✓Modelo correcto — pronóstico Southampton
L. Scienza
(ast. F. Azaz)
62'
T. Harwood-Bellis
(ast. R. Manning)
69'
38'
C. Morris
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a Southampton un 58% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 22%, Derby 19%). El resultado final fue Southampton 2–1 Derby. En 1 encuentros previos, Southampton ha ganado 0 veces, con 1 empates y 0 victorias para Derby.
Estadísticas del partido
12
Tiros totales
6
5
Tiros a puerta
4
1.64
xG real
0.91
3
Paradas
3
62%
Posesión
38%
6
Córners
2
20
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
2
Crónica
9'
O. Fraulo
/
B. Clark
38'
C. Morris⚽
53'
D. Sanderson
55'
O. Fraulo
⚽L. Scienza
· ast. F. Azaz
62'
R. Stewart
/ C. Larin
64'
T. Fellows
/ K. Matsuki
64'
66'
O. Eames
/
J. Banel
67'
S. Langas
/
D. Ozoh
67'
C. Forsyth
/
M. Johnston
⚽T. Harwood-Bellis
· ast. R. Manning
69'
L. Scienza
/ S. Edozie
75'
F. Azaz
/ S. Charles
75'
84'
L. Salvesen
/
L. Travis
J. Bree
/ N. Wood
87'
C. Larin
90'+3
Predicción previa
58.26%
Southampton ←
22.43%
X
19.31%
Derby
✓ Pronóstico correcto —
asignamos al resultado real (Southampton)
58.26%
(confianza media)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
2.03
1.64
-0.39
1.32
0.91
-0.41
Southampton dominó por xG (1.64 vs 0.91).
El resultado final refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo fueron precisas.
Alineaciones
41
G
3
R. Manning
1 👟
D
R. Manning
1 👟
D
5
Jack Stephens
D
Jack Stephens
D
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
1 ⚽
D
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
1 ⚽
D
14
James Bree
87'
D
James Bree
87'
D
4
Flynn Downes
M
Flynn Downes
M
20
Caspar Jander
M
Caspar Jander
M
13
Leo Scienza
1 ⚽
75'
M
Leo Scienza
1 ⚽
75'
M
10
F. Azaz
1 👟
75'
M
F. Azaz
1 👟
75'
M
18
Tom Fellows
64'
M
Tom Fellows
64'
M
11
Ross Stewart
64'
F
Ross Stewart
64'
F
Banquillo
19
Cameron Archer
F
Cameron Archer
F
48
Cameron Bragg
M
Cameron Bragg
M
9
C. Larin
26'
F
C. Larin
26'
F
27
Kuryu Matsuki
26'
M
Kuryu Matsuki
26'
M
23
Samuel Edozie
15'
M
Samuel Edozie
15'
M
24
Shea Charles
15'
M
Shea Charles
15'
M
34
Welington
D
Welington
D
12
G
22
Max Johnston
67'
D
Max Johnston
67'
D
5
Matt Clarke
D
Matt Clarke
D
28
Dion Sanderson
D
Dion Sanderson
D
23
D
18
D. Ozoh
67'
M
27
Lewis Travis
84'
M
Lewis Travis
84'
M
42
Bobby Clark
9'
M
Bobby Clark
9'
M
19
Sammie Szmodics
M
Sammie Szmodics
M
34
J. Banel
66'
M
9
Carlton Morris
1 ⚽
F
Carlton Morris
1 ⚽
F
Banquillo
3
Craig Forsyth
23'
D
Craig Forsyth
23'
D
29
Oscar Fraulo
81'
M
Oscar Fraulo
81'
M
6
Sondre Langås
23'
D
Sondre Langås
23'
D
Mejores en el campo
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
8.90
1 ⚽
2 tiros
· 53 pass
Leo Scienza
M · Southampton
8.90
1 ⚽
2 tiros
· 26 pass
R. Manning
D · Southampton
8.00
1 👟
1 tiros
· 47 pass
G · Southampton
7.90
· 33 pass
Caspar Jander
M · Southampton
7.90
· 63 pass
Flynn Downes
M · Southampton
7.70
· 51 pass
Southampton — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| R. Manning | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Jack Stephens | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | D | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 53 | 48% | — | — | — |
| James Bree | D | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Flynn Downes | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Caspar Jander | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 6 | — | — |
| Leo Scienza | M | 75 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 29 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| Tom Fellows | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Ross Stewart | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 26 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Kuryu Matsuki | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Edozie | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Shea Charles | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Derby — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Max Johnston | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Matt Clarke | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| Dion Sanderson | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Ozoh | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Lewis Travis | M | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Bobby Clark | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Sammie Szmodics | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Banel | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Carlton Morris | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Craig Forsyth | D | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Fraulo | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sondre Langås | D | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de Southampton vs Derby?
El marcador final fue Southampton 2–1 Derby.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para Southampton vs Derby?
El modelo asignó un 58% de probabilidad a la victoria de Southampton, un 22% al empate y un 19% a la victoria de Derby.