Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 09 Maggio 2026 15:30 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig

#3 · 65 pts

2 – 1

Risultato finale

FC St. Pauli

#18 · 26 pts

✓Modello corretto — pronostico RB Leipzig

X. Schlager (ass. C. Baumgartner) 45'

W. Orban (ass. D. Raum) 55'

86' (ass. J. Irvine) A. Ceesay

Il pronostico pre-gara di ForzaPitch assegnava a RB Leipzig il 86% di probabilità di vittoria (pareggio 8%, FC St. Pauli 5%). Il risultato finale è stato RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli. Nei 1 precedenti diretti, RB Leipzig ha vinto 0 volte, 1 pareggi e FC St. Pauli 0 vittorie.

Statistiche partita

9

Tiri totali

4

3

Tiri in porta

2

1.32

xG reale

0.52

1

Parate

1

71%

Possesso

29%

3

Corner

5

13

Contrasti

23

2

🟨 Ammonizioni

0

Cronaca

C. Lukeba

20'

⚽X. Schlager · ass. C. Baumgartner

45'

C. Baumgartner

51'

⚽W. Orban · ass. D. Raum

55'

64'

H. Wahl / L. Ritzka ↕

64'

F. Stevens / L. Oppie ↕

↕ A. Ouedraogo / N. Seiwald

69'

↕ D. Raum / M. Finkgrafe

69'

72'

A. Ceesay / A. Hountondji ↕

↕ B. Gruda / A. Nusa

80'

86'

ass. J. Irvine · A. Ceesay⚽

89'

M. Rasmussen / E. Smith ↕

89'

D. Sinani / C. Metcalfe ↕

↕ R. Baku / B. Henrichs

90'+2

Previsione pre-partita

86.58%

RB ←

8.32%

X

5.11%

FC

✓ Pronostico corretto — al risultato reale (RB Leipzig) avevamo assegnato 86.58% (alta confidenza)

xG previsto vs reale

Prev.

Reale

Δ

RB

3.58

1.32

-2.26

FC

0.69

0.52

-0.17

RB Leipzig ha dominato per xG (1.32 vs 0.52). Il risultato finale riflette il dominio nel gioco. Le stime xG del modello si sono discostate dalla realtà.

Classifica

#	Squadra	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Köln	34	32
15	Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli	34	26

Formazioni

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

26

87' G 6.30

22 D. Raum 1 👟 69' D 7.30

23 Castello Lukeba 87' D 7.20

4 W. Orbán 1 ⚽ 87' D 9.00

17 Ridle Baku 87' D 6.90

14 C. Baumgartner 1 👟 87' M 6.30

24 Xaver Schlager 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.90

20 A. Ouédraogo 69' M 6.30

49 Y. Diomande 87' F 7.30

40 Rômulo 87' F 6.30

10 Brajan Gruda 79' F 7.00

Panchina

7 Antonio Nusa 8' M 6.50

11 Conrad Harder F

5 El Chadaille Bitshiabu D

16

L. Klostermann D

35 Max Finkgräfe 18' D 6.30

13 Nicolas Seiwald 18' M 6.30

FC St. Pauli 3-5-2

22

87' G 6.90

21 Lars Ritzka 64' D 6.30

8 E. Smith 87' D 6.20

15 Tomoya Ando 87' D 6.90

23 Louis Oppie 64' M 6.50

16 Joel Chima Fujita 87' M 7.00

7 J. Irvine 1 👟 87' M 7.00

24 C. Metcalfe 87' M 6.20

11

87' M 6.60

27 Andreas Hountondji 72' F 6.30

19 Martijn Kaars 87' F 6.30

Panchina

9 Abdoulie Ceesay 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.20

10 D. Sinani F

20 Mathias Rasmussen M

Migliori in campo

W. Orbán

D · RB

9.00

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 140 pass

Xaver Schlager

M · RB

7.90

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 64 pass

D. Raum

D · RB

7.30

1 👟

· 63 pass

Y. Diomande

F · RB

7.30

· 32 pass

Abdoulie Ceesay

F · FC

7.20

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 4 pass

Castello Lukeba

D · RB

7.20

· 116 pass

RB Leipzig — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
	G	87	6.30	—	—	—	28	24%	—	—	—
D. Raum	D	69	7.30	—	1	—	63	60%	—	—	—
Castello Lukeba	D	87	7.20	—	—	—	116	109%	3	1	—
W. Orbán	D	87	9.00	1	—	1	140	136%	1	—	—
Ridle Baku	D	87	6.90	—	—	—	81	68%	2	—	—
C. Baumgartner	M	87	6.30	—	1	3	48	40%	2	1	—
Xaver Schlager	M	87	7.90	1	—	1	64	57%	2	—	—
A. Ouédraogo	M	69	6.30	—	—	1	21	19%	—	—	—
Y. Diomande	F	87	7.30	—	—	—	32	25%	1	—	—
Rômulo	F	87	6.30	—	—	1	9	8%	2	—	—
Brajan Gruda	F	79	7.00	—	—	2	32	23%	—	—	—
Antonio Nusa	M	8	6.50	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Max Finkgräfe	D	18	6.30	—	—	—	19	17%	—	—	—
Nicolas Seiwald	M	18	6.30	—	—	—	21	20%	—	—	—

FC St. Pauli — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
	G	87	6.90	—	—	—	28	16%	—	—	—
Lars Ritzka	D	64	6.30	—	—	—	20	16%	2	—	—
E. Smith	D	87	6.20	—	—	1	28	20%	1	—	—
Tomoya Ando	D	87	6.90	—	—	—	32	27%	2	—	—
Louis Oppie	M	64	6.50	—	—	1	16	11%	1	—	—
Joel Chima Fujita	M	87	7.00	—	—	—	26	23%	8	—	—
J. Irvine	M	87	7.00	—	1	—	19	13%	7	—	—
C. Metcalfe	M	87	6.20	—	—	—	21	14%	—	—	—
	M	87	6.60	—	—	—	21	14%	1	—	—
Andreas Hountondji	F	72	6.30	—	—	—	15	11%	1	—	—
Martijn Kaars	F	87	6.30	—	—	1	23	15%	—	—	—
Abdoulie Ceesay	F	15	7.20	1	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—