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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 16 May 17, 2026 21:00
Bahia
#6 · 53 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Gremio
#18 · 37 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Bahia, result Draw
M. Sanabria 72'
62' (ast. Pedro Gabriel) Viery
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 62% win probability (draw 21%, Gremio 16%). The final result was Bahia 1–1 Gremio.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
1
2.09
Actual xG
0.16
0
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
3
16
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
36'
J. Enamorado
46'
Gabriel Mec / Willian ↕
Kanu
57'
60'
V. Ramon / Marcos Rocha ↕
60'
F. Amuzu / J. Enamorado ↕
60'
M. Braithwaite / Carlos Vinicius ↕
↕ Luciano Juba / Iago Borduchi
60'
↕ Ademir / M. Sanabria
60'
62'
ast. Pedro Gabriel · Viery⚽
65'
Pedro Gabriel
↕ Everton Ribeiro / Rodrigo
67'
↕ Willian Jose / Everaldo
67'
⚽M. Sanabria
72'
Nicolas Acevedo
74'
78'
Bernardo Zortea / E. Noriega ↕
Erick Pulga
79'
80'
V. Ramon
↕ Gilberto / Caio Suassuna
84'
89'
Andre Henrique
90'+1
Gabriel Mec
Rodrigo
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
62.57%
Bahia
21.26%
X ←
16.17%
Gremio
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.26% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bahia
1.94
2.09
+0.15
Gremio
0.64
0.16
-0.48
Bahia dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.16). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 34 76
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 34 60
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 34 54
6 Bahia Bahia 34 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 34 50
8 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos Santos 34 47
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 34 44
11 Botafogo Botafogo 34 42
12 Coritiba Coritiba 34 42
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol Mirassol 34 40
15 Vitoria Vitoria 33 38
16 Internacional Internacional 34 38
17 Corinthians Corinthians 34 37
18 Gremio Gremio 34 37
19 Remo Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 33 21
Lineups
Bahia Bahia 4-3-3
22 Léo Vieira Léo Vieira G 6.30
46 Luciano Juba Luciano Juba 60' D 7.30
4 Kanu Kanu D 6.90
33 David Duarte David Duarte D 6.90
2 Gilberto Gilberto 84' D 6.50
14 Erick Erick M 6.30
5 Nicolás Acevedo Nicolás Acevedo M 7.50
10 Everton Ribeiro Everton Ribeiro 67' M 6.20
16 Erick Pulga Erick Pulga F 7.60
12 Willian José Willian José 67' F 7.30
7 Ademir Ademir 60' F 7.00
Bench
90 Caio Suassuna Caio Suassuna 14' F 7.00
27 Everaldo Everaldo 23' F 6.50
3 Gabriel Xavier Gabriel Xavier D
25 Iago Borduchi Iago Borduchi 30' D 6.70
6 Jean Lucas Jean Lucas M
34 João Paulo João Paulo G
43 Luiz Gustavo Luiz Gustavo D
44 Marcos Victor Marcos Victor D
23 Mateo Sanabria Mateo Sanabria 1 ⚽ 30' F 7.90
15 Michel Araújo Michel Araújo M
11 Rodrigo Nestor Rodrigo Nestor 23' M 6.90
31 Román Gómez Román Gómez D
Gremio Gremio 3-4-3
1 Weverton Weverton G 7.70
44 Viery Viery 1 ⚽ D 7.30
3 Wagner Leonardo Wagner Leonardo D 7.00
43 Luis Eduardo Luis Eduardo D 6.20
54 Pedro Gabriel Pedro Gabriel 1 👟 M 6.50
33 L. Pérez L. Pérez M 6.70
19 E. Noriega E. Noriega 78' M 6.70
14 Marcos Rocha Marcos Rocha 60' M 7.00
10 Willian Willian 45' F 7.00
95 Carlos Vinícius Carlos Vinícius 60' F 6.90
99 J. Enamorado J. Enamorado 60' F 6.60
Bench
77 André Henrique André Henrique F
50 Bernardo Zortea Bernardo Zortea 12' M 6.20
38 Caio Paulista Caio Paulista D
9 F. Amuzu F. Amuzu 30' F 6.60
37 Gabriel Mec Gabriel Mec 45' F 6.90
22 M. Braithwaite M. Braithwaite 30' F 6.50
11 M. Monsalve M. Monsalve M
21 Tete Tete F
24 Thiago Beltrame Thiago Beltrame G
39 Tiaguinho Tiaguinho M
32 Vitor Ramon Vitor Ramon 30' D 6.50
4 Walter Kannemann Walter Kannemann D
Best on the pitch
Mateo Sanabria
Mateo Sanabria
F · Bahia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
Weverton
Weverton
G · Gremio
7.70
· 30 pass
Erick Pulga
Erick Pulga
F · Bahia
7.60
2 shots · 13 pass
Nicolás Acevedo
Nicolás Acevedo
M · Bahia
7.50
2 shots · 73 pass
Luciano Juba
Luciano Juba
D · Bahia
7.30
1 shots · 28 pass
Viery
Viery
D · Gremio
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 48 pass
Bahia Bahia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Léo Vieira G 90 6.30 — — — 22 21% — — —
Luciano Juba D 60 7.30 — — 1 28 25% 1 — —
Kanu D 90 6.90 — — — 53 52% 2 1 —
David Duarte D 90 6.90 — — 2 50 47% — — —
Gilberto D 84 6.50 — — — 61 57% 1 — —
Erick M 90 6.30 — — — 23 19% — 1 —
Nicolás Acevedo M 90 7.50 — — 2 73 66% 2 1 —
Everton Ribeiro M 67 6.20 — — 1 45 31% 2 — —
Erick Pulga F 90 7.60 — — 2 13 8% 4 — —
Willian José F 67 7.30 — — 1 11 7% — — —
Ademir F 60 7.00 — — — 15 13% 4 — —
Caio Suassuna F 14 7.00 — — — 3 3% — — —
Everaldo F 23 6.50 — — 1 1 1% — — —
Iago Borduchi D 30 6.70 — — — 17 15% — — —
Mateo Sanabria F 30 7.90 1 — 1 8 6% — — —
Rodrigo Nestor M 23 6.90 — — 2 22 20% — 1 —
Gremio Gremio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Weverton G 90 7.70 — — — 30 19% — — —
Viery D 90 7.30 1 — 1 48 41% 1 — —
Wagner Leonardo D 90 7.00 — — — 39 37% — — —
Luis Eduardo D 90 6.20 — — — 29 24% 1 — —
Pedro Gabriel M 90 6.50 — 1 — 24 15% 2 1 —
L. Pérez M 90 6.70 — — — 17 14% 4 — —
E. Noriega M 78 6.70 — — — 37 31% — — —
Marcos Rocha M 60 7.00 — — — 23 18% — — —
Willian F 45 7.00 — — — 22 20% — — —
Carlos Vinícius F 60 6.90 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
J. Enamorado F 60 6.60 — — 1 8 6% 2 1 —
Bernardo Zortea M 12 6.20 — — — 3 2% — — —
F. Amuzu F 30 6.60 — — 1 9 9% — — —
Gabriel Mec F 45 6.90 — — — 6 4% 1 1 —
M. Braithwaite F 30 6.50 — — — 4 1% — — —
Vitor Ramon D 30 6.50 — — — 5 5% 2 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs Gremio?
The final score was Bahia 1–1 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs Gremio?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Bahia win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Gremio win.