Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 18
mayo 31, 2026 21:00
✓Modelo correcto — pronóstico Palmeiras
Paulinho
(ast. Felipe Anderson)
65'
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a Palmeiras un 66% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 20%, Chapecoense-sc 13%). El resultado final fue Palmeiras 1–0 Chapecoense-sc.
Estadísticas del partido
9
Tiros totales
9
4
Tiros a puerta
3
0.65
xG real
1.20
3
Paradas
3
48%
Posesión
52%
3
Córners
2
20
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
1
1
🟥 Tarjetas rojas
0
Crónica
Luis Pacheco
23'
Abel Ferreira
38'
Allan Elias
43'
Luis Pacheco
/ Riquelme Fillipi
46'
Luighi
/ Paulinho
57'
Lucas Evangelista
/ Larson
58'
⚽Paulinho
· ast. Felipe Anderson
65'
66'
Italo
/
Marcinho
66'
Jean Carlos
/
Giovanni Augusto
71'
Vinicius Eduardo
/
Bruno Leonardo
Felipe Anderson
/ Benedetti
77'
Arthur Gabriel
/ Jefte
77'
77'
Italo
82'
Neto Pessoa
/
Enio
82'
Rubens Ricoldi
/
Everton
90'+5
90'+20
(pen. fallado)
Y. Bolasie⚽
Predicción previa
66.06%
Palmeiras ←
20.15%
X
13.79%
Chapecoense-sc
✓ Pronóstico correcto —
asignamos al resultado real (Palmeiras)
66.06%
(alta confianza)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
1.83
0.65
-1.18
0.75
1.20
+0.45
Chapecoense-sc dominó por xG (1.20 vs 0.65).
El resultado final no refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo se desviaron de la realidad.
Alineaciones
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
56
Arthur
76'
D
Arthur
76'
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
Bruno Fuchs
D
12
Khellven
D
Khellven
D
30
Lucas Evangelista
58'
M
Lucas Evangelista
58'
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
50
Luis Felipe
45'
M
Luis Felipe
45'
M
7
Felipe Anderson
1 👟
76'
F
Felipe Anderson
1 👟
76'
F
31
Luighi Hanri
57'
F
Luighi Hanri
57'
F
40
Allan
43'
F
Allan
43'
F
Banquillo
24
Aranha
G
Aranha
G
41
Eduardo Conceição Silva
F
Eduardo Conceição Silva
F
45
Erick Machado
M
Erick Machado
M
6
Jefté
34'
D
Jefté
34'
D
72
Kauan Lima
G
Kauan Lima
G
48
Larson
52'
M
Larson
52'
M
43
Luis Benedetti
34'
D
Luis Benedetti
34'
D
10
Paulinho
1 ⚽
53'
F
Paulinho
1 ⚽
53'
F
55
Rafael Barbosa Coutinho
M
Rafael Barbosa Coutinho
M
37
Riquelme Fillipi
65'
F
Riquelme Fillipi
65'
F
47
Victor Gabriel
M
Victor Gabriel
M
44
Zie Mohamed Kone
D
Zie Mohamed Kone
D
98
Anderson
G
Anderson
G
91
Bruno Pacheco
D
Bruno Pacheco
D
4
João Paulo
D
João Paulo
D
33
Bruno Leonardo
71'
D
Bruno Leonardo
71'
D
26
Everton
82'
D
Everton
82'
D
7
Marcinho
66'
M
Marcinho
66'
M
27
Camilo
M
Camilo
M
99
Rafael Carvalheira
M
Rafael Carvalheira
M
97
Ênio
82'
M
Ênio
82'
M
10
Giovanni Augusto
66'
F
Giovanni Augusto
66'
F
11
Y. Bolasie
F
Y. Bolasie
F
Banquillo
19
David Antunes
M
David Antunes
M
22
Higor Meritão
M
Higor Meritão
M
77
Italo
44'
F
Italo
44'
F
20
Jean Carlos
44'
M
Jean Carlos
44'
M
2
Marcos Vinícius
D
Marcos Vinícius
D
30
Matheus Aurélio
G
Matheus Aurélio
G
18
Neto Pessoa
28'
F
Neto Pessoa
28'
F
1
Rafael Santos
G
Rafael Santos
G
70
Rubens
28'
M
Rubens
28'
M
17
Vinicius Balieiro
M
Vinicius Balieiro
M
35
Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida
39'
D
Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida
39'
D
37
W. Clar
D
W. Clar
D
Mejores en el campo
Bruno Fuchs
D · Palmeiras
7.90
· 56 pass
Paulinho
F · Palmeiras
7.70
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 19 pass
Felipe Anderson
F · Palmeiras
7.50
1 👟
1 tiros
· 41 pass
Giovanni Augusto
F · Chapecoense-sc
7.50
· 51 pass
Murilo
D · Palmeiras
7.30
· 46 pass
Marlon Freitas
M · Palmeiras
7.30
1 tiros
· 86 pass
Palmeiras — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Lomba | G | 110 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Arthur | D | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 110 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Fuchs | D | 110 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 53% | 5 | — | — |
| Khellven | D | 110 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 110 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 80% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Felipe | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Felipe Anderson | F | 76 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Luighi Hanri | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| Allan | F | 43 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | — | — | 1 |
| Jefté | D | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Larson | M | 52 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Benedetti | D | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | F | 53 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Fillipi | F | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
Chapecoense-sc — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | G | 110 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 110 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| João Paulo | D | 110 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Leonardo | D | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Everton | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Marcinho | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Camilo | M | 110 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 82 | 77% | 3 | — | — |
| Rafael Carvalheira | M | 110 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Ênio | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | F | 66 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Y. Bolasie | F | 110 | 5.90 | — | — | 5 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Italo | F | 44 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 44 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Neto Pessoa | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Rubens | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida | D | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-sc?
El marcador final fue Palmeiras 1–0 Chapecoense-sc.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-sc?
El modelo asignó un 66% de probabilidad a la victoria de Palmeiras, un 20% al empate y un 13% a la victoria de Chapecoense-sc.