Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 14
May 02, 2026 23:30
Rene
(ast. Luan Candido)
15'
Ze Vitor
(ast. Erick)
28'
D. Tarzia
(ast. Rene)
55'
Erick
61'
(pen.)
45'+3
(ast. Tinga)
Pedro Rocha
El pronóstico previo de ForzaPitch asignaba a Vitoria un 40% de probabilidad de victoria (empate 30%, Coritiba 29%). El resultado final fue Vitoria 4–1 Coritiba.
Estadísticas del partido
8
Tiros totales
3
7
Tiros a puerta
1
2.06
xG real
0.63
0
Paradas
3
61%
Posesión
39%
2
Córners
4
17
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Tarjetas amarillas
1
0
🟥 Tarjetas rojas
1
Crónica
⚽Rene
· ast. Luan Candido
15'
23'
Thiago Santos
26'
Tiago Coser
⚽Ze Vitor
· ast. Erick
28'
Matheuzinho
32'
45'+3
ast. Tinga ·
Pedro Rocha⚽
Matheuzinho
/ D. Tarzia
46'
Ze Vitor
46'
⚽D. Tarzia
· ast. Rene
55'
⚽Erick
(pen.)
61'
63'
Joao Pedro Chermont
/
Lucas Ronier
63'
Renato Marques
/
Pedro Rocha
63'
Vini Paulista
/
S. Gomez
Caique Goncalves
/ Ronald Lopes
64'
Ze Vitor
/ Edenilson
64'
75'
Gustavo
/
Josue
Caca
/ Neris
75'
Erick
/ Marinho
79'
Rene
86'
Predicción previa
40.48%
Vitoria ←
30.23%
X
29.29%
Coritiba
asignamos al resultado real (Vitoria)
40.48%
(baja confianza)
xG esperados vs reales
Esp.
Real
Δ
1.10
2.06
+0.96
0.88
0.63
-0.25
Vitoria dominó por xG (2.06 vs 0.63).
El resultado final refleja el dominio en el juego.
Las estimaciones xG del modelo se desviaron de la realidad.
Alineaciones
1
G
13
Ramon
D
Ramon
D
36
1 👟
D
25
Caca
75'
D
45
Nathan Mendes
D
Nathan Mendes
D
95
Caique Gonçalves
64'
M
Caique Gonçalves
64'
M
88
Zé Vitor
1 ⚽
64'
M
Zé Vitor
1 ⚽
64'
M
10
Matheuzinho
45'
M
6
Emmanuel Martínez
M
Emmanuel Martínez
M
33
Erick
1 ⚽
1 👟
79'
M
91
Renê Sousa
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Renê Sousa
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Banquillo
17
A. Cantalapiedra
F
12
Diego Tarzia
1 ⚽
45'
D
Diego Tarzia
1 ⚽
45'
D
26
Edenilson
26'
M
Edenilson
26'
M
20
Lucas Silva
F
Lucas Silva
F
31
Renzo López
F
Renzo López
F
8
Ronald
26'
M
Ronald
26'
M
22
Pedro Rangel
G
Pedro Rangel
G
6
Felipe Jonatan
D
Felipe Jonatan
D
3
Maicon
D
23
Tiago Coser
26'
D
2
Tinga
1 👟
D
Tinga
1 👟
D
19
Sebastian Gomez
63'
M
Sebastian Gomez
63'
M
21
Thiago Santos
M
7
Joaquín Lavega
M
Joaquín Lavega
M
10
Josué
75'
M
Josué
75'
M
11
Lucas Ronier
63'
M
Lucas Ronier
63'
M
32
Pedro Rocha
1 ⚽
63'
F
Pedro Rocha
1 ⚽
63'
F
Banquillo
44
João Pedro Chermont
27'
D
João Pedro Chermont
27'
D
78
Renato Marques
27'
F
Renato Marques
27'
F
36
Vini Paulista
27'
F
Vini Paulista
27'
F
29
Willian Oliveira
M
Willian Oliveira
M
Mejores en el campo
Renê Sousa
F · Vitoria
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 tiros
· 18 pass
Zé Vitor
M · Vitoria
8.20
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 45 pass
Diego Tarzia
D · Vitoria
7.90
1 ⚽
1 tiros
· 22 pass
Erick
M · Vitoria
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 tiros
· 36 pass
D · Vitoria
7.30
1 👟
· 64 pass
Ronald
M · Vitoria
7.20
· 22 pass
Vitoria — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Ramon | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 64 | 62% | 2 | — | — | |
| Caca | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Mendes | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Caique Gonçalves | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 64 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 36% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Emmanuel Martínez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 79 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Renê Sousa | F | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Tarzia | D | 45 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 26 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
Coritiba — Estadísticas de jugadores
| Equipo | Pos | Min | Val | ⚽ | 👟 | Tiros | Pases | Pre% | Ent | TA | TR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Rangel | G | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Maicon | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Coser | D | 26 | 4.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | 1 |
| Tinga | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Joaquín Lavega | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Josué | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Ronier | M | 63 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 63 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Chermont | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Renato Marques | F | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuál fue el marcador final de Vitoria vs Coritiba?
El marcador final fue Vitoria 4–1 Coritiba.
¿Qué predijo el modelo para Vitoria vs Coritiba?
El modelo asignó un 40% de probabilidad a la victoria de Vitoria, un 30% al empate y un 29% a la victoria de Coritiba.