✓Model correct — prediction Kashima
Ryuta Koike
(ast. Matheus Bueno)
69'
Aleksandar Čavrić
75'
Matheus Bueno
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kashima a 60% win probability (draw 23%, Pohang Steelers 16%). The final result was Kashima 3–0 Pohang Steelers.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
0
2.59
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
4
Corners
3
14
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Rikuto Hirose
/ Ryuta Koike
9'
Homare Tokuda
/ Yuma Suzuki
45'
60'
Juninho Rocha
/
Jakob Tranziska
José Élber Pimentel da Silva
/ Yuta Matsumura
63'
Anthony Udemba Motosuna
/ Gaku Shibasaki
63'
⚽Ryuta Koike
· ast. Matheus Bueno
69'
⚽Aleksandar Čavrić
75'
76'
Kim Yong-Hak
/
Jo Sung-Wook
76'
Cho Sang-Hyeok
/
Kento Nishiya
79'
Juninho Rocha
85'
Jin Si-woo
Aleksandar Čavrić
/ Léo Ceará
85'
⚽Matheus Bueno
87'
88'
90'+1
Kim Ye-Sung
/
Wanderson Oliveira
90'+1
An Jae-Joon
/
Jorge Luiz Barbosa Teixeira
Pre-match prediction
60.8%
Kashima ←
23.08%
X
16.12%
Pohang
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Kashima)
60.8%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
2.59
+1.02
0.61
0.18
-0.43
Kashima dominated by xG (2.59 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Hayakawa
G
T. Hayakawa
G
7
R. Ogawa
D
R. Ogawa
D
5
I. Sekigawa
D
I. Sekigawa
D
4
K. Chida
D
K. Chida
D
37
R. Hirose
9'
D
R. Hirose
9'
D
17
Élber
63'
M
Élber
63'
M
8
Matheus Bueno
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Matheus Bueno
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
35
A. Motosuna
63'
M
A. Motosuna
63'
M
24
H. Hayashu
M
H. Hayashu
M
77
A. Čavrić
1 ⚽
85'
F
A. Čavrić
1 ⚽
85'
F
34
H. Tokuda
45'
F
H. Tokuda
45'
F
Bench
10
G. Shibasaki
27'
M
G. Shibasaki
27'
M
23
K. Tsukui
D
K. Tsukui
D
9
Léo Ceará
5'
F
Léo Ceará
5'
F
30
M. Yoshida
F
M. Yoshida
F
55
N. Ueda
D
N. Ueda
D
25
R. Koike
1 ⚽
81'
D
R. Koike
1 ⚽
81'
D
21
T. Yamada
G
T. Yamada
G
14
Y. Higuchi
M
Y. Higuchi
M
27
Y. Matsumura
27'
M
Y. Matsumura
27'
M
28
Y. Okawa
D
Y. Okawa
D
40
Y. Suzuki
45'
F
Y. Suzuki
45'
F
21
Hwang In-Jae
G
Hwang In-Jae
G
77
Wanderson
D
Wanderson
D
33
Jo Sung-Wook
76'
D
Jo Sung-Wook
76'
D
20
Park Chan-Yong
D
Park Chan-Yong
D
5
Jin Si-woo
D
Jin Si-woo
D
13
Kang Min-Jun
D
Kang Min-Jun
D
16
Kim Dong-Jin
M
Kim Dong-Jin
M
8
Kim Seung-Ho
M
Kim Seung-Ho
M
31
K. Nishiya
76'
M
K. Nishiya
76'
M
25
Jorge Luiz
89'
F
Jorge Luiz
89'
F
10
J. Tranziska
60'
F
J. Tranziska
60'
F
Bench
9
An Jae-Jun
1'
F
An Jae-Jun
1'
F
18
Cho Sang-Hyeok
14'
F
Cho Sang-Hyeok
14'
F
36
H. Kim
M
H. Kim
M
37
Jung Han-Min
F
Jung Han-Min
F
11
Juninho Rocha
30'
F
Juninho Rocha
30'
F
22
K. Gwang-won
M
K. Gwang-won
M
30
Kim Yong-Hak
14'
F
Kim Yong-Hak
14'
F
14
Lee Chang-Woo
D
Lee Chang-Woo
D
17
Shin Kwang-Hoon
D
Shin Kwang-Hoon
D
3
Ye-Sung Kim
D
Ye-Sung Kim
D
32
Young-jun Cho
D
Young-jun Cho
D
1
Yun Pyeong-Gook
G
Yun Pyeong-Gook
G
Best on the pitch
Matheus Bueno
M · Kashima
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 120 pass
A. Čavrić
F · Kashima
8.15
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 19 pass
R. Koike
D · Kashima
8.02
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 63 pass
R. Ogawa
D · Kashima
7.45
· 84 pass
I. Sekigawa
D · Kashima
7.40
· 134 pass
K. Chida
D · Kashima
7.03
1 shots
· 125 pass
Kashima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayakawa | G | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Ogawa | D | 90 | 7.45 | — | — | 0 | 84 | 76% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sekigawa | D | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 134 | 119% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Chida | D | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 1 | 125 | 115% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Hirose | D | 9 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Élber | M | 63 | 6.67 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| Matheus Bueno | M | 90 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 120 | 106% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Motosuna | M | 63 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 32% | 5 | — | — |
| H. Hayashu | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Čavrić | F | 85 | 8.15 | 1 | — | 7 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Tokuda | F | 45 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Shibasaki | M | 27 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Léo Ceará | F | 5 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Koike | D | 81 | 8.02 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Matsumura | M | 27 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | F | 45 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
Pohang Steelers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hwang In-Jae | G | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Wanderson | D | 90 | 5.54 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Jo Sung-Wook | D | 76 | 5.75 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Park Chan-Yong | D | 90 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Jin Si-woo | D | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kang Min-Jun | D | 90 | 5.32 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Kim Dong-Jin | M | 90 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Kim Seung-Ho | M | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Nishiya | M | 76 | 5.69 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Jorge Luiz | F | 89 | 5.89 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Tranziska | F | 60 | 5.62 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| An Jae-Jun | F | 1 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Cho Sang-Hyeok | F | 14 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Juninho Rocha | F | 30 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Kim Yong-Hak | F | 14 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
The final score was Kashima 3–0 Pohang Steelers.
What did the model predict before Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Kashima win, 23% to a draw, and 16% to an Pohang Steelers win.