✓Model correct — prediction Shelbourne
W. Jarvis
(ast. H. Wood)
37'
S. Boyd
90'+3
(og)
39'
K. Ledwidge
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shelbourne a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Waterford 17%). The final result was Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford. In 3 previous meetings, Shelbourne have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Waterford.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
2.81
Actual xG
0.27
2
Saves
5
69%
Possession
31%
3
Corners
2
13
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
26'
L. Heeney
31'
B. Couto
S. Bone
34'
⚽W. Jarvis
· ast. H. Wood
37'
39'
(og)
K. Ledwidge⚽
W. Jarvis
/ D. Kelly
55'
R. Freitas
/ M. Odubeko
61'
M. Mbeng
/ M. Lundgren
61'
70'
S. Glenfield
/
L. Heeney
72'
C. Barrett
/
D. McMenamy
A. Coote
/ E. Chapman
79'
E. Caffrey
/ S. Boyd
80'
81'
W. Johnson
85'
J. Voilas
/
P. Amond
86'
C. Noonan
/
T. Lonergan
⚽S. Boyd
90'+3
J. Lunney
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
63.78%
Shelbourne ←
18.37%
X
17.85%
Waterford
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Shelbourne)
63.78%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.37
2.81
+0.44
1.20
0.27
-0.93
Shelbourne dominated by xG (2.81 vs 0.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Wessel Speel
G
Wessel Speel
G
4
K. Ledwidge
1 ⚽
D
K. Ledwidge
1 ⚽
D
29
Paddy Barrett
D
Paddy Barrett
D
15
S. Bone
D
S. Bone
D
25
M. Mbeng
61'
D
M. Mbeng
61'
D
36
W. Jarvis
1 ⚽
55'
M
W. Jarvis
1 ⚽
55'
M
7
H. Wood
1 👟
M
H. Wood
1 👟
M
6
J. Lunney
M
J. Lunney
M
14
A. Coote
79'
M
A. Coote
79'
M
27
E. Caffrey
79'
M
E. Caffrey
79'
M
20
R. Freitas
61'
F
R. Freitas
61'
F
Bench
31
C. Walsh
G
C. Walsh
G
17
D. Kelly
40'
M
D. Kelly
40'
M
5
E. Chapman
16'
M
E. Chapman
16'
M
28
I. Lundgren
34'
M
I. Lundgren
34'
M
11
M. Odubeko
34'
F
M. Odubeko
34'
F
9
Sean Boyd
1 ⚽
16'
F
Sean Boyd
1 ⚽
16'
F
2
S. Gannon
D
S. Gannon
D
22
S. Moore
D
S. Moore
D
24
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
1
S. McMullan
G
S. McMullan
G
3
Benny Couto
D
Benny Couto
D
13
K. Long
D
K. Long
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
16
H. Cann
D
H. Cann
D
2
J. Houston
D
4
Will Johnson
M
Will Johnson
M
27
D. McMenamy
72'
M
D. McMenamy
72'
M
15
L. Heeney
70'
M
L. Heeney
70'
M
9
P. Amond
85'
F
P. Amond
85'
F
18
T. Lonergan
85'
F
T. Lonergan
85'
F
Bench
21
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
6
Cian Barrett
23'
D
Cian Barrett
23'
D
10
C. Noonan
10'
M
C. Noonan
10'
M
7
Conor Carty
F
Conor Carty
F
14
J. Dempsey
D
J. Dempsey
D
17
J. Faria
M
J. Faria
M
20
J. Voilås
10'
F
J. Voilås
10'
F
22
Ronan Mansfield
F
Ronan Mansfield
F
19
S. Glenfield
25'
M
S. Glenfield
25'
M
Best on the pitch
H. Wood
M · Shelbourne
8.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 61 pass
W. Jarvis
M · Shelbourne
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
J. Lunney
M · Shelbourne
7.70
· 68 pass
A. Coote
M · Shelbourne
7.70
3 shots
· 50 pass
K. Ledwidge
D · Shelbourne
7.60
1 ⚽
· 63 pass
D. Kelly
M · Shelbourne
7.50
· 20 pass
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wessel Speel | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Ledwidge | D | 95 | 7.60 | 1 | — | — | 63 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Paddy Barrett | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 40% | — | — | — |
| S. Bone | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Mbeng | D | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| W. Jarvis | M | 55 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Wood | M | 95 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 61 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lunney | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Coote | M | 79 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Caffrey | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
| R. Freitas | F | 61 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 40 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Chapman | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| I. Lundgren | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Odubeko | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sean Boyd | F | 16 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. McMullan | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Benny Couto | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Long | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Cann | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Houston | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 5 | — | — |
| Will Johnson | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 8% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. McMenamy | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Heeney | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Amond | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Cian Barrett | D | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| C. Noonan | M | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Voilås | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Glenfield | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 4 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Waterford?
The final score was Shelbourne 2–1 Waterford.
What did the model predict before Shelbourne vs Waterford?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Shelbourne win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an Waterford win.