Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 09 Maggio 2026 15:30 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig

#10 · 3 pts

2 – 1

Risultato finale

FC St. Pauli

✓Modello corretto — pronostico RB Leipzig

X. Schlager (ass. C. Baumgartner) 45'

W. Orban (ass. D. Raum) 55'

86' (ass. J. Irvine) A. Ceesay

Il pronostico pre-gara di ForzaPitch assegnava a RB Leipzig il 86% di probabilità di vittoria (pareggio 8%, FC St. Pauli 5%). Il risultato finale è stato RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli. Nei 1 precedenti diretti, RB Leipzig ha vinto 0 volte, 1 pareggi e FC St. Pauli 0 vittorie.

Statistiche partita

9

Tiri totali

4

3

Tiri in porta

2

1.32

xG reale

0.52

1

Parate

1

71%

Possesso

29%

3

Corner

5

13

Contrasti

23

2

🟨 Ammonizioni

0

Cronaca

C. Lukeba

20'

⚽X. Schlager · ass. C. Baumgartner

45'

C. Baumgartner

51'

⚽W. Orban · ass. D. Raum

55'

64'

H. Wahl / L. Ritzka ↕

64'

F. Stevens / L. Oppie ↕

↕ A. Ouedraogo / N. Seiwald

69'

↕ D. Raum / M. Finkgrafe

69'

72'

A. Ceesay / A. Hountondji ↕

↕ B. Gruda / A. Nusa

80'

86'

ass. J. Irvine · A. Ceesay⚽

89'

M. Rasmussen / E. Smith ↕

89'

D. Sinani / C. Metcalfe ↕

↕ R. Baku / B. Henrichs

90'+2

Previsione pre-partita

86.58%

RB ←

8.32%

X

5.11%

FC

✓ Pronostico corretto — al risultato reale (RB Leipzig) avevamo assegnato 86.58% (alta confidenza)

xG previsto vs reale

Prev.

Reale

Δ

RB

3.58

1.32

-2.26

FC

0.69

0.52

-0.17

RB Leipzig ha dominato per xG (1.32 vs 0.52). Il risultato finale riflette il dominio nel gioco. Le stime xG del modello si sono discostate dalla realtà.

Classifica

#	Squadra	G	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	3	9
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	9
3	FC Augsburg	3	7
4	SV Elversberg	2	6
5	Bayern München	2	4
6	Bayer Leverkusen	3	4
7	FSV Mainz 05	3	4
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	4
9	FC Schalke 04	3	4
10	RB Leipzig	2	3
11	1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
12	Werder Bremen	2	3
13	VfB Stuttgart	3	3
14	1. FC Köln	2	3
15	SC Paderborn 07	3	1
16	Union Berlin	3	1
17	Hamburger SV	2	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0

Formazioni

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

26

87' G 6.30

22 D. Raum 1 👟 69' D 7.30

23 C. Lukeba 87' D 7.20

4 W. Orbán 1 ⚽ 87' D 9.00

17 R. Baku 87' D 6.90

14 C. Baumgartner 1 👟 87' M 6.30

24 X. Schlager 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.90

20 A. Ouédraogo 69' M 6.30

49 Y. Diomande 87' F 7.30

40 Rômulo 87' F 6.30

10 B. Gruda 79' F 7.00

Panchina

7 A. Nusa 8' M 6.50

11 C. Harder F

5 E. Bitshiabu D

16 L. Klostermann D

35 Max Finkgräfe 18' D 6.30

13 N. Seiwald 18' M 6.30

FC St. Pauli 3-5-2

22

87' G 6.90

21 L. Ritzka 64' D 6.30

8 E. Smith 87' D 6.20

15 T. Ando 87' D 6.90

23 L. Oppie 64' M 6.50

16 J. Fujita 87' M 7.00

7 J. Irvine 1 👟 87' M 7.00

24 C. Metcalfe 87' M 6.20

11

87' M 6.60

27 A. Hountondji 72' F 6.30

19 M. Kaars 87' F 6.30

Panchina

9 Abdoulie Ceesay 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.20

10 D. Sinani F

20 M. Rasmussen M

Migliori in campo

W. Orbán

D · RB

9.00

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 140 pass

X. Schlager

M · RB

7.90

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 64 pass

D. Raum

D · RB

7.30

1 👟

· 63 pass

Y. Diomande

F · RB

7.30

· 32 pass

Abdoulie Ceesay

F · FC

7.20

1 ⚽

1 tiri · 4 pass

C. Lukeba

D · RB

7.20

· 116 pass

RB Leipzig — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
	G	87	6.30	—	—	—	28	24%	—	—	—
D. Raum	D	69	7.30	—	1	—	63	60%	—	—	—
C. Lukeba	D	87	7.20	—	—	—	116	109%	3	1	—
W. Orbán	D	87	9.00	1	—	1	140	136%	1	—	—
R. Baku	D	87	6.90	—	—	—	81	68%	2	—	—
C. Baumgartner	M	87	6.30	—	1	3	48	40%	2	1	—
X. Schlager	M	87	7.90	1	—	1	64	57%	2	—	—
A. Ouédraogo	M	69	6.30	—	—	1	21	19%	—	—	—
Y. Diomande	F	87	7.30	—	—	—	32	25%	1	—	—
Rômulo	F	87	6.30	—	—	1	9	8%	2	—	—
B. Gruda	F	79	7.00	—	—	2	32	23%	—	—	—
A. Nusa	M	8	6.50	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Max Finkgräfe	D	18	6.30	—	—	—	19	17%	—	—	—
N. Seiwald	M	18	6.30	—	—	—	21	20%	—	—	—

FC St. Pauli — Statistiche giocatori

Squadra	Pos	Min	Voto	⚽	👟	Tiri	Pass	Acc%	Contr	GF	GR
	G	87	6.90	—	—	—	28	16%	—	—	—
L. Ritzka	D	64	6.30	—	—	—	20	16%	2	—	—
E. Smith	D	87	6.20	—	—	1	28	20%	1	—	—
T. Ando	D	87	6.90	—	—	—	32	27%	2	—	—
L. Oppie	M	64	6.50	—	—	1	16	11%	1	—	—
J. Fujita	M	87	7.00	—	—	—	26	23%	8	—	—
J. Irvine	M	87	7.00	—	1	—	19	13%	7	—	—
C. Metcalfe	M	87	6.20	—	—	—	21	14%	—	—	—
	M	87	6.60	—	—	—	21	14%	1	—	—
A. Hountondji	F	72	6.30	—	—	—	15	11%	1	—	—
M. Kaars	F	87	6.30	—	—	1	23	15%	—	—	—
Abdoulie Ceesay	F	15	7.20	1	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—