MLS
· Regular Season - 15
mayo 24, 2026 02:30
✓Modelo correcto — pronóstico Chicago Fire
R. Lod
(ast. M. Haile-Selassie)
22'
A. Gutman
(ast. P. Zinckernagel)
65'
34'
(ast. A. Coello)
J. Sargent
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a Chicago Fire un 68% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 16%, Toronto FC 15%). El resultado final fue Chicago Fire 2–1 Toronto FC.
Estadísticas del partido
10
Tiros totales
10
6
Tiros a puerta
4
1.77
xG real
1.26
3
Paradas
4
53%
Posesión
47%
3
Córners
3
17
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
4
Crónica
14'
M. Henry
⚽R. Lod
· ast. M. Haile-Selassie
22'
34'
ast. A. Coello ·
J. Sargent⚽
H. Cuypers
40'
46'
Z. Monlouis
/
N. Gomis
A. Gutman
60'
M. Pineda
/ D. D'Avilla
61'
61'
E. Aristizabal
/
J. Sargent
M. Mbokazi
/ J. Waterman
62'
⚽A. Gutman
· ast. P. Zinckernagel
65'
M. Haile-Selassie
/ P. Dithejane
74'
74'
T. Corbeanu
/
D. Etienne
79'
W. Zimmerman
85'
J. Vilsaint
/
M. Henry
86'
R. Edwards
/
J. Gilman
A. Saletros
87'
90'+1
T. Corbeanu
90'+1
J. Osorio
C. Brady
90'+1
P. Zinckernagel
/ C. Mueller
90'+3
Predicción previa
68.34%
Chicago ←
16.47%
X
15.19%
Toronto
✓ Pronóstico correcto —
asignamos al resultado real (Chicago Fire)
68.34%
(alta confianza)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
2.84
1.77
-1.07
0.97
1.26
+0.29
Chicago Fire dominó por xG (1.77 vs 1.26).
El resultado final refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo se desviaron de la realidad.
Alineaciones
1
Chris Brady
G
Chris Brady
G
15
Andrew Gutman
1 ⚽
D
Andrew Gutman
1 ⚽
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
62'
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
62'
D
3
Jack Elliott
D
Jack Elliott
D
24
J. Dean
D
J. Dean
D
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
1 👟
74'
M
Maren Haile-Selassie
1 👟
74'
M
22
Mauricio Pineda
61'
M
Mauricio Pineda
61'
M
6
Anton Salétros
M
Anton Salétros
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
1 👟
M
P. Zinckernagel
1 👟
M
9
H. Cuypers
F
H. Cuypers
F
17
Robin Lod
1 ⚽
F
Robin Lod
1 ⚽
F
Banquillo
8
Chris Mueller
2'
F
Chris Mueller
2'
F
42
Dje Tah D'Avilla
34'
M
Dje Tah D'Avilla
34'
M
27
Dylan Borso
F
Dylan Borso
F
20
Jason Shokalook
F
Jason Shokalook
F
16
Joel Waterman
33'
D
Joel Waterman
33'
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
Josh Cohen
G
12
Puso Dithejane
21'
F
Puso Dithejane
21'
F
35
Sergio Oregel
M
Sergio Oregel
M
14
Viktor Radojević
D
Viktor Radojević
D
1
Luka Gavran
G
Luka Gavran
G
19
Kobe Franklin
D
Kobe Franklin
D
15
Nickseon Gomis
45'
D
Nickseon Gomis
45'
D
25
Walker Zimmerman
D
Walker Zimmerman
D
38
Jackson Gilman
86'
D
Jackson Gilman
86'
D
11
Derrick Etienne
74'
M
Derrick Etienne
74'
M
21
Jonathan Osorio
M
Jonathan Osorio
M
14
Alonso Coello
1 👟
M
Alonso Coello
1 👟
M
78
Malik Henry
85'
M
Malik Henry
85'
M
9
Josh Sargent
1 ⚽
61'
F
Josh Sargent
1 ⚽
61'
F
20
Dániel Sallói
F
Dániel Sallói
F
Banquillo
77
Adisa De Rosario
G
Adisa De Rosario
G
17
Emilio Aristizábal
34'
F
Emilio Aristizábal
34'
F
99
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
10'
F
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
10'
F
44
R. Edwards
9'
D
R. Edwards
9'
D
98
Stefan Kapor
D
Stefan Kapor
D
7
Theo Corbeanu
21'
F
Theo Corbeanu
21'
F
23
William Yarbrough
G
William Yarbrough
G
12
Zane Monlouis
50'
D
Zane Monlouis
50'
D
Mejores en el campo
Alonso Coello
M · Toronto
8.30
1 👟
· 52 pass
Robin Lod
F · Chicago
8.00
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 16 pass
Josh Sargent
F · Toronto
7.90
1 ⚽
4 tiros
· 16 pass
P. Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
7.50
1 👟
3 tiros
· 31 pass
Andrew Gutman
D · Chicago
7.30
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 39 pass
Walker Zimmerman
D · Toronto
7.30
· 77 pass
Chicago Fire — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brady | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| Jack Elliott | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 99 | 86% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | M | 61 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Anton Salétros | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 55% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 3 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Robin Lod | F | 95 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Chris Mueller | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Waterman | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Puso Dithejane | F | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Toronto FC — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Gavran | G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Kobe Franklin | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Nickseon Gomis | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Walker Zimmerman | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 72% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jackson Gilman | D | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Derrick Etienne | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Osorio | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alonso Coello | M | 95 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 44% | 5 | — | — |
| Malik Henry | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Josh Sargent | F | 61 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Dániel Sallói | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jules-Anthony Vilsaint | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Theo Corbeanu | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Zane Monlouis | D | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC?
El marcador final fue Chicago Fire 2–1 Toronto FC.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC?
El modelo asignó un 68% de probabilidad a la victoria de Chicago Fire, un 16% al empate y un 15% a la victoria de Toronto FC.