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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 18 May 31, 2026 21:00
Palmeiras
#1 · 41 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Chapecoense-sc
#20 · 9 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Palmeiras
Paulinho (ast. Felipe Anderson) 65'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 66% win probability (draw 20%, Chapecoense-sc 13%). The final result was Palmeiras 1–0 Chapecoense-sc.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
3
0.65
Actual xG
1.20
3
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
2
20
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Luis Pacheco
23'
Abel Ferreira
38'
Allan Elias
43'
↕ Luis Pacheco / Riquelme Fillipi
46'
↕ Luighi / Paulinho
57'
↕ Lucas Evangelista / Larson
58'
⚽Paulinho · ast. Felipe Anderson
65'
66'
Italo / Marcinho ↕
66'
Jean Carlos / Giovanni Augusto ↕
71'
Vinicius Eduardo / Bruno Leonardo ↕
↕ Felipe Anderson / Benedetti
77'
↕ Arthur Gabriel / Jefte
77'
77'
Italo
82'
Neto Pessoa / Enio ↕
82'
Rubens Ricoldi / Everton ↕
90'+5
90'+20
(missed pen.) Y. Bolasie⚽
Pre-match prediction
66.06%
Palmeiras ←
20.15%
X
13.79%
Chapecoense-sc
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras) 66.06% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Palmeiras
1.83
0.65
-1.18
Chapecoense-sc
0.75
1.20
+0.45
Chapecoense-sc dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.65). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 18 41
2 Flamengo Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense Fluminense 18 31
4 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 18 29
6 Bahia Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba Coritiba 18 26
8 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 18 25
9 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 18 24
10 Corinthians Corinthians 18 24
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 18 24
12 Botafogo Botafogo 17 22
13 Vitoria Vitoria 17 22
14 Internacional Internacional 18 21
15 Santos Santos 18 21
16 Gremio Gremio 18 21
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 18 20
18 Remo Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol Mirassol 17 16
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 17 9
Lineups
Palmeiras Palmeiras 4-3-3
14 Marcelo Lomba Marcelo Lomba G 7.00
56 Arthur Gabriel Arthur Gabriel 76' D 7.20
26 Murilo Murilo D 7.30
3 Bruno Fuchs Bruno Fuchs D 7.90
12 Khellven Khellven D 6.20
30 Lucas Evangelista Lucas Evangelista 58' M 7.00
17 Marlon Freitas Marlon Freitas M 7.30
50 Luis Pacheco Luis Pacheco 45' M 6.20
7 Felipe Anderson Felipe Anderson 1 👟 76' F 7.50
31 Luighi Hanri Luighi Hanri 57' F 6.70
40 Allan Allan 43' F 5.60
Bench
24 Aranha Aranha G
41 Eduardo Conceição Silva Eduardo Conceição Silva F
45 Erick Belé Erick Belé M
6 Jefté Jefté 34' D 6.70
72 Kauan Lima Kauan Lima G
48 Larson Larson 52' M 6.60
43 Luis Benedetti Luis Benedetti 34' D 6.60
10 Paulinho Paulinho 1 ⚽ 53' F 7.70
55 Rafael Barbosa Coutinho Rafael Barbosa Coutinho M
37 Riquelme Fillipi Riquelme Fillipi 65' F 7.20
47 Victor Gabriel Victor Gabriel M
44 Zie Mohamed Kone Zie Mohamed Kone D
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 4-4-1-1
98 Anderson Anderson G 6.90
91 Bruno Pacheco Bruno Pacheco D 6.30
4 João Paulo João Paulo D 6.90
33 Bruno Leonardo Bruno Leonardo 71' D 6.20
26 Everton Everton 82' D 6.90
7 Marcinho Marcinho 66' M 6.90
27 Camilo Camilo M 7.20
99 Rafael Carvalheira Rafael Carvalheira M 6.90
97 Ênio Ênio 82' M 6.90
10 Giovanni Augusto Giovanni Augusto 66' F 7.50
11 Yannick Bolasie Yannick Bolasie F 5.90
Bench
19 David Antunes David Antunes M
22 Higor Meritão Higor Meritão M
77 Italo Italo 44' F 6.50
20 Jean Carlos Jean Carlos 44' M 6.70
2 Marcos Vinícius Marcos Vinícius D
30 Matheus Matheus G
18 Neto Pessoa Neto Pessoa 28' F 6.90
1 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos G
70 Rubens Tadeu Rubens Tadeu 28' M 6.60
17 Vinicius Balieiro Vinicius Balieiro M
35 Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida 39' D 6.90
37 Walter Clar Walter Clar D
Best on the pitch
Bruno Fuchs
Bruno Fuchs
D · Palmeiras
7.90
· 56 pass
Paulinho
Paulinho
F · Palmeiras
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
Felipe Anderson
Felipe Anderson
F · Palmeiras
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
Giovanni Augusto
Giovanni Augusto
F · Chapecoense-sc
7.50
· 51 pass
Murilo
Murilo
D · Palmeiras
7.30
· 46 pass
Marlon Freitas
Marlon Freitas
M · Palmeiras
7.30
1 shots · 86 pass
Palmeiras Palmeiras — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marcelo Lomba G 110 7.00 — — — 27 17% — — —
Arthur Gabriel D 76 7.20 — — 2 32 29% 1 — —
Murilo D 110 7.30 — — — 46 42% 2 — —
Bruno Fuchs D 110 7.90 — — — 56 53% 5 — —
Khellven D 110 6.20 — — — 43 33% 1 — —
Lucas Evangelista M 58 7.00 — — — 35 34% — — —
Marlon Freitas M 110 7.30 — — 1 86 80% 1 — —
Luis Pacheco M 45 6.20 — — — 28 25% — 1 —
Felipe Anderson F 76 7.50 — 1 1 41 29% 4 — —
Luighi Hanri F 57 6.70 — — 2 3 3% 3 — —
Allan F 43 5.60 — — 1 23 20% — — 1
Jefté D 34 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
Larson M 52 6.60 — — — 19 17% 1 — —
Luis Benedetti D 34 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
Paulinho F 53 7.70 1 — 1 19 17% — — —
Riquelme Fillipi F 65 7.20 — — 1 23 17% 2 — —
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anderson G 110 6.90 — — — 28 25% — — —
Bruno Pacheco D 110 6.30 — — — 42 36% 2 — —
João Paulo D 110 6.90 — — — 58 55% — — —
Bruno Leonardo D 71 6.20 — — — 50 47% — — —
Everton D 82 6.90 — — — 31 25% — — —
Marcinho M 66 6.90 — — 1 18 15% 3 — —
Camilo M 110 7.20 — — — 82 77% 3 — —
Rafael Carvalheira M 110 6.90 — — 3 40 40% 2 — —
Ênio M 82 6.90 — — — 42 39% — — —
Giovanni Augusto F 66 7.50 — — — 51 44% — — —
Yannick Bolasie F 110 5.90 — — 5 14 10% — — —
Italo F 44 6.50 — — — 11 9% — 1 —
Jean Carlos M 44 6.70 — — — 21 18% — — —
Neto Pessoa F 28 6.90 — — — 8 6% — — —
Rubens Tadeu M 28 6.60 — — — 10 9% — — —
Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida D 39 6.90 — — — 11 11% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Palmeiras 1–0 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Palmeiras win, 20% to a draw, and 13% to an Chapecoense-sc win.