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Championship · Regular Season - 42 11 Aprile 2026 16:00
Southampton
#4 · 80 pts
2 – 1
Risultato finale
Derby
#8 · 69 pts
✓Modello corretto — pronostico Southampton
L. Scienza (ass. F. Azaz) 62'
T. Harwood-Bellis (ass. R. Manning) 69'
38' C. Morris

Il pronostico pre-gara di ForzaPitch assegnava a Southampton il 58% di probabilità di vittoria (pareggio 22%, Derby 19%). Il risultato finale è stato Southampton 2–1 Derby. Nei 1 precedenti diretti, Southampton ha vinto 0 volte, 1 pareggi e Derby 0 vittorie.

Statistiche partita
12
Tiri totali
6
5
Tiri in porta
4
1.64
xG reale
0.91
3
Parate
3
62%
Possesso
38%
6
Corner
2
20
Contrasti
22
1
🟨 Ammonizioni
2
Cronaca
9'
O. Fraulo / B. Clark ↕
38'
C. Morris⚽
53'
D. Sanderson
55'
O. Fraulo
⚽L. Scienza · ass. F. Azaz
62'
↕ R. Stewart / C. Larin
64'
↕ T. Fellows / K. Matsuki
64'
66'
O. Eames / J. Banel ↕
67'
S. Langas / D. Ozoh ↕
67'
C. Forsyth / M. Johnston ↕
⚽T. Harwood-Bellis · ass. R. Manning
69'
↕ L. Scienza / S. Edozie
75'
↕ F. Azaz / S. Charles
75'
84'
L. Salvesen / L. Travis ↕
↕ J. Bree / N. Wood
87'
C. Larin
90'+3
Previsione pre-partita
58.26%
Southampton ←
22.43%
X
19.31%
Derby
✓ Pronostico corretto — al risultato reale (Southampton) avevamo assegnato 58.26% (media confidenza)
xG previsto vs reale
Prev.
Reale
Δ
Southampton
2.03
1.64
-0.39
Derby
1.32
0.91
-0.41
Southampton ha dominato per xG (1.64 vs 0.91). Il risultato finale riflette il dominio nel gioco. Le stime xG del modello erano accurate.
Classifica
#Squadra GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Formazioni
Southampton Southampton 4-2-3-1
41
G 7.90
3 Ryan Manning Ryan Manning 1 👟 D 8.00
5 Jack Stephens Jack Stephens D 7.30
6 Taylor Harwood-Bellis Taylor Harwood-Bellis 1 ⚽ D 8.90
14 James Bree James Bree 87' D 6.30
4 F. Downes F. Downes M 7.70
20 Caspar Jander Caspar Jander M 7.90
13 Léo Scienza Léo Scienza 1 ⚽ 75' M 8.90
10 F. Azaz F. Azaz 1 👟 75' M 7.30
18 Tom Fellows Tom Fellows 64' M 6.20
11 Ross Stewart Ross Stewart 64' F 6.50
Panchina
19 Cameron Archer Cameron Archer F
48 Cameron Bragg Cameron Bragg M
9 C. Larin C. Larin 26' F 6.00
27 Kuryu Matsuki Kuryu Matsuki 26' M 6.90
23 Samuel Edozie Samuel Edozie 15' M 6.70
24 Shea Charles Shea Charles 15' M 6.60
34 Welington Welington D
Derby Derby 4-2-3-1
12
G 7.20
22 M. Johnston M. Johnston 67' D 6.30
5
M. Clarke D 6.90
28
D. Sanderson D 6.20
23
D 6.60
18
D. Ozoh 67' M 6.70
27 L. Travis L. Travis 84' M 7.00
42
B. Clark 9' M 6.70
19
S. Szmodics M 6.70
34
J. Banel 66' M 6.50
9 C. Morris C. Morris 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Panchina
3
C. Forsyth 23' D 6.20
29
O. Fraulo 81' M 6.70
6
S. Langas 23' D 6.30
Migliori in campo
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
8.90
1 ⚽
2 tiri · 53 pass
Léo Scienza
Léo Scienza
M · Southampton
8.90
1 ⚽
2 tiri · 26 pass
Ryan Manning
Ryan Manning
D · Southampton
8.00
1 👟
1 tiri · 47 pass
G · Southampton
7.90
· 33 pass
Caspar Jander
Caspar Jander
M · Southampton
7.90
· 63 pass
F. Downes
F. Downes
M · Southampton
7.70
· 51 pass
Southampton Southampton — Statistiche giocatori
Squadra PosMinVoto ⚽👟 TiriPassAcc% ContrGFGR
G 90 7.90 — — — 33 22% — — —
Ryan Manning D 90 8.00 — 1 1 47 38% 2 — —
Jack Stephens D 90 7.30 — — — 45 42% 1 — —
Taylor Harwood-Bellis D 90 8.90 1 — 2 53 48% — — —
James Bree D 87 6.30 — — 1 32 31% 1 — —
F. Downes M 90 7.70 — — — 51 45% 2 — —
Caspar Jander M 90 7.90 — — — 63 55% 6 — —
Léo Scienza M 75 8.90 1 — 2 26 20% 1 — —
F. Azaz M 75 7.30 — 1 3 29 22% 5 — —
Tom Fellows M 64 6.20 — — 1 23 20% 1 — —
Ross Stewart F 64 6.50 — — — 16 11% — — —
C. Larin F 26 6.00 — — 1 14 10% — 1 —
Kuryu Matsuki M 26 6.90 — — — 16 13% — — —
Samuel Edozie M 15 6.70 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
Shea Charles M 15 6.60 — — — 9 7% — — —
Derby Derby — Statistiche giocatori
Squadra PosMinVoto ⚽👟 TiriPassAcc% ContrGFGR
G 90 7.20 — — — 35 24% — — —
M. Johnston D 67 6.30 — — 1 10 6% 2 — —
M. Clarke D 90 6.90 — — — 42 30% 5 — —
D. Sanderson D 90 6.20 — — — 25 21% 2 1 —
D 90 6.60 — — — 29 23% 1 — —
D. Ozoh M 67 6.70 — — — 12 10% 3 — —
L. Travis M 84 7.00 — — — 33 29% 5 — —
B. Clark M 9 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
S. Szmodics M 90 6.70 — — 2 14 12% — — —
J. Banel M 66 6.50 — — 1 13 11% — — —
C. Morris F 90 7.50 1 — 2 22 14% — — —
C. Forsyth D 23 6.20 — — — 18 8% — — —
O. Fraulo M 81 6.70 — — — 20 15% 2 1 —
S. Langas D 23 6.30 — — — 11 9% 2 — —
Domande frequenti
Qual è stato il risultato finale di Southampton vs Derby?
Il risultato finale è stato Southampton 2–1 Derby.
Cosa aveva previsto il modello per Southampton vs Derby?
Il modello aveva assegnato al Southampton una probabilità del 58%, pareggio 22%, vittoria Derby 19%.