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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 18 May 31, 2026 21:00
Palmeiras
#1 · 56 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Chapecoense-sc
#20 · 17 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Palmeiras
Paulinho (ast. Felipe Anderson) 65'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 66% win probability (draw 20%, Chapecoense-sc 13%). The final result was Palmeiras 1–0 Chapecoense-sc.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
3
0.65
Actual xG
1.20
3
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
2
20
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Luis Pacheco
23'
Abel Ferreira
38'
Allan Elias
43'
↕ Luis Pacheco / Riquelme Fillipi
46'
↕ Luighi / Paulinho
57'
↕ Lucas Evangelista / Larson
58'
⚽Paulinho · ast. Felipe Anderson
65'
66'
Italo / Marcinho ↕
66'
Jean Carlos / Giovanni Augusto ↕
71'
Vinicius Eduardo / Bruno Leonardo ↕
↕ Felipe Anderson / Benedetti
77'
↕ Arthur Gabriel / Jefte
77'
77'
Italo
82'
Neto Pessoa / Enio ↕
82'
Rubens Ricoldi / Everton ↕
90'+5
90'+20
(missed pen.) Y. Bolasie⚽
Pre-match prediction
66.06%
Palmeiras ←
20.15%
X
13.79%
Chapecoense-sc
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras) 66.06% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Palmeiras
1.83
0.65
-1.18
Chapecoense-sc
0.75
1.20
+0.45
Chapecoense-sc dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.65). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 27 56
2 Flamengo Flamengo 26 54
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 27 46
4 Fluminense Fluminense 27 45
5 Bahia Bahia 26 43
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 26 42
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 26 39
8 Coritiba Coritiba 27 38
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 25 35
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 26 33
11 Vitoria Vitoria 26 32
12 Corinthians Corinthians 26 32
13 Santos Santos 25 32
14 Botafogo Botafogo 25 31
15 Gremio Gremio 26 28
16 Mirassol Mirassol 26 28
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 26 28
18 Internacional Internacional 27 28
19 Remo Remo 26 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 26 17
Lineups
Palmeiras Palmeiras 4-3-3
14 Marcelo Lomba Marcelo Lomba G 7.00
56 Arthur Arthur 76' D 7.20
26 Murilo Murilo D 7.30
3 Bruno Fuchs Bruno Fuchs D 7.90
12 Khellven Khellven D 6.20
30 Lucas Evangelista Lucas Evangelista 58' M 7.00
17 Marlon Freitas Marlon Freitas M 7.30
50 Luis Felipe Luis Felipe 45' M 6.20
7 Felipe Anderson Felipe Anderson 1 👟 76' F 7.50
31 Luighi Hanri Luighi Hanri 57' F 6.70
40 Allan Allan 43' F 5.60
Bench
24 Aranha Aranha G
41 Eduardo Conceição Silva Eduardo Conceição Silva F
45 Erick Machado Erick Machado M
6 Jefté Jefté 34' D 6.70
72 Kauan Lima Kauan Lima G
48 Larson Larson 52' M 6.60
43 Luis Benedetti Luis Benedetti 34' D 6.60
10 Paulinho Paulinho 1 ⚽ 53' F 7.70
55 Rafael Barbosa Coutinho Rafael Barbosa Coutinho M
37 Riquelme Fillipi Riquelme Fillipi 65' F 7.20
47 Victor Gabriel Victor Gabriel M
44 Zie Mohamed Kone Zie Mohamed Kone D
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 4-4-1-1
98 Anderson Anderson G 6.90
91 Bruno Pacheco Bruno Pacheco D 6.30
4 João Paulo João Paulo D 6.90
33 Bruno Leonardo Bruno Leonardo 71' D 6.20
26 Everton Everton 82' D 6.90
7 Marcinho Marcinho 66' M 6.90
27 Camilo Camilo M 7.20
99 Rafael Carvalheira Rafael Carvalheira M 6.90
97 Ênio Ênio 82' M 6.90
10 Giovanni Augusto Giovanni Augusto 66' F 7.50
11 Y. Bolasie Y. Bolasie F 5.90
Bench
19 David Antunes David Antunes M
22 Higor Meritão Higor Meritão M
77 Italo Italo 44' F 6.50
20 Jean Carlos Jean Carlos 44' M 6.70
2 Marcos Vinícius Marcos Vinícius D
30 Matheus Aurélio Matheus Aurélio G
18 Neto Pessoa Neto Pessoa 28' F 6.90
1 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos G
70 Rubens Rubens 28' M 6.60
17 Vinicius Balieiro Vinicius Balieiro M
35 Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida 39' D 6.90
37 W. Clar W. Clar D
Best on the pitch
Bruno Fuchs
Bruno Fuchs
D · Palmeiras
7.90
· 56 pass
Paulinho
Paulinho
F · Palmeiras
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
Felipe Anderson
Felipe Anderson
F · Palmeiras
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
Giovanni Augusto
Giovanni Augusto
F · Chapecoense-sc
7.50
· 51 pass
Murilo
Murilo
D · Palmeiras
7.30
· 46 pass
Marlon Freitas
Marlon Freitas
M · Palmeiras
7.30
1 shots · 86 pass
Palmeiras Palmeiras — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marcelo Lomba G 110 7.00 — — — 27 17% — — —
Arthur D 76 7.20 — — 2 32 29% 1 — —
Murilo D 110 7.30 — — — 46 42% 2 — —
Bruno Fuchs D 110 7.90 — — — 56 53% 5 — —
Khellven D 110 6.20 — — — 43 33% 1 — —
Lucas Evangelista M 58 7.00 — — — 35 34% — — —
Marlon Freitas M 110 7.30 — — 1 86 80% 1 — —
Luis Felipe M 45 6.20 — — — 28 25% — 1 —
Felipe Anderson F 76 7.50 — 1 1 41 29% 4 — —
Luighi Hanri F 57 6.70 — — 2 3 3% 3 — —
Allan F 43 5.60 — — 1 23 20% — — 1
Jefté D 34 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
Larson M 52 6.60 — — — 19 17% 1 — —
Luis Benedetti D 34 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
Paulinho F 53 7.70 1 — 1 19 17% — — —
Riquelme Fillipi F 65 7.20 — — 1 23 17% 2 — —
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anderson G 110 6.90 — — — 28 25% — — —
Bruno Pacheco D 110 6.30 — — — 42 36% 2 — —
João Paulo D 110 6.90 — — — 58 55% — — —
Bruno Leonardo D 71 6.20 — — — 50 47% — — —
Everton D 82 6.90 — — — 31 25% — — —
Marcinho M 66 6.90 — — 1 18 15% 3 — —
Camilo M 110 7.20 — — — 82 77% 3 — —
Rafael Carvalheira M 110 6.90 — — 3 40 40% 2 — —
Ênio M 82 6.90 — — — 42 39% — — —
Giovanni Augusto F 66 7.50 — — — 51 44% — — —
Y. Bolasie F 110 5.90 — — 5 14 10% — — —
Italo F 44 6.50 — — — 11 9% — 1 —
Jean Carlos M 44 6.70 — — — 21 18% — — —
Neto Pessoa F 28 6.90 — — — 8 6% — — —
Rubens M 28 6.60 — — — 10 9% — — —
Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida D 39 6.90 — — — 11 11% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Palmeiras 1–0 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Palmeiras win, 20% to a draw, and 13% to an Chapecoense-sc win.