✗Model wrong — prediction Shamrock Rovers, result Sligo Rovers wins
S. McHale
11'
(og)
66'
(ast. C. Kavanagh)
J. Esua
90'+7
(ast. R. O'Kane)
C. McHugh
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 72% win probability (draw 16%, Sligo Rovers 10%). The final result was Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers. In 2 previous meetings, Shamrock Rovers have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sligo Rovers.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
1
1.39
Actual xG
1.24
0
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
3
Corners
4
16
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. McHale
(og)
11'
J. Mulraney
/ D. Grant
39'
M. Healy
/ J. O'Sullivan
46'
46'
R. O'Kane
/
A. Nolan
53'
C. Harkin
/
J. McManus
M. Noonan
/ J. McGovern
65'
A. Greene
/ G. Burke
65'
D. Watts
/ V. Ozhianvuna
65'
66'
ast. C. Kavanagh ·
J. Esua⚽
J. O'Sullivan
69'
72'
M. Traore
/
C. Harkin
81'
C. McHugh
/
C. Kavanagh
J. Byrne
90'+1
90'+4
S. Sargeant
90'+7
ast. R. O'Kane ·
C. McHugh⚽
Pre-match prediction
72.82%
Shamrock
16.31%
X
10.86%
Sligo ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sligo Rovers)
10.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.28
1.39
-0.89
0.67
1.24
+0.57
xG dominance was balanced (1.39 – 1.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ed McGinty
G
Ed McGinty
G
5
Lee Grace
D
Lee Grace
D
2
Adam Matthews
D
Adam Matthews
D
22
Tunmise Sobowale
D
Tunmise Sobowale
D
19
Adam Brennan
M
29
J. Byrne
M
J. Byrne
M
8
Matthew Healy
45'
M
Matthew Healy
45'
M
7
D. Watts
65'
M
D. Watts
65'
M
11
Jake Mulraney
39'
M
Jake Mulraney
39'
M
9
Aaron Greene
65'
F
Aaron Greene
65'
F
31
Michael Noonan
65'
F
Michael Noonan
65'
F
Bench
41
Alex Noonan
G
Alex Noonan
G
23
C. Malley
M
C. Malley
M
27
Cory O'Sullivan
D
Cory O'Sullivan
D
21
Daniel Grant
56'
M
Daniel Grant
56'
M
3
Enda Stevens
D
10
G. Burke
30'
F
G. Burke
30'
F
88
J. McGovern
30'
F
J. McGovern
30'
F
26
John O'Sullivan
50'
M
John O'Sullivan
50'
M
36
Victor Ozhianvuna
30'
M
Victor Ozhianvuna
30'
M
29
Sam Sargeant
G
Sam Sargeant
G
5
Shane Blaney
D
Shane Blaney
D
52
Gareth McElroy
D
Gareth McElroy
D
15
Oliver Denham
D
Oliver Denham
D
7
William Fitzgerald
M
William Fitzgerald
M
17
Sean McHale
1 ⚽
M
Sean McHale
1 ⚽
M
14
James McManus
53'
M
James McManus
53'
M
33
Jeannot Esua
1 ⚽
M
Jeannot Esua
1 ⚽
M
71
D. Patton
F
D. Patton
F
11
Cian Kavanagh
1 👟
81'
F
Cian Kavanagh
1 👟
81'
F
19
Alex Nolan
45'
F
Alex Nolan
45'
F
Bench
16
Carl McHugh
1 ⚽
14'
M
Carl McHugh
1 ⚽
14'
M
6
Ciaron Harkin
19'
M
Ciaron Harkin
19'
M
61
Conor Cannon
D
Conor Cannon
D
63
Guilherme Rego Priosti
M
Guilherme Rego Priosti
M
23
Kyle McDonagh
M
Kyle McDonagh
M
1
Liam Hughes
G
Liam Hughes
G
24
Mai Traore
23'
F
Mai Traore
23'
F
28
Ryan O'Kane
1 👟
50'
F
Ryan O'Kane
1 👟
50'
F
3
Sean Stewart
D
Sean Stewart
D
Best on the pitch
Jeannot Esua
M · Sligo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Gareth McElroy
D · Sligo
7.90
· 31 pass
J. Byrne
M · Shamrock
7.90
1 shots
· 97 pass
John O'Sullivan
M · Shamrock
7.50
3 shots
· 62 pass
Adam Brennan
M · Shamrock
7.30
2 shots
· 32 pass
Shane Blaney
D · Sligo
7.30
· 35 pass
Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed McGinty | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lee Grace | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 59% | 4 | — | — |
| Adam Matthews | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Tunmise Sobowale | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Adam Brennan | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| J. Byrne | M | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 97 | 84% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matthew Healy | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Watts | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Jake Mulraney | M | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Aaron Greene | F | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Michael Noonan | F | 65 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Grant | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| G. Burke | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. McGovern | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| John O'Sullivan | M | 50 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 62 | 56% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Victor Ozhianvuna | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Sligo Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Sargeant | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Shane Blaney | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | 6 | — | — |
| Gareth McElroy | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Oliver Denham | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| William Fitzgerald | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Sean McHale | M | 95 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| James McManus | M | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Jeannot Esua | M | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. Patton | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Cian Kavanagh | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Nolan | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Carl McHugh | M | 14 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Ciaron Harkin | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Mai Traore | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan O'Kane | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?
The final score was Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers.
What did the model predict before Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Shamrock Rovers win, 16% to a draw, and 10% to an Sligo Rovers win.