Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 15
mayo 09, 2026 23:00
✗Modelo incorrecto — pronóstico Fluminense, resultado Empate
John Kennedy
36'
K. Serna
(ast. John Kennedy)
90'
(pen.)
63'
Renato Kayzer
67'
(ast. Renato Kayzer)
Rene
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a Fluminense un 56% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 22%, Vitoria 20%). El resultado final fue Fluminense 2–2 Vitoria.
Estadísticas del partido
10
Tiros totales
8
5
Tiros a puerta
3
1.05
xG real
1.44
1
Paradas
3
58%
Posesión
42%
6
Córners
3
17
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
2
Crónica
⚽John Kennedy
36'
48'
Renato Kayzer
Alisson
60'
63'
(pen.)
Renato Kayzer⚽
67'
ast. Renato Kayzer ·
Rene⚽
73'
Ramon
Nonato
/ R. Castillo
73'
Y. Soteldo
/ K. Serna
73'
Alisson
/ Hercules
74'
75'
D. Tarzia
/
Renato Kayzer
Samuel Xavier
76'
82'
Ze Breno
/
Caique Goncalves
82'
R. Lopez
/
Rene
Samuel Xavier
/ Guga
83'
J. Savarino
/ Riquelme Felipe
83'
88'
Neris
/
Nathan Mendes
88'
Ronald Lopes
/
Baralhas
Riquelme Felipe
90'+2
Rene
90'+7
⚽K. Serna
· ast. John Kennedy
90'
Predicción previa
56.53%
Fluminense
22.61%
X ←
20.85%
Vitoria
✗ Pronóstico incorrecto —
asignamos al resultado real (Empate)
22.61%
(baja confianza)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
2.02
1.05
-0.97
1.11
1.44
+0.33
Vitoria dominó por xG (1.44 vs 1.05).
El resultado final no refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo se desviaron de la realidad.
Alineaciones
1
Fábio
G
Fábio
G
6
Renê
D
Renê
D
29
Julián Millán
D
Julián Millán
D
4
Ignácio
D
Ignácio
D
2
Samuel Xavier
83'
D
Samuel Xavier
83'
D
25
Alisson
73'
M
Alisson
73'
M
16
Nonato
74'
M
Nonato
74'
M
7
Y. Soteldo
73'
M
Y. Soteldo
73'
M
32
L. Acosta
M
L. Acosta
M
11
J. Savarino
83'
M
J. Savarino
83'
M
9
John Kennedy
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
John Kennedy
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Banquillo
17
A. Canobbio
F
A. Canobbio
F
5
Facundo Bernal
M
Facundo Bernal
M
23
Guga
16'
D
Guga
16'
D
13
Guilherme Arana
D
Guilherme Arana
D
35
Hércules
26'
M
Hércules
26'
M
21
Igor Rabello
D
Igor Rabello
D
22
Juan Pablo Freytes
D
Juan Pablo Freytes
D
90
Kevin Serna
1 ⚽
26'
F
Kevin Serna
1 ⚽
26'
F
94
Otávio
M
Otávio
M
28
Riquelme Felipe
16'
F
Riquelme Felipe
16'
F
19
Rodrigo Castillo
25'
F
Rodrigo Castillo
25'
F
98
Vitor Eudes
G
Vitor Eudes
G
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
13
Ramon
D
Ramon
D
36
Luan Cândido
D
Luan Cândido
D
95
Caique Gonçalves
82'
D
Caique Gonçalves
82'
D
26
Edenilson
D
Edenilson
D
45
Nathan Mendes
88'
D
Nathan Mendes
88'
D
6
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
88
Zé Vitor
M
Zé Vitor
M
44
Gabriel Baralhas
88'
M
Gabriel Baralhas
88'
M
91
Rene
1 ⚽
82'
F
Rene
1 ⚽
82'
F
79
Renato Kayzer
1 ⚽
1 👟
75'
F
Renato Kayzer
1 ⚽
1 👟
75'
F
Banquillo
12
Diego Tarzia
24'
D
Diego Tarzia
24'
D
23
Fabrício Santos
F
Fabrício Santos
F
83
Jamerson
D
Jamerson
D
55
José Breno
17'
M
José Breno
17'
M
20
Lucas Silva
F
Lucas Silva
F
7
Marinho
F
Marinho
F
77
Neris
11'
D
Neris
11'
D
11
Osvaldo
F
Osvaldo
F
62
Pablo Santos
M
Pablo Santos
M
31
Renzo López
17'
F
Renzo López
17'
F
8
Ronald
11'
M
Ronald
11'
M
71
Yuri Sena
G
Yuri Sena
G
Mejores en el campo
John Kennedy
F · Fluminense
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 tiros
· 29 pass
Nonato
M · Fluminense
7.60
1 tiros
· 41 pass
Rene
F · Vitoria
7.50
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 11 pass
Kevin Serna
F · Fluminense
7.30
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 8 pass
L. Acosta
M · Fluminense
7.30
1 tiros
· 63 pass
Lucas Arcanjo
G · Vitoria
7.30
· 29 pass
Fluminense — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio | G | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Renê | D | 99 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Julián Millán | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Ignácio | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Xavier | D | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alisson | M | 73 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| Nonato | M | 74 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 39% | 6 | — | — |
| Y. Soteldo | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| L. Acosta | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Savarino | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 40% | — | — | — |
| John Kennedy | F | 99 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Guga | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Serna | F | 26 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Felipe | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Castillo | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Vitoria — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Ramon | D | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Luan Cândido | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Caique Gonçalves | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Edenilson | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Mendes | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Baralhas | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Rene | F | 82 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 75 | 7.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Tarzia | D | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| José Breno | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Neris | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renzo López | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de Fluminense vs Vitoria?
El marcador final fue Fluminense 2–2 Vitoria.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para Fluminense vs Vitoria?
El modelo asignó un 56% de probabilidad a la victoria de Fluminense, un 22% al empate y un 20% a la victoria de Vitoria.