Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 14
May 03, 2026 21:00
Artur
(ast. Wendell)
17'
Ferreirinha
(ast. Jonathan Calleri)
73'
62'
(ast. Everton Ribeiro)
Luciano Juba
90'+7
Erick
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a Sao Paulo un 43% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 27%, Bahia 28%). El resultado final fue Sao Paulo 2–2 Bahia.
Estadísticas del partido
11
Tiros totales
14
8
Tiros a puerta
7
2.14
xG real
1.92
4
Paradas
6
38%
Posesión
62%
13
Córners
10
9
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
3
Crónica
André Silva
-5'
⚽Artur
· ast. Wendell
17'
41'
Nicolás Acevedo
Damián Bobadilla
45'
Lucas Ramon
/ Cédric Soares
50'
56'
Mateo Sanabria
/
Cristian Olivera
62'
ast. Everton Ribeiro ·
Luciano Juba⚽
Cauly
/ Lucas Moura
63'
Wendell
/ Enzo Díaz
71'
Luciano
/ Ferreirinha
71'
Danielzinho
/ Luan Santos
71'
⚽Ferreirinha
· ast. Jonathan Calleri
73'
Enzo Díaz
81'
82'
Michel Araújo
/
Jean Lucas
82'
Rodrigo Nestor
/
Everton Ribeiro
82'
Ademir
/
Erick Pulga
90'+4
Mateo Sanabria
Jonathan Calleri
90'+6
90'+7
Erick
90'+7
Erick⚽
90'
Everaldo
/
Willian José
Predicción previa
43.68%
Sao
27.64%
X ←
28.67%
Bahia
asignamos al resultado real (Empate)
27.64%
(baja confianza)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
1.54
2.14
+0.6
1.23
1.92
+0.69
La dominancia xG fue equilibrada (2.14 – 1.92).
El resultado final refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo se desviaron de la realidad.
Alineaciones
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
19
Lucas Ramon
50'
D
28
A. Franco
D
35
Sabino
D
Sabino
D
18
Wendell
1 👟
71'
D
Wendell
1 👟
71'
D
16
Damián Bobadilla
M
Damián Bobadilla
M
94
Danielzinho
71'
M
Danielzinho
71'
M
37
Artur
1 ⚽
M
Artur
1 ⚽
M
10
Luciano
71'
M
Luciano
71'
M
80
Cauly
63'
M
Cauly
63'
M
9
J. Calleri
1 👟
F
J. Calleri
1 👟
F
Banquillo
17
André Silva
F
André Silva
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
21
Cédric Soares
50'
D
Cédric Soares
50'
D
48
Djhordney Ferreira
M
Djhordney Ferreira
M
13
Enzo Díaz
29'
D
Enzo Díaz
29'
D
11
Ferreirinha
1 ⚽
29'
F
Ferreirinha
1 ⚽
29'
F
14
Gonzalo Tapia
F
Gonzalo Tapia
F
33
Luan Santos
29'
M
Luan Santos
29'
M
45
Lucca
F
Lucca
F
22
G
5
Nicolás Acevedo
D
Nicolás Acevedo
D
33
David Duarte
D
David Duarte
D
21
Santiago Ramos Mingo
D
Santiago Ramos Mingo
D
46
Luciano Juba
1 ⚽
D
Luciano Juba
1 ⚽
D
14
Erick
1 ⚽
M
Erick
1 ⚽
M
6
Jean Lucas
82'
M
Jean Lucas
82'
M
99
Cristian Olivera
56'
M
Cristian Olivera
56'
M
10
Everton Ribeiro
1 👟
82'
M
Everton Ribeiro
1 👟
82'
M
16
Erick Pulga
82'
M
Erick Pulga
82'
M
12
Willian José
F
Willian José
F
Banquillo
27
Everaldo
F
Everaldo
F
3
Gabriel Xavier
D
Gabriel Xavier
D
2
Gilberto
D
Gilberto
D
23
Mateo Sanabria
44'
F
Mateo Sanabria
44'
F
15
Michel Araújo
18'
M
Michel Araújo
18'
M
Mejores en el campo
David Duarte
D · Bahia
8.20
1 tiros
· 54 pass
Artur
M · Sao
8.00
1 ⚽
3 tiros
· 26 pass
Luciano Juba
D · Bahia
8.00
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 48 pass
G · Bahia
8.00
· 21 pass
Ferreirinha
F · Sao
7.90
1 ⚽
2 tiros
· 13 pass
Lucas Ramon
D · Sao
7.90
2 tiros
· 18 pass
Sao Paulo — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 50 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Franco | D | 100 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Sabino | D | 100 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Wendell | D | 71 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Damián Bobadilla | M | 100 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 100 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Luciano | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Cauly | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Calleri | F | 100 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Cédric Soares | D | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo Díaz | D | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Ferreirinha | F | 29 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Luan Santos | M | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Bahia — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 100 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Nicolás Acevedo | D | 100 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 85 | 71% | — | 1 | — |
| David Duarte | D | 100 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | D | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 65 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Juba | D | 100 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 100 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 59 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Cristian Olivera | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Everton Ribeiro | M | 82 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 61 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Sanabria | F | 44 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Michel Araújo | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de Sao Paulo vs Bahia?
El marcador final fue Sao Paulo 2–2 Bahia.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para Sao Paulo vs Bahia?
El modelo asignó un 43% de probabilidad a la victoria de Sao Paulo, un 27% al empate y un 28% a la victoria de Bahia.