Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 03 Maggio 2026 15:30 Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. Pauli

1 – 2

Risultato finale

FSV Mainz 05

#7 · 4 pts

✓Modello corretto — pronostico FSV Mainz 05

A. Ceesay (ass. M. Kaars) 87'

6' (ass. S. Becker) P. Tietz

40' (ass. S. Widmer) P. Mwene

Il pronostico pre-gara di ForzaPitch assegnava a FSV Mainz 05 il 58% di probabilità di vittoria (pareggio 21%, FC St. Pauli 19%). Il risultato finale è stato FC St. Pauli 1–2 FSV Mainz 05. Nei 1 precedenti diretti, FC St. Pauli ha vinto 0 volte, 1 pareggi e FSV Mainz 05 0 vittorie.

Statistiche partita

8

Tiri totali

10

3

Tiri in porta

6

0.86

xG reale

2.35

3

Parate

1

52%

Possesso

48%

7

Corner

7

14

Contrasti

15

3

🟨 Ammonizioni

1

Cronaca

6'

ass. S. Becker · P. Tietz⚽

40'

ass. S. Widmer · P. Mwene⚽

↕ L. Ritzka / A. Dzwigala

46'

↕ D. Sinani / C. Metcalfe

46'

↕ E. Smith / A. Ceesay

65'

↕ A. Hountondji / M. Kaars

65'

68'

D. Batz

72'

A. Sieb / S. Becker ↕

76'

D. Kohr / K. Potulski ↕

77'

A. Caci / S. Widmer ↕

84'

L. Maloney / N. Amiri ↕

84'

N. Weiper / P. Tietz ↕

↕ J. Irvine / M. Rasmussen

84'

⚽A. Ceesay · ass. M. Kaars

87'

K. Mets

88'

C. Metcalfe

90'+1

A. Ceesay

90'+4

Previsione pre-partita

19.87%

FC

21.57%

X

58.56%

FSV ←

✓ Pronostico corretto — al risultato reale (FSV Mainz 05) avevamo assegnato 58.56% (media confidenza)

xG previsto vs reale

Prev.

Reale

Δ

FC

0.82

0.86

+0.04

FSV

1.87

2.35

+0.48

FSV Mainz 05 ha dominato per xG (2.35 vs 0.86). Il risultato finale riflette il dominio nel gioco. Le stime xG del modello erano accurate.

Classifica

#	Squadra	G	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	3	9
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	9
3	FC Augsburg	3	7
4	SV Elversberg	2	6
5	Bayern München	2	4
6	Bayer Leverkusen	3	4
7	FSV Mainz 05	3	4
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	4
9	Werder Bremen	3	4
10	FC Schalke 04	3	4
11	1. FC Köln	3	4
12	RB Leipzig	2	3
13	1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	3
15	SC Paderborn 07	3	1
16	Union Berlin	3	1
17	Hamburger SV	2	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0

Formazioni

FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1

22

G 6.20

3 K. Mets D 6.90

5

D 6.20

15 T. Ando D 7.20

21 L. Ritzka 45' M 7.20

8 E. Smith 65' M 6.50

7 J. Irvine 84' M 6.90

11

M 6.30

16 J. Fujita F 7.00

10 D. Sinani 45' F 6.20

27 A. Hountondji 65' F 6.20

Panchina

9 Abdoulie Ceesay 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.70

24 C. Metcalfe 45' M 6.70

23 L. Oppie D

19 M. Kaars 1 👟 25' F 6.90

20 M. Rasmussen 12' M 6.90

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

33 D. Batz G 6.60

48 K. Potulski 76' D 7.00

4 S. Posch D 7.00

21 D. da Costa D 7.00

2 P. Mwene 1 ⚽ M 8.20

10 N. Amiri 84' M 7.20

6 K. Sano M 7.20

8 P. Nebel M 6.30

30 S. Widmer 1 👟 77' M 7.30

20 P. Tietz 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.20

23 S. Becker 1 👟 72' F 6.50

Panchina

19 A. Caci 13' D 6.50

11 A. Sieb 18' F 6.30

31 D. Kohr 14' M 6.60

22 N. Veratschnig D

44 N. Weiper 12' F 6.70

27 R. Zentner G

24 S. Kawasaki M

Migliori in campo

P. Mwene

M · FSV

8.20

1 ⚽

3 tiri · 26 pass

Abdoulie Ceesay

F · FC

7.70

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 5 pass

S. Widmer

M · FSV

7.30

1 👟

· 41 pass

K. Sano

M · FSV

7.20

· 56 pass

N. Amiri

M · FSV

7.20

1 tiri · 39 pass

P. Tietz

F · FSV

7.20

1 ⚽

3 tiri · 23 pass

FC St. Pauli — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	20	16%	—	—	—
K. Mets	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	80	69%	—	1	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	73	65%	—	—	—
T. Ando	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	58	52%	2	—	—
L. Ritzka	M	45	7.20	—	—	1	14	12%	3	—	—
E. Smith	M	65	6.50	—	—	—	42	31%	2	—	—
J. Irvine	M	84	6.90	—	—	1	32	25%	1	—	—
	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	28%	2	—	—
J. Fujita	F	90	7.00	—	—	1	35	31%	3	—	—
D. Sinani	F	45	6.20	—	—	—	19	13%	—	—	—
A. Hountondji	F	65	6.20	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—
Abdoulie Ceesay	F	25	7.70	1	—	1	5	4%	—	1	—
C. Metcalfe	M	45	6.70	—	—	1	16	12%	1	1	—
M. Kaars	F	25	6.90	—	1	1	10	8%	—	—	—
M. Rasmussen	M	12	6.90	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—

FSV Mainz 05 — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
D. Batz	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	32	21%	—	1	—
K. Potulski	D	76	7.00	—	—	—	40	34%	3	—	—
S. Posch	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	63	52%	3	—	—
D. da Costa	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	60	51%	2	—	—
P. Mwene	M	90	8.20	1	—	3	26	19%	1	—	—
N. Amiri	M	84	7.20	—	—	1	39	32%	1	—	—
K. Sano	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	56	48%	—	—	—
P. Nebel	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	41	36%	2	—	—
S. Widmer	M	77	7.30	—	1	—	41	38%	2	—	—
P. Tietz	F	84	7.20	1	—	3	23	13%	—	—	—
S. Becker	F	72	6.50	—	1	1	12	9%	—	—	—
A. Caci	D	13	6.50	—	—	—	11	8%	1	—	—
A. Sieb	F	18	6.30	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
D. Kohr	M	14	6.60	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
N. Weiper	F	12	6.70	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—