Ligue 1

Ligue 1

Francia  · Saison 2025/26
61.10%
1X2-Genauigkeit · 18 Prognosen (3 Monate)
Tabelle + proiezioni fine stagione
# Mannschaft G S U N TF–TG TD Pts Form Meister Champions League Europa League Conference League Abstieg
1 Paris Saint Germain 30 22 3 5 68–25 +43 69
V V S V V
98.38% 100%
2 Lens 30 20 3 7 60–32 +28 63
P V S V S
1.62% 100%
3 Lille 31 17 6 8 50–34 +16 57
V P V V V
84.60% 97.95% 99.71%
4 Lyon 31 17 6 8 48–32 +16 57
V V V P S
58.30% 88.22% 98.79%
5 Rennes 31 16 8 7 54–42 +12 56
V V V V P
50.03% 82.67% 96.15%
6 Marseille 31 16 5 10 59–41 +18 53
P S V S S
6.52% 25.94% 76.97%
7 Monaco 31 15 6 10 54–47 +7 51
P P S V V
<1% 4.39% 21.85%
8 Strasbourg 30 13 7 10 49–39 +10 46
V S V V P
<1% <1% 6.53%
9 Lorient 31 10 11 10 42–47 -5 41
S V S P S
10 Toulouse 31 10 8 13 43–44 -1 38
P S S S V
11 Stade Brestois 29 30 10 8 12 41–47 -6 38
P P S S S
12 Paris FC 31 9 11 11 40–47 -7 38
S V V P V
13 Angers 31 9 7 15 26–43 -17 34
S P S P S
14 Le Havre 31 6 13 12 29–42 -13 31
P P P P S
2.44%
15 Nice 31 7 9 15 35–57 -22 30
P P P S S
11.95%
16 Auxerre 31 5 10 16 27–42 -15 25
S P P P V
85.61%
17 Nantes 31 4 8 19 26–51 -25 20
S S P P P
100%
18 Metz 31 3 7 21 31–70 -39 16
P S S P P
100%
Meister Champions League Europa League Conference League Abstieg % = Wahrscheinlichkeit, diese Zone oder besser zu erreichen · 10,000 Simulationen · 30 Apr 2026
Modellkalibrierung für diese Liga
Wahrscheinlichkeitsband Stichprobe Erwartet Tatsächlich Δ
60–70%% 5 65.00% 80.0% +15.00%
70–100%% 11 85.00% 63.6% -21.40%
Basato su 18 previsioni verificate · Δ ≤ 5% = ottima calibrazione
xG: Wer trifft mehr (oder weniger) als verdient
# Mannschaft Tore xG Δ
1 Rennes Rennes 54 48.28 +5.72
2 Marseille Marseille 59 56.21 +2.79
3 Toulouse Toulouse 43 40.34 +2.66
4 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 68 65.58 +2.42
5 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 41 39.32 +1.68
6 Lyon Lyon 48 46.37 +1.63
7 Strasbourg Strasbourg 49 47.52 +1.48
8 Lorient Lorient 42 40.88 +1.12
9 Paris FC Paris FC 40 39.36 +0.64
10 Monaco Monaco 54 54.12 -0.12
11 Lens Lens 60 60.58 -0.58
12 Metz Metz 31 32.14 -1.14
13 Lille Lille 50 51.17 -1.17
14 Angers Angers 26 28.65 -2.65
15 Nice Nice 35 39.45 -4.45
16 Auxerre Auxerre 27 32.44 -5.44
17 Nantes Nantes 26 31.69 -5.69
18 Le Havre Le Havre 29 36.35 -7.35
Δ = Erzielte Tore − kumulierte xG · grün = übertrifft, rot = unterschreitet