✓Model correct — prediction Shelbourne
W. Jarvis
(ast. H. Wood)
37'
S. Boyd
90'+3
(og)
39'
K. Ledwidge
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shelbourne a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Waterford 17%). The final result was Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford. In 1 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Waterford.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
2.81
Actual xG
0.27
2
Saves
5
69%
Possession
31%
3
Corners
2
13
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
26'
L. Heeney
31'
B. Couto
S. Bone
34'
⚽W. Jarvis
· ast. H. Wood
37'
39'
(og)
K. Ledwidge⚽
W. Jarvis
/ D. Kelly
55'
R. Freitas
/ M. Odubeko
61'
M. Mbeng
/ M. Lundgren
61'
70'
S. Glenfield
/
L. Heeney
72'
C. Barrett
/
D. McMenamy
A. Coote
/ E. Chapman
79'
E. Caffrey
/ S. Boyd
80'
81'
W. Johnson
85'
J. Voilas
/
P. Amond
86'
C. Noonan
/
T. Lonergan
⚽S. Boyd
90'+3
J. Lunney
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
63.78%
Shelbourne ←
18.37%
X
17.85%
Waterford
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Shelbourne)
63.78%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.37
2.81
+0.44
1.20
0.27
-0.93
Shelbourne dominated by xG (2.81 vs 0.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Wessel Speel
G
4
Kameron Ledwidge
1 ⚽
D
29
Paddy Barrett
D
15
Sam Bone
D
25
Milan Mbeng
61'
D
36
Will Jarvis
1 ⚽
55'
M
7
H. Wood
1 👟
M
H. Wood
1 👟
M
6
J. Lunney
M
J. Lunney
M
14
Ali Coote
79'
M
27
Evan Caffrey
79'
M
20
Rodrigo Freitas
61'
F
Rodrigo Freitas
61'
F
Bench
11
Ademipo Odubeko
34'
F
Ademipo Odubeko
34'
F
31
Conor Walsh
G
Conor Walsh
G
17
D. Kelly
40'
M
D. Kelly
40'
M
5
Ellis Chapman
16'
M
Ellis Chapman
16'
M
28
Maill Lundgren
34'
M
Maill Lundgren
34'
M
9
Sean Boyd
1 ⚽
16'
F
Sean Boyd
1 ⚽
16'
F
22
Sean Moore
D
Sean Moore
D
2
S. Gannon
D
S. Gannon
D
24
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
1
Stephen McMullan
G
Stephen McMullan
G
3
Benny Couto
D
Benny Couto
D
13
Kevin Long
D
Kevin Long
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
16
Hayden Cann
D
Hayden Cann
D
2
Jordan Houston
D
Jordan Houston
D
4
Will Johnson
M
Will Johnson
M
27
Dean McMenamy
72'
M
Dean McMenamy
72'
M
15
L. Heeney
70'
M
L. Heeney
70'
M
9
P. Amond
85'
F
P. Amond
85'
F
18
T. Lonergan
85'
F
T. Lonergan
85'
F
Bench
21
Arlo Doherty
G
Arlo Doherty
G
6
Cian Barrett
23'
D
Cian Barrett
23'
D
10
Conan Noonan
10'
M
Conan Noonan
10'
M
7
Conor Carty
F
Conor Carty
F
14
Jesse Dempsey
D
Jesse Dempsey
D
17
Jordan Faria
M
Jordan Faria
M
20
J. Voilås
10'
F
J. Voilås
10'
F
22
Ronan Mansfield
F
Ronan Mansfield
F
19
Samuel Glenfield
25'
M
Samuel Glenfield
25'
M
Best on the pitch
H. Wood
M · Shelbourne
8.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 61 pass
Will Jarvis
M · Shelbourne
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
J. Lunney
M · Shelbourne
7.70
· 68 pass
Ali Coote
M · Shelbourne
7.70
3 shots
· 50 pass
Kameron Ledwidge
D · Shelbourne
7.60
1 ⚽
· 63 pass
D. Kelly
M · Shelbourne
7.50
· 20 pass
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wessel Speel | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Kameron Ledwidge | D | 95 | 7.60 | 1 | — | — | 63 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Paddy Barrett | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Sam Bone | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Milan Mbeng | D | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Will Jarvis | M | 55 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Wood | M | 95 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 61 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lunney | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Coote | M | 79 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Evan Caffrey | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Freitas | F | 61 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Ademipo Odubeko | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 40 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Ellis Chapman | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Maill Lundgren | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Sean Boyd | F | 16 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen McMullan | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Benny Couto | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Long | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Hayden Cann | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordan Houston | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 5 | — | — |
| Will Johnson | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 8% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Dean McMenamy | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Heeney | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Amond | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Cian Barrett | D | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Conan Noonan | M | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Voilås | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Glenfield | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 4 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Waterford?
The final score was Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford.
What did the model predict before Shelbourne vs Waterford?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Shelbourne win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an Waterford win.