✓Modelo correcto — pronóstico Shelbourne
W. Jarvis
(ast. H. Wood)
37'
S. Boyd
90'+3
(pp)
39'
K. Ledwidge
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a Shelbourne un 63% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 18%, Waterford 17%). El resultado final fue Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford. En 1 encuentros previos, Shelbourne ha ganado 0 veces, con 1 empates y 0 victorias para Waterford.
Estadísticas del partido
13
Tiros totales
5
7
Tiros a puerta
2
2.81
xG real
0.27
2
Paradas
5
69%
Posesión
31%
3
Córners
2
13
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
3
Crónica
26'
L. Heeney
31'
B. Couto
S. Bone
34'
⚽W. Jarvis
· ast. H. Wood
37'
39'
(pp)
K. Ledwidge⚽
W. Jarvis
/ D. Kelly
55'
R. Freitas
/ M. Odubeko
61'
M. Mbeng
/ M. Lundgren
61'
70'
S. Glenfield
/
L. Heeney
72'
C. Barrett
/
D. McMenamy
A. Coote
/ E. Chapman
79'
E. Caffrey
/ S. Boyd
80'
81'
W. Johnson
85'
J. Voilas
/
P. Amond
86'
C. Noonan
/
T. Lonergan
⚽S. Boyd
90'+3
J. Lunney
90'+5
Predicción previa
63.78%
Shelbourne ←
18.37%
X
17.85%
Waterford
✓ Pronóstico correcto —
asignamos al resultado real (Shelbourne)
63.78%
(alta confianza)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
2.37
2.81
+0.44
1.20
0.27
-0.93
Shelbourne dominó por xG (2.81 vs 0.27).
El resultado final refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo se desviaron de la realidad.
Alineaciones
1
Wessel Speel
G
4
Kameron Ledwidge
1 ⚽
D
29
Paddy Barrett
D
15
Sam Bone
D
25
Milan Mbeng
61'
D
36
Will Jarvis
1 ⚽
55'
M
7
H. Wood
1 👟
M
H. Wood
1 👟
M
6
J. Lunney
M
J. Lunney
M
14
Ali Coote
79'
M
27
Evan Caffrey
79'
M
20
Rodrigo Freitas
61'
F
Rodrigo Freitas
61'
F
Banquillo
11
Ademipo Odubeko
34'
F
Ademipo Odubeko
34'
F
31
Conor Walsh
G
Conor Walsh
G
17
D. Kelly
40'
M
D. Kelly
40'
M
5
Ellis Chapman
16'
M
Ellis Chapman
16'
M
28
Maill Lundgren
34'
M
Maill Lundgren
34'
M
9
Sean Boyd
1 ⚽
16'
F
Sean Boyd
1 ⚽
16'
F
22
Sean Moore
D
Sean Moore
D
2
S. Gannon
D
S. Gannon
D
24
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
1
Stephen McMullan
G
Stephen McMullan
G
3
Benny Couto
D
Benny Couto
D
13
Kevin Long
D
Kevin Long
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
16
Hayden Cann
D
Hayden Cann
D
2
Jordan Houston
D
Jordan Houston
D
4
Will Johnson
M
Will Johnson
M
27
Dean McMenamy
72'
M
Dean McMenamy
72'
M
15
L. Heeney
70'
M
L. Heeney
70'
M
9
P. Amond
85'
F
P. Amond
85'
F
18
T. Lonergan
85'
F
T. Lonergan
85'
F
Banquillo
21
Arlo Doherty
G
Arlo Doherty
G
6
Cian Barrett
23'
D
Cian Barrett
23'
D
10
Conan Noonan
10'
M
Conan Noonan
10'
M
7
Conor Carty
F
Conor Carty
F
14
Jesse Dempsey
D
Jesse Dempsey
D
17
Jordan Faria
M
Jordan Faria
M
20
J. Voilås
10'
F
J. Voilås
10'
F
22
Ronan Mansfield
F
Ronan Mansfield
F
19
Samuel Glenfield
25'
M
Samuel Glenfield
25'
M
Mejores en el campo
H. Wood
M · Shelbourne
8.20
1 👟
1 tiros
· 61 pass
Will Jarvis
M · Shelbourne
7.90
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 16 pass
J. Lunney
M · Shelbourne
7.70
· 68 pass
Ali Coote
M · Shelbourne
7.70
3 tiros
· 50 pass
Kameron Ledwidge
D · Shelbourne
7.60
1 ⚽
· 63 pass
D. Kelly
M · Shelbourne
7.50
· 20 pass
Shelbourne — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wessel Speel | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Kameron Ledwidge | D | 95 | 7.60 | 1 | — | — | 63 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Paddy Barrett | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Sam Bone | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Milan Mbeng | D | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Will Jarvis | M | 55 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Wood | M | 95 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 61 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lunney | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Coote | M | 79 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Evan Caffrey | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Freitas | F | 61 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Ademipo Odubeko | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 40 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Ellis Chapman | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Maill Lundgren | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Sean Boyd | F | 16 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Waterford — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen McMullan | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Benny Couto | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Long | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Hayden Cann | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordan Houston | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 5 | — | — |
| Will Johnson | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 8% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Dean McMenamy | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Heeney | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Amond | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Cian Barrett | D | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Conan Noonan | M | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Voilås | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Glenfield | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 4 | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de Shelbourne vs Waterford?
El marcador final fue Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para Shelbourne vs Waterford?
El modelo asignó un 63% de probabilidad a la victoria de Shelbourne, un 18% al empate y un 17% a la victoria de Waterford.