Scottish Premiership
· Relegation Group - 37
May 12, 2026 20:45
✓Modelo correcto — pronóstico Kilmarnock
T. Lowery
(ast. M. Schjonning-Larsen)
62'
J. Hugill
85'
(pen.)
J. Hugill
90'+4
(pp)
77'
T. Lowery
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a Kilmarnock un 57% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 20%, Dundee 21%). El resultado final fue Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee. En 4 encuentros previos, Kilmarnock ha ganado 0 veces, con 2 empates y 2 victorias para Dundee.
Estadísticas del partido
13
Tiros totales
5
7
Tiros a puerta
2
2.77
xG real
0.46
2
Paradas
5
52%
Posesión
48%
6
Córners
2
6
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
3
Crónica
18'
F. Robertson
22'
B. Anderson
35'
R. Deas
38'
B. Anderson
/ M. Watkins
58'
⚽T. Lowery
· ast. M. Schjonning-Larsen
62'
67'
J. Bevan
/
C. Robertson
68'
C. Reilly
/
S. Wright
68'
J. Westley
/
A. Hay
77'
(pp)
T. Lowery⚽
78'
C. Oosenbrugh
/
B. Halliday
83'
J. Bevan
84'
K. O'Hara
⚽J. Hugill
(pen.)
85'
86'
T. Yogane
/
J. Cotterill
M. Watkins
/ D. Watson
87'
M. Schjonning-Larsen
/ L. Mayo
87'
L. Mayo
89'
G. Kiltie
/ R. McKenzie
90'+2
⚽J. Hugill
90'+4
J. Hugill
90'+4
Predicción previa
57.78%
Kilmarnock ←
20.55%
X
21.67%
Dundee
✓ Pronóstico correcto —
asignamos al resultado real (Kilmarnock)
57.78%
(confianza media)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
2.08
2.77
+0.69
1.07
0.46
-0.61
Kilmarnock dominó por xG (2.77 vs 0.46).
El resultado final refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo se desviaron de la realidad.
Alineaciones
1
Max Stryjek
G
Max Stryjek
G
3
Dominic Thompson
D
Dominic Thompson
D
6
Robbie Deas
D
Robbie Deas
D
14
George Stanger
D
George Stanger
D
21
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
1 👟
87'
D
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
1 👟
87'
D
52
Findlay Curtis
M
Findlay Curtis
M
36
Aaron Tshibola
M
Aaron Tshibola
M
18
Tom Lowery
2 ⚽
M
Tom Lowery
2 ⚽
M
19
Bruce Anderson
58'
M
Bruce Anderson
58'
M
11
Greg Kiltie
M
Greg Kiltie
M
44
Joe Hugill
2 ⚽
F
Joe Hugill
2 ⚽
F
Banquillo
12
David Watson
7'
M
David Watson
7'
M
30
Kieran Wright
G
Kieran Wright
G
16
Kyle Magennis
M
Kyle Magennis
M
5
Lewis Mayo
7'
D
Lewis Mayo
7'
D
31
Liam Polworth
M
Liam Polworth
M
23
Marley Watkins
29'
F
Marley Watkins
29'
F
20
Nicky Cleșcenco
F
Nicky Cleșcenco
F
7
Rory McKenzie
2'
M
Rory McKenzie
2'
M
4
Zac Williams
D
Zac Williams
D
13
Kieran O'Hara
G
Kieran O'Hara
G
5
Billy Koumetio
D
Billy Koumetio
D
3
Clark Robertson
67'
D
Clark Robertson
67'
D
4
Ryan Astley
D
Ryan Astley
D
12
Imari Samuels
M
Imari Samuels
M
10
Finlay Robertson
M
Finlay Robertson
M
24
Joel Cotterill
86'
M
Joel Cotterill
86'
M
28
Callum Jones
M
Callum Jones
M
16
Brad Halliday
78'
M
Brad Halliday
78'
M
25
Scott Wright
68'
F
Scott Wright
68'
F
11
Ashley Hay
68'
F
Ashley Hay
68'
F
Banquillo
52
Charley Oosenbrugh
16'
M
Charley Oosenbrugh
16'
M
18
Charlie Reilly
26'
F
Charlie Reilly
26'
F
38
Francisco Valenzuela
M
Francisco Valenzuela
M
30
Harrison Sharp
G
Harrison Sharp
G
27
Joe Bevan
27'
F
Joe Bevan
27'
F
19
Joe Westley
26'
F
Joe Westley
26'
F
14
Lewis Montsma
D
Lewis Montsma
D
8
Paul Digby
M
Paul Digby
M
17
Tony Yogane
8'
M
Tony Yogane
8'
M
Mejores en el campo
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
D · Kilmarnock
7.90
1 👟
2 tiros
· 43 pass
Aaron Tshibola
M · Kilmarnock
7.90
· 75 pass
Findlay Curtis
M · Kilmarnock
7.70
3 tiros
· 20 pass
Tom Lowery
M · Kilmarnock
7.60
2 ⚽
2 tiros
· 49 pass
Clark Robertson
D · Dundee
7.30
1 tiros
· 39 pass
Ryan Astley
D · Dundee
7.20
1 tiros
· 43 pass
Kilmarnock — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Stryjek | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Dominic Thompson | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Robbie Deas | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 55% | — | 1 | — |
| George Stanger | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Michael Schjønning-Larsen | D | 87 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Findlay Curtis | M | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Aaron Tshibola | M | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 75 | 64% | — | — | — |
| Tom Lowery | M | 94 | 7.60 | 2 | — | 2 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruce Anderson | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Greg Kiltie | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Joe Hugill | F | 94 | 6.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| David Watson | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Lewis Mayo | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Marley Watkins | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Rory McKenzie | M | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Dundee — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran O'Hara | G | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Billy Koumetio | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Clark Robertson | D | 67 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Astley | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Imari Samuels | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Finlay Robertson | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Joel Cotterill | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Callum Jones | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Brad Halliday | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Scott Wright | F | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ashley Hay | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Charley Oosenbrugh | M | 16 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Charlie Reilly | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Joe Bevan | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Joe Westley | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tony Yogane | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de Kilmarnock vs Dundee?
El marcador final fue Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para Kilmarnock vs Dundee?
El modelo asignó un 57% de probabilidad a la victoria de Kilmarnock, un 20% al empate y un 21% a la victoria de Dundee.