MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 14, 2026 01:30
✗Modelo incorrecto — pronóstico CF Montreal, resultado Pareggio
D. Rios
(ast. M. Longstaff)
11'
W. Carmona
(ast. M. Longstaff)
45'
21'
(ast. K. Velde)
K. Kelsy
77'
C. Bassett
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a CF Montreal un 56% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 22%, Portland Timbers 21%). El resultado final fue CF Montreal 2–2 Portland Timbers.
Estadísticas del partido
15
Tiros totales
8
8
Tiros a puerta
3
1.85
xG real
1.99
1
Paradas
6
43%
Posesión
57%
6
Córners
9
11
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
1
Crónica
9'
D. Chara
/
J. Caicedo
⚽D. Rios
· ast. M. Longstaff
11'
21'
ast. K. Velde ·
K. Kelsy⚽
O. Escobar
/ S. Piette
35'
⚽W. Carmona
· ast. M. Longstaff
45'
59'
Antony
/
A. Aravena
59'
I. Smith
/
J. Fory
J. Neal
68'
D. Rios
/ P. Owusu
69'
W. Carmona
/ Ivan Jaime
69'
77'
C. Bassett⚽
P. Owusu
79'
M. Longstaff
81'
82'
F. Mora
/
K. Kelsy
83'
C. Bassett
N. Streit
/ M. Opoku
88'
D. Thorhallsson
/ D. Bugaj
88'
P. Eullaffroy
90'+3
D. Rios
90'+3
Predicción previa
56.07%
CF
22.66%
X ←
21.27%
Portland
✗ Pronóstico incorrecto —
asignamos al resultado real (Empate)
22.66%
(baja confianza)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
2.43
1.85
-0.58
0.96
1.99
+1.03
La dominancia xG fue equilibrada (1.85 – 1.99).
El resultado final refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo se desviaron de la realidad.
Alineaciones
31
Thomas Gillier
G
Thomas Gillier
G
13
Luca Petrasso
D
Luca Petrasso
D
4
Brayan Vera
D
Brayan Vera
D
2
Jalen Neal
D
Jalen Neal
D
17
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
88'
D
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
88'
D
8
Matthew Longstaff
2 👟
M
Matthew Longstaff
2 👟
M
22
Victor Loturi
M
Victor Loturi
M
29
Olger Escobar
35'
M
Olger Escobar
35'
M
23
Noah Streit
87'
F
Noah Streit
87'
F
14
Daniel Rios
1 ⚽
69'
F
Daniel Rios
1 ⚽
69'
F
16
Wikelman Carmona
1 ⚽
69'
F
Wikelman Carmona
1 ⚽
69'
F
Banquillo
5
Brandan Craig
D
Brandan Craig
D
27
Dawid Bugaj
7'
D
Dawid Bugaj
7'
D
24
Efraín Morales
D
Efraín Morales
D
25
Frankie Amaya
M
Frankie Amaya
M
10
Iván Jaime
26'
M
Iván Jaime
26'
M
7
Kwadwo Opoku
8'
F
Kwadwo Opoku
8'
F
9
Prince Owusu
26'
F
Prince Owusu
26'
F
6
Samuel Piette
60'
M
Samuel Piette
60'
M
1
Sebastian Breza
G
Sebastian Breza
G
41
James Pantemis
G
James Pantemis
G
27
Jímer Fory
59'
D
Jímer Fory
59'
D
4
Kamal Miller
D
Kamal Miller
D
20
Finn Surman
D
Finn Surman
D
5
Brandon Bye
D
Brandon Bye
D
30
José Caicedo
9'
M
José Caicedo
9'
M
17
Cole Bassett
1 ⚽
M
Cole Bassett
1 ⚽
M
28
Alexander Aravena
59'
M
Alexander Aravena
59'
M
10
David Pereira Da Costa
M
David Pereira Da Costa
M
99
Kristoffer Velde
1 👟
M
Kristoffer Velde
1 👟
M
19
Kevin Kelsy
1 ⚽
82'
F
Kevin Kelsy
1 ⚽
82'
F
Banquillo
6
Alex Bonetig
D
Alex Bonetig
D
11
Antony Alves
36'
F
Antony Alves
36'
F
7
Ariel Lassiter
F
Ariel Lassiter
F
21
Diego Chará
86'
M
Diego Chará
86'
M
9
Felipe Mora
13'
F
Felipe Mora
13'
F
23
Ian Smith
36'
D
Ian Smith
36'
D
80
Joao Ortíz
M
Joao Ortíz
M
29
Juan Mosquera
D
Juan Mosquera
D
25
Trey Muse
G
Trey Muse
G
Mejores en el campo
Wikelman Carmona
F · CF
9.20
1 ⚽
2 tiros
· 27 pass
Matthew Longstaff
M · CF
8.20
2 👟
1 tiros
· 55 pass
Cole Bassett
M · Portland
7.90
1 ⚽
2 tiros
· 68 pass
Victor Loturi
M · CF
7.70
· 47 pass
Daniel Rios
F · CF
7.70
1 ⚽
2 tiros
· 17 pass
Diego Chará
M · Portland
7.60
· 59 pass
CF Montreal — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gillier | G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Luca Petrasso | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Brayan Vera | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Jalen Neal | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Dagur Dan Þórhallsson | D | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 95 | 8.20 | — | 2 | 1 | 55 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Victor Loturi | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Olger Escobar | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Noah Streit | F | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Rios | F | 69 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Wikelman Carmona | F | 69 | 9.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Dawid Bugaj | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Iván Jaime | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Kwadwo Opoku | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Prince Owusu | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Samuel Piette | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 42% | — | — | — |
Portland Timbers — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Pantemis | G | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Jímer Fory | D | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Kamal Miller | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 91 | 82% | — | — | — |
| Finn Surman | D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| Brandon Bye | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| José Caicedo | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Cole Bassett | M | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 68 | 63% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Alexander Aravena | M | 59 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| David Pereira Da Costa | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Kristoffer Velde | M | 95 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kelsy | F | 82 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Antony Alves | F | 36 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Diego Chará | M | 86 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 56% | 4 | — | — |
| Felipe Mora | F | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ian Smith | D | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers?
El marcador final fue CF Montreal 2–2 Portland Timbers.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers?
El modelo asignó un 56% de probabilidad a la victoria de CF Montreal, un 22% al empate y un 21% a la victoria de Portland Timbers.