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La Liga

Spagna · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26 2024/25

58.80%

1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 0 of 38 0%

League Table

20 Teams

#	Team	GF–GA	GD
1	Athletic Club — Champion	0–0	+0
2	Atletico Madrid — Champions League	0–0	+0
3	Osasuna — Champions League	0–0	+0
4	Alaves — Champions League	0–0	+0
5	Elche — Europa League	0–0	+0
6	Barcelona — Conference League	0–0	+0
7	Getafe	0–0	+0
8	Levante	0–0	+0
9	Malaga	0–0	+0
10	Racing Santander	0–0	+0
11	Celta Vigo	0–0	+0
12	Deportivo La Coruna	0–0	+0
13	Espanyol	0–0	+0
14	Rayo Vallecano	0–0	+0
15	Real Betis	0–0	+0
16	Real Madrid	0–0	+0
17	Real Sociedad	0–0	+0
18	Sevilla — Relegation	0–0	+0
19	Valencia — Relegation	0–0	+0
20	Villarreal — Relegation	0–0	+0

Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026

Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

#	Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
1	Athletic Club	48 (21–80) pos. ~13.6°	C19 · T19 ELO 1557	▼0%
2	Atletico Madrid	55 (25–83) pos. ~8.7°	C19 · T19 ELO 1551	▲0%
3	Osasuna	47 (20–78) pos. ~13.7°	C19 · T19 ELO 1557	▼1%
4	Alaves	48 (22–79) pos. ~13.2°	C19 · T19 ELO 1556	▼0%
5	Elche	48 (17–81) pos. ~13.4°	C19 · T19 ELO 1557	▲0%
6	Barcelona	64 (32–90) pos. ~4.1°	C19 · T19 ELO 1543	▼1%
7	Getafe	51 (21–79) pos. ~11.6°	C19 · T19 ELO 1554	▼0%
8	Levante	49 (20–81) pos. ~12.4°	C19 · T19 ELO 1555	▼1%
9	Malaga	58 (30–90) pos. ~7.0°	C19 · T19 ELO 1548	▼1%
10	Racing Santander	56 (24–88) pos. ~8.2°	C19 · T19 ELO 1550	▲0%
11	Celta Vigo	51 (18–80) pos. ~11.1°	C19 · T19 ELO 1554	▲0%
12	Deportivo La Coruna	55 (27–86) pos. ~8.6°	C19 · T19 ELO 1550	▲1%
13	Espanyol	46 (19–76) pos. ~14.6°	C19 · T19 ELO 1558	▲1%
14	Rayo Vallecano	54 (24–81) pos. ~9.6°	C19 · T19 ELO 1551	·
15	Real Betis	54 (24–86) pos. ~9.3°	C19 · T19 ELO 1551	▲0%
16	Real Madrid	62 (27–91) pos. ~5.1°	C19 · T19 ELO 1545	▲1%
17	Real Sociedad	51 (22–79) pos. ~11.6°	C19 · T19 ELO 1554	▲0%
18	Sevilla	46 (20–77) pos. ~14.3°	C19 · T19 ELO 1558	▲1%
19	Valencia	53 (23–84) pos. ~10.3°	C19 · T19 ELO 1552	·
20	Villarreal	53 (24–81) pos. ~10.0°	C19 · T19 ELO 1552	▼0%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	15	55.00%	53.3%	-1.70%
60–70%%	12	65.00%	58.3%	-6.70%
70–100%%	5	85.00%	100.0%	+15.00%

Based on 32 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for La Liga?

For La Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for La Liga?

Accuracy for La Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for La Liga using per-league historical data.

How are La Liga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.