✓Model correct — prediction Shelbourne
W. Jarvis
(ast. H. Wood)
37'
S. Boyd
90'+3
(og)
39'
K. Ledwidge
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shelbourne a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Waterford 17%). The final result was Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford. In 2 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Waterford.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
2.81
Actual xG
0.27
2
Saves
5
69%
Possession
31%
3
Corners
2
13
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
26'
L. Heeney
31'
B. Couto
S. Bone
34'
⚽W. Jarvis
· ast. H. Wood
37'
39'
(og)
K. Ledwidge⚽
W. Jarvis
/ D. Kelly
55'
R. Freitas
/ M. Odubeko
61'
M. Mbeng
/ M. Lundgren
61'
70'
S. Glenfield
/
L. Heeney
72'
C. Barrett
/
D. McMenamy
A. Coote
/ E. Chapman
79'
E. Caffrey
/ S. Boyd
80'
81'
W. Johnson
85'
J. Voilas
/
P. Amond
86'
C. Noonan
/
T. Lonergan
⚽S. Boyd
90'+3
J. Lunney
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
63.78%
Shelbourne ←
18.37%
X
17.85%
Waterford
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Shelbourne)
63.78%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.37
2.81
+0.44
1.20
0.27
-0.93
Shelbourne dominated by xG (2.81 vs 0.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Wessel Speel
G
4
K. Ledwidge
1 ⚽
D
K. Ledwidge
1 ⚽
D
29
Paddy Barrett
D
Paddy Barrett
D
15
Sam Bone
D
Sam Bone
D
25
M. Mbeng
61'
D
M. Mbeng
61'
D
36
W. Jarvis
1 ⚽
55'
M
W. Jarvis
1 ⚽
55'
M
7
H. Wood
1 👟
M
H. Wood
1 👟
M
6
J. Lunney
M
J. Lunney
M
14
A. Coote
79'
M
A. Coote
79'
M
27
E. Caffrey
79'
M
E. Caffrey
79'
M
20
R. Freitas
61'
F
R. Freitas
61'
F
Bench
31
Conor Walsh
G
Conor Walsh
G
17
D. Kelly
40'
M
D. Kelly
40'
M
5
E. Chapman
16'
M
E. Chapman
16'
M
28
Maill Lundgren
34'
M
Maill Lundgren
34'
M
11
M. Odubeko
34'
F
M. Odubeko
34'
F
9
Sean Boyd
1 ⚽
16'
F
Sean Boyd
1 ⚽
16'
F
2
S. Gannon
D
S. Gannon
D
22
S. Moore
D
S. Moore
D
24
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
1
S. McMullan
G
S. McMullan
G
3
Benny Couto
D
Benny Couto
D
13
K. Long
D
K. Long
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
16
H. Cann
D
H. Cann
D
2
Jordan Houston
D
Jordan Houston
D
4
Will Johnson
M
Will Johnson
M
27
D. McMenamy
72'
M
D. McMenamy
72'
M
15
L. Heeney
70'
M
L. Heeney
70'
M
9
P. Amond
85'
F
P. Amond
85'
F
18
T. Lonergan
85'
F
T. Lonergan
85'
F
Bench
21
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
6
Cian Barrett
23'
D
Cian Barrett
23'
D
10
C. Noonan
10'
M
C. Noonan
10'
M
7
Conor Carty
F
Conor Carty
F
14
Jesse Dempsey
D
Jesse Dempsey
D
17
J. Faria
M
J. Faria
M
20
J. Voilås
10'
F
J. Voilås
10'
F
22
Ronan Mansfield
F
Ronan Mansfield
F
19
Samuel Glenfield
25'
M
Samuel Glenfield
25'
M
Best on the pitch
H. Wood
M · Shelbourne
8.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 61 pass
W. Jarvis
M · Shelbourne
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
J. Lunney
M · Shelbourne
7.70
· 68 pass
A. Coote
M · Shelbourne
7.70
3 shots
· 50 pass
K. Ledwidge
D · Shelbourne
7.60
1 ⚽
· 63 pass
D. Kelly
M · Shelbourne
7.50
· 20 pass
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wessel Speel | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Ledwidge | D | 95 | 7.60 | 1 | — | — | 63 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Paddy Barrett | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Sam Bone | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Mbeng | D | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| W. Jarvis | M | 55 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Wood | M | 95 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 61 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lunney | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Coote | M | 79 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Caffrey | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
| R. Freitas | F | 61 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 40 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Chapman | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Maill Lundgren | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Odubeko | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sean Boyd | F | 16 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. McMullan | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Benny Couto | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Long | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Cann | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordan Houston | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 5 | — | — |
| Will Johnson | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 8% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. McMenamy | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Heeney | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Amond | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Cian Barrett | D | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| C. Noonan | M | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Voilås | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Glenfield | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 4 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Waterford?
The final score was Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford.
What did the model predict before Shelbourne vs Waterford?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Shelbourne win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an Waterford win.