Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 09 Maggio 2026 15:30

RB Leipzig

#3 · 65 pts

2 – 1

Risultato finale

FC St. Pauli

#18 · 26 pts

✓Modello corretto — pronostico RB Leipzig

X. Schlager (ass. C. Baumgartner) 45'

W. Orban (ass. D. Raum) 55'

86' (ass. J. Irvine) A. Ceesay

Il pronostico pre-gara di ForzaPitch assegnava a RB Leipzig il 86% di probabilità di vittoria (pareggio 8%, FC St. Pauli 5%). Il risultato finale è stato RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli. Nei 1 precedenti diretti, RB Leipzig ha vinto 0 volte, 1 pareggi e FC St. Pauli 0 vittorie.

Statistiche partita

9

Tiri totali

4

3

Tiri in porta

2

1.32

xG reale

0.52

1

Parate

1

71%

Possesso

29%

3

Corner

5

13

Contrasti

23

2

🟨 Ammonizioni

0

Cronaca

C. Lukeba

20'

⚽X. Schlager · ass. C. Baumgartner

45'

C. Baumgartner

51'

⚽W. Orban · ass. D. Raum

55'

64'

H. Wahl / L. Ritzka ↕

64'

F. Stevens / L. Oppie ↕

↕ A. Ouedraogo / N. Seiwald

69'

↕ D. Raum / M. Finkgrafe

69'

72'

A. Ceesay / A. Hountondji ↕

↕ B. Gruda / A. Nusa

80'

86'

ass. J. Irvine · A. Ceesay⚽

89'

M. Rasmussen / E. Smith ↕

89'

D. Sinani / C. Metcalfe ↕

↕ R. Baku / B. Henrichs

90'+2

Previsione pre-partita

86.58%

RB ←

8.32%

X

5.11%

FC

✓ Pronostico corretto — al risultato reale (RB Leipzig) avevamo assegnato 86.58% (alta confidenza)

xG previsto vs reale

Prev.

Reale

Δ

RB

3.58

1.32

-2.26

FC

0.69

0.52

-0.17

RB Leipzig ha dominato per xG (1.32 vs 0.52). Il risultato finale riflette il dominio nel gioco. Le stime xG del modello si sono discostate dalla realtà.

Classifica

#	Squadra	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	33	86
2	Borussia Dortmund	33	70
3	RB Leipzig	33	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	33	61
5	1899 Hoffenheim	33	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	33	58
7	SC Freiburg	33	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	43
9	FC Augsburg	33	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	33	37
11	Hamburger SV	33	37
12	Union Berlin	33	36
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach	33	35
14	1. FC Köln	33	32
15	Werder Bremen	33	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	33	26
17	1. FC Heidenheim	33	26
18	FC St. Pauli	33	26

Formazioni

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

26

87' G 6.30

22 D. Raum 1 👟 69' D 7.30

23

C. Lukeba 87' D 7.20

4 W. Orbán 1 ⚽ 87' D 9.00

17

R. Baku 87' D 6.90

14 C. Baumgartner 1 👟 87' M 6.30

24

Xaver Schlager 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.90

20

A. Ouedraogo 69' M 6.30

49

Y. Diomande 87' F 7.30

40

Romulo Cardoso 87' F 6.30

10

B. Gruda 79' F 7.00

Panchina

7 A. Nusa 8' M 6.50

11

C. Harder F

5

E. Bitshiabu D

16

L. Klostermann D

35

M. Finkgrafe 18' D 6.30

13

Nicolas Seiwald 18' M 6.30

FC St. Pauli 3-5-2

22

87' G 6.90

21

L. Ritzka 64' D 6.30

8

E. Smith 87' D 6.20

15

Tomoya Ando 87' D 6.90

23

L. Oppie 64' M 6.50

16

J. Fujita 87' M 7.00

7

Jackson Irvine 1 👟 87' M 7.00

24

C. Metcalfe 87' M 6.20

11

87' M 6.60

27

A. Hountondji 72' F 6.30

19

M. Kaars 87' F 6.30

Panchina

9

A. Ceesay 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.20

10 D. Sinani F

20

M. Rasmussen M

Migliori in campo

W. Orbán

D · RB

9.00

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 140 pass

Xaver Schlager

M · RB

7.90

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 64 pass

D. Raum

D · RB

7.30

1 👟

· 63 pass

Y. Diomande

F · RB

7.30

· 32 pass

A. Ceesay

F · FC

7.20

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 4 pass

C. Lukeba

D · RB

7.20

· 116 pass

RB Leipzig — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
	G	87	6.30	—	—	—	28	24%	—	—	—
D. Raum	D	69	7.30	—	1	—	63	60%	—	—	—
C. Lukeba	D	87	7.20	—	—	—	116	109%	3	1	—
W. Orbán	D	87	9.00	1	—	1	140	136%	1	—	—
R. Baku	D	87	6.90	—	—	—	81	68%	2	—	—
C. Baumgartner	M	87	6.30	—	1	3	48	40%	2	1	—
Xaver Schlager	M	87	7.90	1	—	1	64	57%	2	—	—
A. Ouedraogo	M	69	6.30	—	—	1	21	19%	—	—	—
Y. Diomande	F	87	7.30	—	—	—	32	25%	1	—	—
Romulo Cardoso	F	87	6.30	—	—	1	9	8%	2	—	—
B. Gruda	F	79	7.00	—	—	2	32	23%	—	—	—
A. Nusa	M	8	6.50	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
M. Finkgrafe	D	18	6.30	—	—	—	19	17%	—	—	—
Nicolas Seiwald	M	18	6.30	—	—	—	21	20%	—	—	—

FC St. Pauli — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
	G	87	6.90	—	—	—	28	16%	—	—	—
L. Ritzka	D	64	6.30	—	—	—	20	16%	2	—	—
E. Smith	D	87	6.20	—	—	1	28	20%	1	—	—
Tomoya Ando	D	87	6.90	—	—	—	32	27%	2	—	—
L. Oppie	M	64	6.50	—	—	1	16	11%	1	—	—
J. Fujita	M	87	7.00	—	—	—	26	23%	8	—	—
Jackson Irvine	M	87	7.00	—	1	—	19	13%	7	—	—
C. Metcalfe	M	87	6.20	—	—	—	21	14%	—	—	—
	M	87	6.60	—	—	—	21	14%	1	—	—
A. Hountondji	F	72	6.30	—	—	—	15	11%	1	—	—
M. Kaars	F	87	6.30	—	—	1	23	15%	—	—	—
A. Ceesay	F	15	7.20	1	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—