World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
junio 17, 2026 22:00
✓Modelo correcto — pronóstico England
H. Kane
12'
(pen.)
H. Kane
(ast. D. Rice)
42'
J. Bellingham
(ast. E. Anderson)
47'
M. Rashford
(ast. B. Saka)
85'
36'
(ast. P. Sucic)
M. Baturina
45'+5
(ast. I. Perisic)
P. Musa
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a England un 70% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 17%, Croatia 12%). El resultado final fue England 4–2 Croatia.
Estadísticas del partido
16
Tiros totales
8
11
Tiros a puerta
5
2.82
xG real
0.53
3
Paradas
7
52%
Posesión
48%
8
Córners
1
7
Tackles
10
Crónica
⚽H. Kane
(pen.)
12'
36'
ast. P. Sucic ·
M. Baturina⚽
⚽H. Kane
· ast. D. Rice
42'
45'+5
ast. I. Perisic ·
P. Musa⚽
⚽J. Bellingham
· ast. E. Anderson
47'
58'
M. Kovacic
/
L. Modric
66'
M. Pasalic
/
L. Vuskovic
66'
I. Matanovic
/
P. Musa
A. Gordon
/ M. Rashford
72'
N. Madueke
/ B. Saka
72'
D. Rice
/ M. Rogers
72'
78'
N. Vlasic
/
M. Baturina
79'
A. Kramaric
/
M. Pasalic
J. Bellingham
/ D. Spence
80'
⚽M. Rashford
· ast. B. Saka
85'
J. Stones
/ M. Guehi
87'
Predicción previa
70.81%
England ←
17.05%
X
12.15%
Croatia
✓ Pronóstico correcto —
asignamos al resultado real (England)
70.81%
(alta confianza)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
2.54
2.82
+0.28
0.72
0.53
-0.19
England dominó por xG (2.82 vs 0.53).
El resultado final refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo fueron precisas.
Alineaciones
1
Jordan Pickford
G
Jordan Pickford
G
3
N. O'Reilly
D
N. O'Reilly
D
5
John Stones
87'
D
John Stones
87'
D
2
Ezri Konsa
D
Ezri Konsa
D
24
Reece James
D
Reece James
D
4
D. Rice
1 👟
72'
M
D. Rice
1 👟
72'
M
8
Elliot Anderson
1 👟
M
Elliot Anderson
1 👟
M
18
Anthony Gordon
72'
M
Anthony Gordon
72'
M
10
Jude Bellingham
1 ⚽
80'
M
Jude Bellingham
1 ⚽
80'
M
20
N. Madueke
72'
M
N. Madueke
72'
M
9
H. Kane
2 ⚽
F
H. Kane
2 ⚽
F
Banquillo
7
B. Saka
1 👟
22'
F
B. Saka
1 👟
22'
F
15
Dan Burn
D
Dan Burn
D
13
Dean Henderson
G
Dean Henderson
G
25
Djed Spence
14'
D
Djed Spence
14'
D
21
E. Eze
M
E. Eze
M
22
Ivan Toney
F
Ivan Toney
F
23
James Trafford
G
James Trafford
G
14
Jordan Henderson
M
Jordan Henderson
M
26
J. Quansah
D
J. Quansah
D
16
Kobbie Mainoo
M
Kobbie Mainoo
M
6
Marc Guéhi
7'
D
Marc Guéhi
7'
D
17
Morgan Rogers
22'
M
Morgan Rogers
22'
M
11
M. Rashford
1 ⚽
22'
F
M. Rashford
1 ⚽
22'
F
19
Ollie Watkins
F
Ollie Watkins
F
1
Dominik Livaković
G
Dominik Livaković
G
4
Joško Gvardiol
D
Joško Gvardiol
D
22
Luka Vušković
66'
D
Luka Vušković
66'
D
6
Josip Šutalo
D
Josip Šutalo
D
14
Ivan Perišić
1 👟
M
Ivan Perišić
1 👟
M
15
Mario Pašalić
79'
M
Mario Pašalić
79'
M
10
Luka Modrić
58'
M
Luka Modrić
58'
M
2
Josip Stanišić
M
Josip Stanišić
M
16
Martin Baturina
1 ⚽
78'
F
Martin Baturina
1 ⚽
78'
F
17
Petar Sučić
1 👟
F
Petar Sučić
1 👟
F
26
Petar Musa
1 ⚽
66'
F
Petar Musa
1 ⚽
66'
F
Banquillo
9
A. Kramarić
15'
F
A. Kramarić
15'
F
11
Ante Budimir
F
Ante Budimir
F
5
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
23
Dominik Kotarski
G
Dominik Kotarski
G
20
I. Matanović
28'
F
I. Matanović
28'
F
12
Ivor Pandur
G
Ivor Pandur
G
18
Kristijan Jakić
M
Kristijan Jakić
M
21
L. Sučić
M
L. Sučić
M
24
Marco Pašalić
28'
F
Marco Pašalić
28'
F
3
Marin Pongračić
D
Marin Pongračić
D
25
Martin Erlić
D
Martin Erlić
D
8
Mateo Kovačić
36'
M
Mateo Kovačić
36'
M
7
Nikola Moro
M
Nikola Moro
M
13
Nikola Vlašić
16'
M
Nikola Vlašić
16'
M
19
Toni Fruk
M
Toni Fruk
M
Mejores en el campo
H. Kane
F · England
8.30
2 ⚽
5 tiros
· 20 pass
Martin Baturina
F · Croatia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 32 pass
N. Madueke
M · England
7.70
· 18 pass
Dominik Livaković
G · Croatia
7.70
· 33 pass
Jude Bellingham
M · England
7.60
1 ⚽
3 tiros
· 24 pass
Petar Musa
F · Croatia
7.50
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 8 pass
England — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 43% | — | — | — |
| N. O'Reilly | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| John Stones | D | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Ezri Konsa | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Reece James | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| D. Rice | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Elliot Anderson | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Anthony Gordon | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jude Bellingham | M | 80 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Madueke | M | 72 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 94 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Saka | F | 22 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Djed Spence | D | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Marc Guéhi | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Morgan Rogers | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Rashford | F | 22 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Croatia — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Livaković | G | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Joško Gvardiol | D | 94 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Luka Vušković | D | 66 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Josip Šutalo | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Ivan Perišić | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Mario Pašalić | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Luka Modrić | M | 58 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Josip Stanišić | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Baturina | F | 78 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Petar Sučić | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Petar Musa | F | 66 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Kramarić | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Pašalić | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Kovačić | M | 36 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Nikola Vlašić | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de England vs Croatia?
El marcador final fue England 4–2 Croatia.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para England vs Croatia?
El modelo asignó un 70% de probabilidad a la victoria de England, un 17% al empate y un 12% a la victoria de Croatia.