53.80%
1X2 accuracy · 13 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 0 of 34
0%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
44 (19–71)
pos. ~11.0°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1550
|
▲0% | ||
| 2 |
40 (10–67)
pos. ~13.8°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1555
|
▼2% | ||
| 3 |
47 (20–77)
pos. ~9.3°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1547
|
▲0% | ||
| 4 |
41 (13–71)
pos. ~12.8°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1553
|
▲1% | ||
| 5 |
46 (20–75)
pos. ~10.0°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1548
|
▲0% | ||
| 6 |
42 (16–72)
pos. ~12.4°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1552
|
▲0% | ||
| 7 |
50 (24–82)
pos. ~7.6°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1544
|
▲0% | ||
| 8 |
48 (23–78)
pos. ~8.9°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1546
|
▲1% | ||
| 9 |
43 (19–71)
pos. ~12.0°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1551
|
▼0% | ||
| 10 |
49 (24–90)
pos. ~8.3°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1545
|
▼1% | ||
| 11 |
46 (16–75)
pos. ~10.0°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1548
|
▼0% | ||
| 12 |
47 (21–76)
pos. ~9.3°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1547
|
· | ||
| 13 |
58 (30–84)
pos. ~3.7°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1536
|
▼1% | ||
| 14 |
52 (20–81)
pos. ~6.4°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1541
|
▲0% | ||
| 15 |
49 (22–76)
pos. ~8.2°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1545
|
· | ||
| 16 |
47 (20–80)
pos. ~9.5°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1547
|
▲0% | ||
| 17 |
44 (20–74)
pos. ~11.1°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1550
|
▼0% | ||
| 18 |
51 (25–79)
pos. ~7.0°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1543
|
▲1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 7 | 55.00% | 57.1% | +2.10% |
| 60–70%% | 9 | 65.00% | 55.6% | -9.40% |
| 70–100%% | 15 | 85.00% | 60.0% | -25.00% |
Based on 31 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Ligue 1?
For Ligue 1, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Ligue 1?
Accuracy for Ligue 1 is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Ligue 1 using per-league historical data.
How are Ligue 1 season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.