La Liga

La Liga

Spagna  · Saison 2025/26
66.70%
1X2-Genauigkeit · 15 Prognosen (3 Monate)
Tabelle + proiezioni fine stagione
# Mannschaft G S U N TF–TG TD Pts Form Meister Champions League Europa League Conference League Abstieg
1 Barcelona 33 28 1 4 87–30 +57 85
V V V V V
99.88% 100%
2 Real Madrid 33 23 5 5 68–31 +37 74
P V P S V
<1% 100%
3 Villarreal 33 20 5 8 59–38 +21 65
V P V S V
100%
4 Atletico Madrid 33 18 6 9 56–37 +19 60
V S S S S
99.82% 100%
5 Real Betis 33 12 14 7 49–41 +8 50
P V P P S
<1% 77.78% 93.09%
6 Getafe 33 13 5 15 28–34 -6 44
S V S V V
7.83% 38.43%
7 Celta Vigo 33 11 11 11 45–43 +2 44
S S S V S
5.80% 24.43%
8 Real Sociedad 33 11 10 12 52–52 +0 43
P S P V S
7.48% 32.53%
9 Osasuna 33 11 9 13 39–40 -1 42
V S P P V
<1% 5.62% <1%
10 Athletic Club 33 12 5 16 36–48 -12 41
S V S S V
<1% 1.65% 1.20%
11 Rayo Vallecano 33 9 12 12 33–41 -8 39
P V S V S
<1% 1.21% 3.33%
12 Valencia 33 10 9 14 37–48 -11 39
V P S S V
<1% 1.14% 2.25%
13 Espanyol 33 10 9 14 37–49 -12 39
P S S P S
<1% <1% 5.83%
14 Elche 33 9 11 13 44–50 -6 38
V V V S V
<1% <1% 6.42%
15 Girona 33 9 11 13 36–50 -14 38
S S P V S
<1% 7.24%
16 Alaves 33 9 9 15 38–49 -11 36
V S P P V
25.04%
17 Mallorca 33 9 8 16 41–51 -10 35
S P V V S
29.52%
18 Sevilla 33 9 7 17 40–55 -15 34
S S V S S
72.05%
19 Levante 33 8 9 16 37–50 -13 33
P V V S V
48.06%
20 Oviedo 33 6 10 17 26–51 -25 28
S P V V S
99.00%
Meister Champions League Europa League Conference League Abstieg % = Wahrscheinlichkeit, diese Zone oder besser zu erreichen · 10,000 Simulationen · 30 Apr 2026
Modellkalibrierung für diese Liga
Wahrscheinlichkeitsband Stichprobe Erwartet Tatsächlich Δ
50–60%% 4 55.00% 75.0% +20.00%
60–70%% 7 65.00% 42.9% -22.10%
70–100%% 4 85.00% 100.0% +15.00%
Basato su 15 previsioni verificate · Δ ≤ 5% = ottima calibrazione
xG: Wer trifft mehr (oder weniger) als verdient
# Mannschaft Tore xG Δ
1 Villarreal Villarreal 59 50.30 +8.70
2 Sevilla Sevilla 40 33.61 +6.39
3 Elche Elche 44 37.77 +6.23
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 56 49.83 +6.17
5 Barcelona Barcelona 87 80.88 +6.12
6 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 52 47.16 +4.84
7 Mallorca Mallorca 41 37.18 +3.82
8 Getafe Getafe 28 25.59 +2.41
9 Real Betis Real Betis 49 47.78 +1.22
10 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 45 44.97 +0.03
11 Osasuna Osasuna 39 39.83 -0.83
12 Alaves Alaves 38 40.24 -2.24
13 Real Madrid Real Madrid 68 70.55 -2.55
14 Girona Girona 36 40.55 -4.55
15 Levante Levante 37 42.08 -5.08
16 Espanyol Espanyol 37 42.72 -5.72
17 Valencia Valencia 37 43.38 -6.38
18 Oviedo Oviedo 26 32.46 -6.46
19 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44.31 -8.31
20 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 33 46.54 -13.54
Δ = Erzielte Tore − kumulierte xG · grün = übertrifft, rot = unterschreitet