕ Jack Moylan / David Turnbull

69'

↕ Christopher Willock / Calum Scanlon

69'

Krépin Diatta / Othmane Maamma ↕

73'

Edo Kayembe

↕ Ollie·Tanner / Callum Robinson

82'

↕ Joel Bagan / Isaak Davies

82'

⚽Callum Robinson · ass. David Turnbull

85'

86'

Amin Nabizada

Perry Tian Hee Ng

86'

87'

ass. Iker Bravo · Hector Kyprianou⚽

90'+5

Hector Kyprianou

Previsione pre-partita

53.21%

Cardiff ←

25.69%

21.09%

Watford

✓ Pronostico corretto — al risultato reale (Cardiff) avevamo assegnato 53.21% (media confidenza)

xG previsto vs reale

Prev.

Reale

Cardiff

1.98

3.75

+1.77

Watford

0.72

1.52

+0.81

Cardiff ha dominato per xG (3.75 vs 1.52). Il risultato finale riflette il dominio nel gioco. Le stime xG del modello si sono discostate dalla realtà.

Classifica

#	Squadra	G	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	25
2	Swansea	12	23
3	West Ham	12	22
4	Wolves	12	21
5	West Brom	12	21
6	Southampton	12	20
7	Birmingham	12	20
8	QPR	12	20
9	Stoke City	12	20
10	Blackburn	12	18
11	Portsmouth	12	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	16
13	Millwall	12	15
14	Bristol City	12	15
15	Lincoln	12	15
16	Cardiff	12	14
17	Wrexham	12	14
18	Bolton	12	14
19	Charlton	12	14
20	Norwich	12	12
21	Watford	12	11
22	Burnley	12	8
23	Derby	12	7
24	Preston	12	5

Formazioni

Cardiff 4-2-3-1

N. Trott G 6.65

J. Bagan 82' D 6.87

G. Osho D 7.23

D. Lawlor 29' D 7.10

P. Ng 1 👟 D 7.06

Cian Ashford 1 👟 M 7.48

A. Robertson M 7.20

C. Willock 69' M 6.35

J. Colwill M 6.67

O. Tanner 1 ⚽ 82' M 8.20

J. Moylan 2 ⚽ 69' F 8.06

Panchina

C. Robinson 1 ⚽ 8' F 7.39

C. Scanlon 21' D 6.25

D. Turnbull 1 👟 21' M 6.77

H. Tyrer G 0.00

I. Davies 8' F 6.50

P. Moreno M 0.00

R. Kpakio D 0.00

W. Fish 61' D 6.99

Watford 4-2-3-1

F. Ravaglia G 6.62

J. Zemura 56' D 5.78

K. Keben D 5.63

M. Pollock 1 ⚽ D 4.86

O. Traoré D 5.76

H. Kyprianou 1 ⚽ M 7.33

E. Kayembe M 6.14

S. Mavididi 56' M 6.08

M. Payero 67' M 5.56

O. Maamma 69' M 6.03

M. Boadu 56' F 6.46

Panchina

Amin Nabizada 34' F 6.18

Branimir Mlačić D 0.00

D. Bachmann G 0.00

Iker Bravo 1 👟 23' F 6.70

K. Diatta 21' M 5.93

L. Kjerrumgaard F 0.00

M. Bola 34' D 5.65

M. Doumbia 34' F 6.19

S. Coulibaly D 0.00

Migliori in campo

O. Tanner

M · Cardiff

8.20

1 ⚽

5 tiri · 29 pass

J. Moylan

F · Cardiff

8.06

2 ⚽

8 tiri · 14 pass

Cian Ashford

M · Cardiff

7.48

1 👟

1 tiri · 22 pass

C. Robinson

F · Cardiff

7.39

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 5 pass

H. Kyprianou

M · Watford

7.33

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 37 pass

G. Osho

D · Cardiff

7.23

1 tiri · 72 pass

Cardiff — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
N. Trott	G	90	6.65	—	—	0	56	46%	0	—	—
J. Bagan	D	82	6.87	—	—	1	33	27%	1	—	—
G. Osho	D	90	7.23	—	—	1	72	64%	0	—	—
D. Lawlor	D	29	7.10	—	—	1	24	24%	0	—	—
P. Ng	D	90	7.06	—	1	1	46	39%	3	1	—
Cian Ashford	M	90	7.48	—	1	1	22	18%	1	—	—
A. Robertson	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	78	72%	0	—	—
C. Willock	M	69	6.35	—	—	1	22	21%	0	—	—
J. Colwill	M	90	6.67	—	—	0	34	32%	1	—	—
O. Tanner	M	82	8.20	1	—	5	29	26%	1	—	—
J. Moylan	F	69	8.06	2	—	8	14	8%	0	—	—
C. Robinson	F	8	7.39	1	—	1	5	4%	0	—	—
C. Scanlon	D	21	6.25	—	—	0	6	4%	0	—	—
D. Turnbull	M	21	6.77	—	1	1	15	13%	1	—	—
I. Davies	F	8	6.50	—	—	0	1	1%	0	—	—
W. Fish	D	61	6.99	—	—	0	37	31%	1	—	—

Watford — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
F. Ravaglia	G	90	6.62	—	—	0	33	27%	0	—	—
J. Zemura	D	56	5.78	—	—	2	13	8%	1	—	—
K. Keben	D	90	5.63	—	—	0	42	35%	3	—	—
M. Pollock	D	90	4.86	1	—	0	39	34%	1	—	—
O. Traoré	D	90	5.76	—	—	0	38	29%	4	—	—
H. Kyprianou	M	90	7.33	1	—	1	37	29%	3	1	—
E. Kayembe	M	90	6.14	—	—	2	30	25%	3	1	—
S. Mavididi	M	56	6.08	—	—	1	15	12%	0	—	—
M. Payero	M	67	5.56	—	—	2	24	18%	0	1	—
O. Maamma	M	69	6.03	—	—	2	19	12%	2	—	—
M. Boadu	F	56	6.46	—	—	1	15	12%	0	—	—
Amin Nabizada	F	34	6.18	—	—	0	13	9%	2	1	—
Iker Bravo	F	23	6.70	—	1	1	5	4%	0	—	—
K. Diatta	M	21	5.93	—	—	0	10	8%	1	—	—
M. Bola	D	34	5.65	—	—	0	18	14%	0	—	—
M. Doumbia	F	34	6.19	—	—	2	7	6%	0	—	—

Domande frequenti

Qual è stato il risultato finale di Cardiff vs Watford?

Il risultato finale è stato Cardiff 5–1 Watford.

Cosa aveva previsto il modello per Cardiff vs Watford?

Il modello aveva assegnato al Cardiff una probabilità del 53%, pareggio 25%, vittoria Watford 21%.