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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

Francia  · Season 2025/26
2025/26 2024/25
58.10%
1X2 accuracy · 31 predictions (3 months)

Playoff stage

# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form Vincitore del titolo
1 Rodez 1 1 0 0 3–2 +1 3 —
2 RED Star FC 93 1 0 0 1 2–3 -1 0 —
Vincitore del titolo

Regular season

# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Paris Saint Germain 34 24 4 6 74–29 +45 76
S V V P V
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66–35 +31 70
V S V P P
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52–37 +15 61
S V P V P
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53–40 +13 60
S S V V V
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63–45 +18 59
V V S P S
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59–50 +9 59
S V S V V
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60–54 +6 54
S S V P P
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58–47 +11 53
V V P S V
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48–51 -3 45
S V P S V
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 47–46 +1 44
V V P S S
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47–50 -3 44
V S V S V
12 Stade Brestois 29 34 10 9 15 43–55 -12 39
P S S S P
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29–48 -19 36
P P S S P
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32–44 -12 35
V S P P P
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34–44 -10 34
V V V S P
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37–60 -23 32
V P P S P
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 29–52 -23 23
S V S S P
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32–76 -44 17
P S S P S
Champion Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

Recent results

29 May
Nice
Saint Etienne
4–1
26 May
Saint Etienne
Nice
0–0
17 May
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
2–1 2
17 May
Nice
Metz
0–0
17 May
Lille
Auxerre
0–2 1
17 May
Strasbourg
Monaco
5–4
17 May
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
1–1
17 May
Lorient
Le Havre
0–2

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers
1 E. Lepaul
E. Lepaul
Rennes
20
2 M. Greenwood
M. Greenwood
Marseille
16
3 J. Panichelli
J. Panichelli
Strasbourg
16
4 F. Balogun
F. Balogun
Monaco
13
5 O. Édouard
O. Édouard
Lens
12
6 W. Saïd
W. Saïd
Lens
12
7 L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko
Auxerre
12
8 P. Šulc
P. Šulc
Lyon
11
9 B. Barcola
B. Barcola
Paris Saint Germain
11
10 F. Thauvin
F. Thauvin
Lens
11
👟 Assists
1 L. Ajorque
L. Ajorque
Stade Brestois 29
9
2 A. Thomasson
A. Thomasson
Lens
9
3 M. Greenwood
M. Greenwood
Marseille
7
4 O. Dembélé
O. Dembélé
Paris Saint Germain
7
5 G. Hein
G. Hein
Metz
7
6 Endrick
Endrick
Lyon
7
7 Afonso Moreira
Afonso Moreira
Lyon
7
8 M. Udol
M. Udol
Lens
7
9 Vitinha
Vitinha
Paris Saint Germain
7
10 F. Thauvin
F. Thauvin
Lens
6
🟨 Yellow cards
1 A. Thomasson
A. Thomasson
Lens
11
2 M. Lopez
M. Lopez
Paris FC
11
3 N. Ngoy
N. Ngoy
Lille
10
4 K. Kouao
K. Kouao
Metz
10
5 A. Dønnum
A. Dønnum
Toulouse
9
6 L. Ajorque
L. Ajorque
Stade Brestois 29
9
7 D. Namaso
D. Namaso
Auxerre
9
8 D. Methalie
D. Methalie
Toulouse
9
9 B. André
B. André
Lille
9
10 J. Teze
J. Teze
Monaco
8

Model calibration for this league

Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 7 55.00% 57.1% +2.10%
60–70%% 9 65.00% 55.6% -9.40%
70–100%% 15 85.00% 60.0% -25.00%
Based on 31 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve

# Team Goals xG Δ
1 Rennes Rennes 59 53.56 +5.44
2 Strasbourg Strasbourg 58 53.10 +4.90
3 Toulouse Toulouse 47 42.70 +4.30
4 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 74 70.26 +3.74
5 Monaco Monaco 60 56.71 +3.29
6 Lorient Lorient 48 44.93 +3.07
7 Paris FC Paris FC 47 44.46 +2.54
8 Marseille Marseille 63 61.88 +1.12
9 Lyon Lyon 53 52.32 +0.68
10 Lens Lens 66 66.41 -0.41
11 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 43 44.43 -1.43
12 Auxerre Auxerre 34 35.52 -1.52
13 Metz Metz 32 34.35 -2.35
14 Lille Lille 52 54.80 -2.80
15 Angers Angers 29 32.14 -3.14
16 Nice Nice 37 42.86 -5.86
17 Nantes Nantes 29 35.80 -6.80
18 Le Havre Le Havre 32 38.95 -6.95
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Ligue 1?
For Ligue 1, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Ligue 1?
Accuracy for Ligue 1 is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Ligue 1 using per-league historical data.
How are Ligue 1 season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.