✓Modelo correcto — pronóstico Kashima
Ryuta Koike
(ast. Matheus Bueno)
69'
Aleksandar Čavrić
75'
Matheus Bueno
87'
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a Kashima un 60% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 23%, Pohang Steelers 16%). El resultado final fue Kashima 3–0 Pohang Steelers.
Estadísticas del partido
15
Tiros totales
4
6
Tiros a puerta
0
2.59
xG real
0.18
0
Paradas
3
71%
Posesión
29%
4
Córners
3
14
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
2
Crónica
Rikuto Hirose
/ Ryuta Koike
9'
Homare Tokuda
/ Yuma Suzuki
45'
60'
Juninho Rocha
/
Jakob Tranziska
José Élber Pimentel da Silva
/ Yuta Matsumura
63'
Anthony Udemba Motosuna
/ Gaku Shibasaki
63'
⚽Ryuta Koike
· ast. Matheus Bueno
69'
⚽Aleksandar Čavrić
75'
76'
Kim Yong-Hak
/
Jo Sung-Wook
76'
Cho Sang-Hyeok
/
Kento Nishiya
79'
Juninho Rocha
85'
Jin Si-woo
Aleksandar Čavrić
/ Léo Ceará
85'
⚽Matheus Bueno
87'
88'
90'+1
Kim Ye-Sung
/
Wanderson Oliveira
90'+1
An Jae-Joon
/
Jorge Luiz Barbosa Teixeira
Predicción previa
60.8%
Kashima ←
23.08%
X
16.12%
Pohang
✓ Pronóstico correcto —
asignamos al resultado real (Kashima)
60.8%
(alta confianza)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
1.57
2.59
+1.02
0.61
0.18
-0.43
Kashima dominó por xG (2.59 vs 0.18).
El resultado final refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo se desviaron de la realidad.
Alineaciones
1
T. Hayakawa
G
T. Hayakawa
G
7
R. Ogawa
D
R. Ogawa
D
5
I. Sekigawa
D
I. Sekigawa
D
4
K. Chida
D
K. Chida
D
37
R. Hirose
9'
D
R. Hirose
9'
D
17
Élber
63'
M
Élber
63'
M
8
Matheus Bueno
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Matheus Bueno
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
35
A. Motosuna
63'
M
A. Motosuna
63'
M
24
H. Hayashu
M
H. Hayashu
M
77
A. Čavrić
1 ⚽
85'
F
A. Čavrić
1 ⚽
85'
F
34
H. Tokuda
45'
F
H. Tokuda
45'
F
Banquillo
10
G. Shibasaki
27'
M
G. Shibasaki
27'
M
23
K. Tsukui
D
K. Tsukui
D
9
Léo Ceará
5'
F
Léo Ceará
5'
F
30
M. Yoshida
F
M. Yoshida
F
55
N. Ueda
D
N. Ueda
D
25
R. Koike
1 ⚽
81'
D
R. Koike
1 ⚽
81'
D
21
T. Yamada
G
T. Yamada
G
14
Y. Higuchi
M
Y. Higuchi
M
27
Y. Matsumura
27'
M
Y. Matsumura
27'
M
28
Y. Okawa
D
Y. Okawa
D
40
Y. Suzuki
45'
F
Y. Suzuki
45'
F
21
Hwang In-Jae
G
Hwang In-Jae
G
77
Wanderson
D
Wanderson
D
33
Jo Sung-Wook
76'
D
Jo Sung-Wook
76'
D
20
Park Chan-Yong
D
Park Chan-Yong
D
5
Jin Si-woo
D
Jin Si-woo
D
13
Kang Min-Jun
D
Kang Min-Jun
D
16
Kim Dong-Jin
M
Kim Dong-Jin
M
8
Kim Seung-Ho
M
Kim Seung-Ho
M
31
K. Nishiya
76'
M
K. Nishiya
76'
M
25
Jorge Luiz
89'
F
Jorge Luiz
89'
F
10
J. Tranziska
60'
F
J. Tranziska
60'
F
Banquillo
9
An Jae-Jun
1'
F
An Jae-Jun
1'
F
18
Cho Sang-Hyeok
14'
F
Cho Sang-Hyeok
14'
F
36
H. Kim
M
H. Kim
M
37
Jung Han-Min
F
Jung Han-Min
F
11
Juninho Rocha
30'
F
Juninho Rocha
30'
F
22
K. Gwang-won
M
K. Gwang-won
M
30
Kim Yong-Hak
14'
F
Kim Yong-Hak
14'
F
14
Lee Chang-Woo
D
Lee Chang-Woo
D
17
Shin Kwang-Hoon
D
Shin Kwang-Hoon
D
3
Ye-Sung Kim
D
Ye-Sung Kim
D
32
Young-jun Cho
D
Young-jun Cho
D
1
Yun Pyeong-Gook
G
Yun Pyeong-Gook
G
Mejores en el campo
Matheus Bueno
M · Kashima
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 tiros
· 120 pass
A. Čavrić
F · Kashima
8.15
1 ⚽
7 tiros
· 19 pass
R. Koike
D · Kashima
8.02
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 63 pass
R. Ogawa
D · Kashima
7.45
· 84 pass
I. Sekigawa
D · Kashima
7.40
· 134 pass
K. Chida
D · Kashima
7.03
1 tiros
· 125 pass
Kashima — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayakawa | G | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Ogawa | D | 90 | 7.45 | — | — | 0 | 84 | 76% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sekigawa | D | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 134 | 119% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Chida | D | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 1 | 125 | 115% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Hirose | D | 9 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Élber | M | 63 | 6.67 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| Matheus Bueno | M | 90 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 120 | 106% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Motosuna | M | 63 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 32% | 5 | — | — |
| H. Hayashu | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Čavrić | F | 85 | 8.15 | 1 | — | 7 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Tokuda | F | 45 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Shibasaki | M | 27 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Léo Ceará | F | 5 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Koike | D | 81 | 8.02 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Matsumura | M | 27 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | F | 45 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
Pohang Steelers — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hwang In-Jae | G | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Wanderson | D | 90 | 5.54 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Jo Sung-Wook | D | 76 | 5.75 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Park Chan-Yong | D | 90 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Jin Si-woo | D | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kang Min-Jun | D | 90 | 5.32 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Kim Dong-Jin | M | 90 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Kim Seung-Ho | M | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Nishiya | M | 76 | 5.69 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Jorge Luiz | F | 89 | 5.89 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Tranziska | F | 60 | 5.62 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| An Jae-Jun | F | 1 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Cho Sang-Hyeok | F | 14 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Juninho Rocha | F | 30 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Kim Yong-Hak | F | 14 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
El marcador final fue Kashima 3–0 Pohang Steelers.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
El modelo asignó un 60% de probabilidad a la victoria de Kashima, un 23% al empate y un 16% a la victoria de Pohang Steelers.