✗Modelo incorrecto — pronóstico Shamrock Rovers, resultado Sligo Rovers gana
S. McHale
11'
(pp)
66'
(ast. C. Kavanagh)
J. Esua
90'+7
(ast. R. O'Kane)
C. McHugh
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a Shamrock Rovers un 72% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 16%, Sligo Rovers 10%). El resultado final fue Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers. En 1 encuentros previos, Shamrock Rovers ha ganado 1 veces, con 0 empates y 0 victorias para Sligo Rovers.
Estadísticas del partido
11
Tiros totales
4
3
Tiros a puerta
1
1.39
xG real
1.24
0
Paradas
3
68%
Posesión
32%
3
Córners
4
16
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
1
Crónica
⚽S. McHale
(pp)
11'
J. Mulraney
/ D. Grant
39'
M. Healy
/ J. O'Sullivan
46'
46'
R. O'Kane
/
A. Nolan
53'
C. Harkin
/
J. McManus
M. Noonan
/ J. McGovern
65'
A. Greene
/ G. Burke
65'
D. Watts
/ V. Ozhianvuna
65'
66'
ast. C. Kavanagh ·
J. Esua⚽
J. O'Sullivan
69'
72'
M. Traore
/
C. Harkin
81'
C. McHugh
/
C. Kavanagh
J. Byrne
90'+1
90'+4
S. Sargeant
90'+7
ast. R. O'Kane ·
C. McHugh⚽
Predicción previa
72.82%
Shamrock
16.31%
X
10.86%
Sligo ←
✗ Pronóstico incorrecto —
asignamos al resultado real (Sligo Rovers)
10.86%
(baja confianza)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
2.28
1.39
-0.89
0.67
1.24
+0.57
La dominancia xG fue equilibrada (1.39 – 1.24).
El resultado final no refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo se desviaron de la realidad.
Alineaciones
1
Ed McGinty
G
5
Lee Grace
D
2
Adam Matthews
D
Adam Matthews
D
22
T. Sobowale
D
T. Sobowale
D
19
Adam Brennan
M
29
J. Byrne
M
J. Byrne
M
8
M. Healy
45'
M
M. Healy
45'
M
7
Dylan Watts
65'
M
11
Jake Mulraney
39'
M
9
Aaron Greene
65'
F
31
Michael Noonan
65'
F
Michael Noonan
65'
F
Banquillo
41
Alex Noonan
G
Alex Noonan
G
23
Connor Malley
M
Connor Malley
M
27
Cory O'Sullivan
D
Cory O'Sullivan
D
21
Daniel Grant
56'
M
Daniel Grant
56'
M
3
Enda Stevens
D
10
G. Burke
30'
F
G. Burke
30'
F
88
J. McGovern
30'
F
J. McGovern
30'
F
26
John O'Sullivan
50'
M
John O'Sullivan
50'
M
36
Victor Ozhianvuna
30'
M
Victor Ozhianvuna
30'
M
29
Sam Sargeant
G
Sam Sargeant
G
5
Shane Blaney
D
Shane Blaney
D
52
Gareth McElroy
D
Gareth McElroy
D
15
O. Denham
D
O. Denham
D
7
W. Fitzgerald
M
W. Fitzgerald
M
17
Sean McHale
1 ⚽
M
Sean McHale
1 ⚽
M
14
James McManus
53'
M
James McManus
53'
M
33
Jeannot Esua
1 ⚽
M
Jeannot Esua
1 ⚽
M
71
Daire Patton
F
Daire Patton
F
11
Cian Kavanagh
1 👟
81'
F
Cian Kavanagh
1 👟
81'
F
19
Alex Nolan
45'
F
Alex Nolan
45'
F
Banquillo
6
Ciaron Harkin
19'
M
Ciaron Harkin
19'
M
16
C. McHugh
1 ⚽
14'
M
C. McHugh
1 ⚽
14'
M
61
Conor Cannon
D
Conor Cannon
D
63
Guilherme Rego Priosti
M
Guilherme Rego Priosti
M
23
Kyle McDonagh
M
Kyle McDonagh
M
1
Liam Hughes
G
Liam Hughes
G
24
Mai Traore
23'
F
Mai Traore
23'
F
28
Ryan O'Kane
1 👟
50'
F
Ryan O'Kane
1 👟
50'
F
3
Sean Stewart
D
Sean Stewart
D
Mejores en el campo
Jeannot Esua
M · Sligo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 23 pass
J. Byrne
M · Shamrock
7.90
1 tiros
· 97 pass
Gareth McElroy
D · Sligo
7.90
· 31 pass
John O'Sullivan
M · Shamrock
7.50
3 tiros
· 62 pass
Adam Brennan
M · Shamrock
7.30
2 tiros
· 32 pass
Shane Blaney
D · Sligo
7.30
· 35 pass
Shamrock Rovers — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed McGinty | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lee Grace | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 59% | 4 | — | — |
| Adam Matthews | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Sobowale | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Adam Brennan | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| J. Byrne | M | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 97 | 84% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Healy | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Dylan Watts | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Jake Mulraney | M | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Aaron Greene | F | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Michael Noonan | F | 65 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Grant | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| G. Burke | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. McGovern | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| John O'Sullivan | M | 50 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 62 | 56% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Victor Ozhianvuna | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Sligo Rovers — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Sargeant | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Shane Blaney | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | 6 | — | — |
| Gareth McElroy | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Denham | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Fitzgerald | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Sean McHale | M | 95 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| James McManus | M | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Jeannot Esua | M | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Daire Patton | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Cian Kavanagh | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Nolan | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ciaron Harkin | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McHugh | M | 14 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Mai Traore | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan O'Kane | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?
El marcador final fue Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?
El modelo asignó un 72% de probabilidad a la victoria de Shamrock Rovers, un 16% al empate y un 10% a la victoria de Sligo Rovers.