Ligue 1

Francia · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26 2024/25

Matchday 4 of 34 12%

League Table

18 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lille — Champion	4	3	1	0	7–2	+5	10	V V P V
2	Monaco — Champions League	4	3	1	0	6–2	+4	10	P V V V
3	Rennes — Champions League	4	3	1	0	8–5	+3	10	V V V P
4	Lyon — Champions League	4	2	2	0	6–2	+4	8	P V P V
5	Paris FC — Europa League	4	2	2	0	6–2	+4	8	P V V P
6	Strasbourg — Conference League	4	2	1	1	9–8	+1	7	P V V S
7	Stade Brestois 29	4	1	2	1	6–6	+0	5	S V P P
8	Paris Saint Germain	4	1	2	1	6–6	+0	5	V S P P
9	Lorient	4	1	2	1	4–4	+0	5	P V S P
10	Lens	4	1	1	2	8–7	+1	4	P S S V
11	Angers	4	1	1	2	4–5	-1	4	P S V S
12	Estac Troyes	4	1	1	2	4–9	-5	4	S S V P
13	Marseille	4	1	0	3	6–6	+0	3	S S S V
14	Le Mans	4	0	3	1	7–8	-1	3	P P S P
15	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	5–11	-6	3	V S S S
16	Le Havre — Relegation	4	0	2	2	2–4	-2	2	P S P S
17	Toulouse — Relegation	4	0	2	2	4–7	-3	2	P S P S
18	Nice — Relegation	4	0	2	2	1–5	-4	2	S P S P
1	Rennes — Champion	3	2	1	0	6–4	+2	7	P V V
2	Paris FC — Champions League	2	1	1	0	3–0	+3	4	V P
3	Lille — Champions League	2	1	1	0	4–2	+2	4	P V
4	Lyon — Champions League	2	1	1	0	4–2	+2	4	P V
5	Strasbourg — Europa League	2	1	1	0	3–2	+1	4	V P
6	Marseille — Conference League	2	1	0	1	6–3	+3	3	V S
7	Lens	2	1	0	1	5–3	+2	3	V S
8	Monaco	1	1	0	0	2–0	+2	3	V
9	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	2–3	-1	3	S V
10	Le Mans	2	0	2	0	4–4	+0	2	P P
11	Nice	2	0	2	0	1–1	+0	2	P P
12	Lorient	2	0	1	1	3–4	-1	1	S P
13	Stade Brestois 29	2	0	1	1	2–3	-1	1	P S
14	Le Havre	3	0	1	2	1–3	-2	1	S S P
15	Estac Troyes	2	0	1	1	2–6	-4	1	P S
16	Paris Saint Germain — Relegation	1	0	0	1	1–2	-1	0	S
17	Angers — Relegation	2	0	0	2	1–4	-3	0	S S
18	Toulouse — Relegation	2	0	0	2	0–3	-3	0	S S
1	Monaco — Champion	3	2	1	0	4–2	+2	7	V V P
2	Lille — Champions League	2	2	0	0	3–0	+3	6	V V
3	Paris Saint Germain — Champions League	3	1	2	0	5–4	+1	5	P P V
4	Angers — Champions League	2	1	1	0	3–1	+2	4	V P
5	Lyon — Europa League	2	1	1	0	2–0	+2	4	V P
6	Stade Brestois 29 — Conference League	2	1	1	0	4–3	+1	4	P V
7	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	3–2	+1	4	P V
8	Lorient	2	1	1	0	1–0	+1	4	P V
9	Rennes	1	1	0	0	2–1	+1	3	V
10	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	6–6	+0	3	S V
11	Estac Troyes	2	1	0	1	2–3	-1	3	V S
12	Toulouse	2	0	2	0	4–4	+0	2	P P
13	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	1–1	+0	1	P
14	Lens	2	0	1	1	3–4	-1	1	S P
15	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	3–4	-1	1	S P
16	Marseille — Relegation	2	0	0	2	0–3	-3	0	S S
17	Nice — Relegation	2	0	0	2	0–4	-4	0	S S
18	Auxerre — Relegation	2	0	0	2	3–8	-5	0	S S

Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Lille	60 (32–91) pos. ~3.7°	C15 · T15 ELO 1522	▼1%
Monaco	60 (34–85) pos. ~3.7°	C16 · T14 ELO 1519	▼0%
Rennes	57 (34–84) pos. ~4.5°	C15 · T15 ELO 1520	▲1%
Lyon	55 (28–80) pos. ~5.5°	C15 · T15 ELO 1527	▲0%
Paris FC	57 (33–87) pos. ~4.5°	C15 · T15 ELO 1523	▲1%
Strasbourg	52 (25–76) pos. ~6.7°	C15 · T15 ELO 1519	·
Stade Brestois 29	41 (15–69) pos. ~12.5°	C15 · T15 ELO 1529	▲0%
Paris Saint Germain	53 (22–79) pos. ~6.4°	C15 · T15 ELO 1514	▼0%
Lorient	47 (21–75) pos. ~9.6°	C15 · T15 ELO 1527	▲1%
Lens	50 (25–80) pos. ~7.8°	C15 · T15 ELO 1523	▲0%
Angers	38 (12–65) pos. ~13.8°	C15 · T15 ELO 1531	▲0%
Estac Troyes	38 (12–67) pos. ~13.8°	C15 · T15 ELO 1520	·
Marseille	45 (18–71) pos. ~10.5°	C15 · T15 ELO 1518	▼0%
Le Mans	43 (16–70) pos. ~11.3°	C15 · T15 ELO 1525	·
Auxerre	37 (11–68) pos. ~14.5°	C15 · T15 ELO 1531	▼0%
Le Havre	37 (12–65) pos. ~14.2°	C14 · T16 ELO 1531	▲0%
Toulouse	39 (15–66) pos. ~13.4°	C15 · T15 ELO 1526	▼1%
Nice	36 (11–61) pos. ~14.7°	C15 · T15 ELO 1530	▲1%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers

K. Doumbia

Stade Brestois 29

A. Gouiri

Marseille

L. Sinayoko

Paris FC

L. Mafouta

Le Mans

E. Lepaul

Rennes

F. Thauvin

Lens

Gessime Yassine

Strasbourg

S. Amo-Ameyaw

Strasbourg

Ferran Torres

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Josua Brunner

Monaco

👟 Assists

O. Giroud

Lille

P. Šulc

Lyon

Fabián Ruiz

Paris Saint Germain

A. Thomasson

Rennes

S. Nanasi

Strasbourg

A. Golovin

Monaco

K. Doumbia

Stade Brestois 29

L. Mafouta

Le Mans

F. Thauvin

Lens

Gessime Yassine

Strasbourg

🟨 Yellow cards

A. Lauray

Le Mans

N. Schmidt

Toulouse

R. Perraud

Lille

Y. Ndayishimiye

Nice

M. Diaz

Estac Troyes

F. Doucouré

Le Havre

U. Simbakoli

Angers

L. Dioubate

Auxerre

P. Peter

Angers

N. Nartey

Lyon

🟥 Red cards

J. Mwanga

Le Havre

C. Makosso

Auxerre

D. Sidibé

Le Mans

S. El Mourabet

Strasbourg

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	7	55.00%	57.1%	+2.10%
60–70%%	9	65.00%	55.6%	-9.40%
70–100%%	15	85.00%	60.0%	-25.00%

Based on 31 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Ligue 1?

For Ligue 1, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Ligue 1?

Accuracy for Ligue 1 is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Ligue 1 using per-league historical data.

How are Ligue 1 season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.