Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 16
mayo 17, 2026 21:00
✗Modelo incorrecto — pronóstico Bahia, resultado Empate
M. Sanabria
72'
62'
(ast. Pedro Gabriel)
Viery
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a Bahia un 62% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 21%, Gremio 16%). El resultado final fue Bahia 1–1 Gremio.
Estadísticas del partido
13
Tiros totales
3
6
Tiros a puerta
1
2.09
xG real
0.16
0
Paradas
5
60%
Posesión
40%
7
Córners
3
16
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
5
Crónica
36'
J. Enamorado
46'
Gabriel Mec
/
Willian
Kanu
57'
60'
V. Ramon
/
Marcos Rocha
60'
F. Amuzu
/
J. Enamorado
60'
M. Braithwaite
/
Carlos Vinicius
Luciano Juba
/ Iago Borduchi
60'
Ademir
/ M. Sanabria
60'
62'
ast. Pedro Gabriel ·
Viery⚽
65'
Pedro Gabriel
Everton Ribeiro
/ Rodrigo
67'
Willian Jose
/ Everaldo
67'
⚽M. Sanabria
72'
Nicolas Acevedo
74'
78'
Bernardo Zortea
/
E. Noriega
Erick Pulga
79'
80'
V. Ramon
Gilberto
/ Caio Suassuna
84'
89'
Andre Henrique
90'+1
Gabriel Mec
Rodrigo
90'+1
Predicción previa
62.57%
Bahia
21.26%
X ←
16.17%
Gremio
✗ Pronóstico incorrecto —
asignamos al resultado real (Empate)
21.26%
(baja confianza)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
1.94
2.09
+0.15
0.64
0.16
-0.48
Bahia dominó por xG (2.09 vs 0.16).
El resultado final no refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo fueron precisas.
Alineaciones
22
Léo Vieira
G
Léo Vieira
G
46
Luciano Juba
60'
D
Luciano Juba
60'
D
4
Kanu
D
Kanu
D
33
David Duarte
D
David Duarte
D
2
Gilberto
84'
D
Gilberto
84'
D
14
Erick
M
Erick
M
5
N. Acevedo
M
N. Acevedo
M
10
Éverton Ribeiro
67'
M
Éverton Ribeiro
67'
M
16
Erick Pulga
F
Erick Pulga
F
12
Willian José
67'
F
Willian José
67'
F
7
Ademir
60'
F
Ademir
60'
F
Banquillo
90
Caio Suassuna
14'
F
Caio Suassuna
14'
F
27
Everaldo
23'
F
Everaldo
23'
F
3
Gabriel Xavier
D
Gabriel Xavier
D
25
Iago Borduchi
30'
D
Iago Borduchi
30'
D
6
Jean Lucas
M
Jean Lucas
M
34
João Paulo
G
João Paulo
G
43
Luiz Gustavo
D
Luiz Gustavo
D
44
Marcos Victor
D
Marcos Victor
D
23
Mateo Sanabria
1 ⚽
30'
F
Mateo Sanabria
1 ⚽
30'
F
15
Michel Araújo
M
Michel Araújo
M
11
Rodrigo Nestor
23'
M
Rodrigo Nestor
23'
M
31
Román Gómez
D
Román Gómez
D
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
44
Viery
1 ⚽
D
Viery
1 ⚽
D
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
43
Luis Guedes
D
Luis Guedes
D
54
Pedro Gabriel
1 👟
M
Pedro Gabriel
1 👟
M
33
Leonel Pérez
M
Leonel Pérez
M
19
Erick Noriega
78'
M
Erick Noriega
78'
M
14
Marcos Rocha
60'
M
Marcos Rocha
60'
M
10
Willian
45'
F
Willian
45'
F
95
Carlos Vinícius
60'
F
Carlos Vinícius
60'
F
99
José Enamorado
60'
F
José Enamorado
60'
F
Banquillo
77
André Henrique
F
André Henrique
F
38
Caio Paulista
D
Caio Paulista
D
9
F. Amuzu
30'
F
F. Amuzu
30'
F
37
Gabriel Mec
45'
F
Gabriel Mec
45'
F
22
Martin Braithwaite
30'
F
Martin Braithwaite
30'
F
11
Miguel Monsalve
M
Miguel Monsalve
M
21
Tetê
F
Tetê
F
24
Thiago Beltrame
G
Thiago Beltrame
G
39
Tiaguinho
M
Tiaguinho
M
32
Vitor Ramon
30'
D
Vitor Ramon
30'
D
4
Walter Kannemann
D
Walter Kannemann
D
50
Zortéa
12'
M
Zortéa
12'
M
Mejores en el campo
Mateo Sanabria
F · Bahia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 8 pass
Weverton
G · Gremio
7.70
· 30 pass
Erick Pulga
F · Bahia
7.60
2 tiros
· 13 pass
N. Acevedo
M · Bahia
7.50
2 tiros
· 73 pass
Luciano Juba
D · Bahia
7.30
1 tiros
· 28 pass
Willian José
F · Bahia
7.30
1 tiros
· 11 pass
Bahia — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Vieira | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Juba | D | 60 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Kanu | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 52% | 2 | 1 | — |
| David Duarte | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Gilberto | D | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Acevedo | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 66% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Éverton Ribeiro | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | F | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 67 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ademir | F | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Caio Suassuna | F | 14 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Iago Borduchi | D | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Sanabria | F | 30 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
Gremio — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Viery | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Luis Guedes | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Gabriel | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Rocha | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Willian | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| José Enamorado | F | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Amuzu | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Vitor Ramon | D | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Zortéa | M | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de Bahia vs Gremio?
El marcador final fue Bahia 1–1 Gremio.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para Bahia vs Gremio?
El modelo asignó un 62% de probabilidad a la victoria de Bahia, un 21% al empate y un 16% a la victoria de Gremio.