Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers — pre-match prediction — Premier Division — May 22, 2026

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Premier Division · Regular Season - 18 May 22, 2026 21:00 Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Shamrock Rovers

#2 · 59 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Sligo Rovers

#10 · 23 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Shamrock Rovers, result Sligo Rovers wins

S. McHale 11' (og)

66' (ast. C. Kavanagh) J. Esua

90'+7 (ast. R. O'Kane) C. McHugh

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 72% win probability (draw 16%, Sligo Rovers 10%). The final result was Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers. In 2 previous meetings, Shamrock Rovers have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sligo Rovers.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.39

Actual xG

1.24

Saves

68%

Possession

32%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽S. McHale (og)

11'

↕ J. Mulraney / D. Grant

39'

↕ M. Healy / J. O'Sullivan

46'

R. O'Kane / A. Nolan ↕

53'

C. Harkin / J. McManus ↕

↕ M. Noonan / J. McGovern

65'

↕ A. Greene / G. Burke

65'

↕ D. Watts / V. Ozhianvuna

65'

66'

ast. C. Kavanagh · J. Esua⚽

J. O'Sullivan

69'

72'

M. Traore / C. Harkin ↕

81'

C. McHugh / C. Kavanagh ↕

J. Byrne

90'+1

90'+4

S. Sargeant

90'+7

ast. R. O'Kane · C. McHugh⚽

Pre-match prediction

72.82%

Shamrock

16.31%

10.86%

Sligo ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sligo Rovers) 10.86% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Shamrock

2.28

1.39

-0.89

Sligo

0.67

1.24

+0.57

xG dominance was balanced (1.39 – 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	St Patrick's Athl.	32	59
2	Shamrock Rovers	31	59
3	Bohemians	31	56
4	Derry City	32	41
5	Dundalk	32	41
6	Shelbourne	32	40
7	Galway United	32	38
8	Waterford	32	34
9	Drogheda United	32	34
10	Sligo Rovers	32	23

Lineups

Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2

E. McGinty G 6.30

L. Grace D 7.00

Adam Matthews D 6.90

T. Sobowale D 6.90

Adam Brennan M 7.30

J. Byrne M 7.90

M. Healy 45' M 7.00

D. Watts 65' M 6.30

J. Mulraney 39' M 6.90

A. Greene 65' F 6.90

M. Noonan 65' F 5.30

Bench

Alex Noonan G

C. Malley M

C. O'Sullivan D

Daniel Grant 56' M 6.70

E. Stevens D

G. Burke 30' F 6.30

J. McGovern 30' F 6.50

John O'Sullivan 50' M 7.50

Victor Ozhianvuna 30' M 6.30

Sligo Rovers 3-4-1-2

S. Sargeant G 6.90

Shane Blaney D 7.30

G. McElroy D 7.90

O. Denham D 6.90

W. Fitzgerald M 6.20

S. McHale 1 ⚽ M 6.50

J. McManus 53' M 6.30

Jeannot Esua 1 ⚽ M 7.90

D. Patton F 7.20

C. Kavanagh 1 👟 81' F 6.30

A. Nolan 45' F 6.30

Bench

Ciaron Harkin 19' M 6.30

C. McHugh 1 ⚽ 14' M 6.90

Conor Cannon D

Guilherme Rego Priosti M

K. McDonagh M

Liam John Hughes G

Mai Traore 23' F 6.90

Ryan O'Kane 1 👟 50' F 6.30

Sean Stewart D

Best on the pitch

Jeannot Esua

M · Sligo

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 23 pass

J. Byrne

M · Shamrock

7.90

1 shots · 97 pass

G. McElroy

D · Sligo

7.90

· 31 pass

John O'Sullivan

M · Shamrock

7.50

3 shots · 62 pass

Adam Brennan

M · Shamrock

7.30

2 shots · 32 pass

Shane Blaney

D · Sligo

7.30

· 35 pass

Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. McGinty	G	95	6.30	—	—	—	18	13%	—	—	—
L. Grace	D	95	7.00	—	—	1	61	59%	4	—	—
Adam Matthews	D	95	6.90	—	—	—	45	42%	2	—	—
T. Sobowale	D	95	6.90	—	—	—	61	60%	1	—	—
Adam Brennan	M	95	7.30	—	—	2	32	29%	—	—	—
J. Byrne	M	95	7.90	—	—	1	97	84%	1	1	—
M. Healy	M	45	7.00	—	—	—	68	63%	1	—	—
D. Watts	M	65	6.30	—	—	—	48	37%	1	—	—
J. Mulraney	M	39	6.90	—	—	—	19	17%	3	—	—
A. Greene	F	65	6.90	—	—	1	28	22%	—	—	—
M. Noonan	F	65	5.30	—	—	2	21	14%	—	—	—
Daniel Grant	M	56	6.70	—	—	—	26	25%	—	—	—
G. Burke	F	30	6.30	—	—	1	24	21%	—	—	—
J. McGovern	F	30	6.50	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
John O'Sullivan	M	50	7.50	—	—	3	62	56%	2	1	—
Victor Ozhianvuna	M	30	6.30	—	—	—	13	11%	1	—	—

Sligo Rovers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Sargeant	G	95	6.90	—	—	—	33	17%	—	1	—
Shane Blaney	D	95	7.30	—	—	—	35	20%	6	—	—
G. McElroy	D	95	7.90	—	—	—	31	27%	2	—	—
O. Denham	D	95	6.90	—	—	—	33	28%	2	—	—
W. Fitzgerald	M	95	6.20	—	—	—	17	12%	—	—	—
S. McHale	M	95	6.50	1	—	—	30	22%	2	—	—
J. McManus	M	53	6.30	—	—	1	31	22%	2	—	—
Jeannot Esua	M	95	7.90	1	—	1	23	19%	—	—	—
D. Patton	F	95	7.20	—	—	1	19	17%	1	—	—
C. Kavanagh	F	81	6.30	—	1	1	9	7%	1	—	—
A. Nolan	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
Ciaron Harkin	M	19	6.30	—	—	—	9	6%	1	—	—
C. McHugh	M	14	6.90	1	—	—	6	4%	2	—	—
Mai Traore	F	23	6.90	—	—	—	6	5%	1	—	—
Ryan O'Kane	F	50	6.30	—	1	—	2	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

The final score was Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers.

What did the model predict before Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

The model assigned 72% probability to a Shamrock Rovers win, 16% to a draw, and 10% to an Sligo Rovers win.