MLS
· Regular Season - 17
julio 26, 2026 02:30
✓Modelo correcto — pronóstico St. Louis City
T. Ostrak
(ast. T. Totland)
83'
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a St. Louis City un 65% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 21%, Colorado Rapids 12%). El resultado final fue St. Louis City 1–0 Colorado Rapids. En 1 encuentros previos, St. Louis City ha ganado 1 veces, con 0 empates y 0 victorias para Colorado Rapids.
Estadísticas del partido
9
Tiros totales
2
3
Tiros a puerta
0
1.03
xG real
0.11
0
Paradas
2
65%
Posesión
35%
10
Córners
1
10
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
2
0
🟥 Tarjetas rojas
1
Crónica
12'
R. Holding
17'
M. Navarro
/
D. Sealy
25'
H. Ojediran
C. Durkin
45'+3
46'
G. Minoungou
/
D. Yapi
46'
N. Cobb
/
R. Cannon
55'
K. Thompson
/
H. Ojediran
S. Jeong
/ E. Lowen
58'
68'
J. Atencio
69'
W. Frederick
/
J. Atencio
C. Durkin
/ T. Ostrak
76'
S. Becher
/ P. Ault
76'
⚽T. Ostrak
· ast. T. Totland
83'
J. Orozco
/ L. MacNaughton
87'
M. Hartel
/ M. Perez
87'
90'+6
K. Thompson
Predicción previa
65.96%
St. ←
21.54%
X
12.49%
Colorado
✓ Pronóstico correcto —
asignamos al resultado real (St. Louis City)
65.96%
(alta confianza)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
1.77
1.03
-0.74
0.38
0.11
-0.27
St. Louis City dominó por xG (1.03 vs 0.11).
El resultado final refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo se desviaron de la realidad.
Alineaciones
1
Roman Bürki
G
Roman Bürki
G
21
Dante Polvara
D
Dante Polvara
D
32
Timo Baumgartl
D
Timo Baumgartl
D
99
Jaziel Orozco
87'
D
Jaziel Orozco
87'
D
14
Tomas Totland
1 👟
M
Tomas Totland
1 👟
M
24
Daniel Edelman
M
Daniel Edelman
M
8
C. Durkin
76'
M
C. Durkin
76'
M
6
Conrad Wallem
M
Conrad Wallem
M
17
Marcel Hartel
87'
F
Marcel Hartel
87'
F
11
Simon Becher
76'
F
Simon Becher
76'
F
77
Jeong Sang-bin
58'
F
Jeong Sang-bin
58'
F
Banquillo
39
Benjamin Lundt
G
Benjamin Lundt
G
10
Eduard Löwen
38'
M
Eduard Löwen
38'
M
27
Fallou Fall
D
Fallou Fall
D
5
Lukas MacNaughton
9'
D
Lukas MacNaughton
9'
D
28
Miguel Perez
9'
M
Miguel Perez
9'
M
59
Mykhi Joyner
M
Mykhi Joyner
M
29
Palmer Ault
20'
M
Palmer Ault
20'
M
20
Rafael Santos
D
Rafael Santos
D
7
Tomáš Ostrák
1 ⚽
20'
M
Tomáš Ostrák
1 ⚽
20'
M
41
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
5
Loïc Williams
D
Loïc Williams
D
6
R. Holding
12'
D
R. Holding
12'
D
22
Lucas Herrington
D
Lucas Herrington
D
4
Reggie Cannon
45'
D
Reggie Cannon
45'
D
8
H. Ojediran
55'
M
H. Ojediran
55'
M
12
J. Atencio
69'
M
J. Atencio
69'
M
10
Paxten Aaronson
M
Paxten Aaronson
M
7
D. Sealy
17'
F
D. Sealy
17'
F
9
Rafael Navarro
F
Rafael Navarro
F
77
Darren Yapi
45'
F
Darren Yapi
45'
F
Banquillo
31
Adam Beaudry
G
Adam Beaudry
G
16
Alex Harris
F
Alex Harris
F
32
Donavan Phillip
F
Donavan Phillip
F
93
Georgi Minoungou
51'
F
Georgi Minoungou
51'
F
2
Keegan Rosenberry
D
Keegan Rosenberry
D
33
Kosi Thompson
41'
D
Kosi Thompson
41'
D
29
M. Navarro
79'
D
M. Navarro
79'
D
24
Noah Cobb
51'
D
Noah Cobb
51'
D
13
W. Frederick II
27'
M
W. Frederick II
27'
M
Mejores en el campo
Timo Baumgartl
D · St.
8.00
· 71 pass
Jaziel Orozco
D · St.
7.70
· 78 pass
Tomáš Ostrák
M · St.
7.70
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 7 pass
Dante Polvara
D · St.
7.30
1 tiros
· 82 pass
Tomas Totland
M · St.
7.30
1 👟
2 tiros
· 46 pass
M. Navarro
D · Colorado
7.30
· 30 pass
St. Louis City — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Bürki | G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Dante Polvara | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 79% | 2 | — | — |
| Timo Baumgartl | D | 96 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 71 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Jaziel Orozco | D | 87 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 78 | 76% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomas Totland | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 46 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Daniel Edelman | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | — | — | — |
| C. Durkin | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Conrad Wallem | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcel Hartel | F | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Becher | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jeong Sang-bin | F | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Eduard Löwen | M | 38 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Lukas MacNaughton | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Perez | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Palmer Ault | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Ostrák | M | 20 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Colorado Rapids — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Loïc Williams | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Holding | D | 12 | 3.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Reggie Cannon | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| H. Ojediran | M | 55 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Atencio | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D. Sealy | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | F | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Kosi Thompson | D | 41 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Noah Cobb | D | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| W. Frederick II | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids?
El marcador final fue St. Louis City 1–0 Colorado Rapids.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids?
El modelo asignó un 65% de probabilidad a la victoria de St. Louis City, un 21% al empate y un 12% a la victoria de Colorado Rapids.