Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 25 Aprile 2026 15:30 Mewa Arena, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05

#10 · 40 pts

3 – 4

Risultato finale

Bayern München

#1 · 89 pts

✓Modello corretto — pronostico Bayern München

D. Kohr (ass. K. Sano) 15'

P. Nebel 29'

S. Becker 45'+2

53' (ass. K. Laimer) N. Jackson

73' (ass. K. Laimer) M. Olise

80' J. Musiala

83' H. Kane

Il pronostico pre-gara di ForzaPitch assegnava a Bayern München il 62% di probabilità di vittoria (pareggio 17%, FSV Mainz 05 20%). Il risultato finale è stato FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern München. Nei 1 precedenti diretti, FSV Mainz 05 ha vinto 0 volte, 1 pareggi e Bayern München 0 vittorie.

Statistiche partita

15

Tiri totali

10

8

Tiri in porta

6

2.29

xG reale

1.97

2

Parate

5

30%

Possesso

70%

2

Corner

4

21

Contrasti

13

1

🟨 Ammonizioni

1

Cronaca

⚽D. Kohr · ass. K. Sano

15'

D. Kohr

20'

⚽P. Nebel

29'

33'

K. Laimer

⚽S. Becker

45'+2

46'

H. Kane / A. Pavlovic ↕

46'

M. Olise / L. Diaz ↕

53'

ass. K. Laimer · N. Jackson⚽

57'

J. Stanisic / A. Davies ↕

57'

J. Musiala / R. Guerreiro ↕

↕ S. Becker / A. Sieb

71'

73'

ass. K. Laimer · M. Olise⚽

77'

J. Tah / B. Ndiaye ↕

↕ N. Amiri / L. Maloney

79'

↕ S. Widmer / A. Caci

80'

80'

J. Musiala⚽

83'

H. Kane⚽

↕ D. Kohr / N. Weiper

86'

↕ P. Nebel / W. Boving

87'

90'+8

M. Olise

Previsione pre-partita

20.4%

FSV

17.03%

X

62.58%

Bayern ←

✓ Pronostico corretto — al risultato reale (Bayern München) avevamo assegnato 62.58% (alta confidenza)

xG previsto vs reale

Prev.

Reale

Δ

FSV

1.76

2.29

+0.53

Bayern

3.08

1.97

-1.11

FSV Mainz 05 ha dominato per xG (2.29 vs 1.97). Il risultato finale non riflette il dominio nel gioco. Le stime xG del modello si sono discostate dalla realtà.

Classifica

#	Squadra	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Köln	34	32
15	Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli	34	26

Formazioni

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

33 Daniel Batz G 6.30

31 D. Kohr 1 ⚽ 85' D 6.60

4 Stefan Posch D 5.90

21 Danny da Costa D 5.90

2 Phillipp Mwene M 6.60

10 N. Amiri 79' M 7.00

6

Kaishu Sano 1 👟 M 7.30

8 P. Nebel 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.00

30 Silvan Widmer 80' M 6.90

20 Phillip Tietz F 7.30

23 S. Becker 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.70

Panchina

19 Anthony Caci 16' D 6.30

11 Armindo Sieb 25' F 6.50

48

Kacper Potulski D

44 Nelson Weiper 11' F 6.20

22 Nikolas Veratschnig D

27 Robin Zentner G

24 Sota Kawasaki M

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

40

G 7.20

19 Alphonso Davies 57' D 6.00

21

Hiroki Itō D 6.70

3 Kim Min-Jae D 6.70

27 K. Laimer 2 👟 D 6.90

45 A. Pavlović 45' M 6.70

39 Bara Sapoko Ndiaye 77' M 6.90

14 L. Díaz 45' M 6.20

8 L. Goretzka M 7.20

22 Raphaël Guerreiro 57' M 5.60

11 N. Jackson 1 ⚽ F 7.70

Panchina

9 H. Kane 1 ⚽ 51' F 7.30

10 J. Musiala 1 ⚽ 39' M 7.30

44 Josip Stanišić 39' D 6.30

4 J. Tah 19' D 6.30

1 M. Neuer G

17 M. Olise 1 ⚽ 51' M 8.20

Migliori in campo

M. Olise

M · Bayern

8.20

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 31 pass

N. Jackson

F · Bayern

7.70

1 ⚽

3 tiri · 26 pass

S. Becker

F · FSV

7.70

1 ⚽

4 tiri · 11 pass

J. Musiala

M · Bayern

7.30

1 ⚽

2 tiri · 13 pass

H. Kane

F · Bayern

7.30

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 9 pass

Kaishu Sano

M · FSV

7.30

1 👟

1 tiri · 22 pass

FSV Mainz 05 — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
Daniel Batz	G	96	6.30	—	—	—	25	14%	—	—	—
D. Kohr	D	85	6.60	1	—	1	23	21%	1	1	—
Stefan Posch	D	96	5.90	—	—	1	37	27%	4	—	—
Danny da Costa	D	96	5.90	—	—	—	23	17%	1	—	—
Phillipp Mwene	M	96	6.60	—	—	—	23	18%	2	—	—
N. Amiri	M	79	7.00	—	—	4	15	14%	—	—	—
Kaishu Sano	M	96	7.30	—	1	1	22	19%	4	—	—
P. Nebel	M	85	7.00	1	—	2	20	14%	3	—	—
Silvan Widmer	M	80	6.90	—	—	1	10	8%	2	—	—
Phillip Tietz	F	96	7.30	—	—	—	15	11%	1	—	—
S. Becker	F	71	7.70	1	—	4	11	9%	1	—	—
Anthony Caci	D	16	6.30	—	—	—	7	5%	2	—	—
Armindo Sieb	F	25	6.50	—	—	1	6	5%	—	—	—
Nelson Weiper	F	11	6.20	—	—	—	5	3%	—	—	—

Bayern München — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
	G	96	7.20	—	—	—	26	21%	—	—	—
Alphonso Davies	D	57	6.00	—	—	1	31	30%	—	—	—
Hiroki Itō	D	96	6.70	—	—	—	78	75%	1	—	—
Kim Min-Jae	D	96	6.70	—	—	—	98	92%	1	—	—
K. Laimer	D	96	6.90	—	2	1	68	64%	1	1	—
A. Pavlović	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	48	48%	—	—	—
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye	M	77	6.90	—	—	—	62	58%	4	—	—
L. Díaz	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	23	17%	—	—	—
L. Goretzka	M	96	7.20	—	—	—	48	42%	2	—	—
Raphaël Guerreiro	M	57	5.60	—	—	1	27	21%	—	—	—
N. Jackson	F	96	7.70	1	—	3	26	18%	2	—	—
H. Kane	F	51	7.30	1	—	1	9	6%	—	—	—
J. Musiala	M	39	7.30	1	—	2	13	13%	1	—	—
Josip Stanišić	D	39	6.30	—	—	—	17	16%	1	—	—
J. Tah	D	19	6.30	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—
M. Olise	M	51	8.20	1	—	1	31	23%	—	—	—