Scottish Premiership
Scozia
· Season 2025/26
75.00%
1X2 accuracy · 12 predictions (3 months)
Fase finale
+ proiezioni fine stagione
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Vincitore del titolo | Champions League | Champions League (Qualification) | Conference League |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart Of Midlothian | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 60–29 | +31 | 73 |
V
V
P
V
S
|
72.18% | 72.18% | 93.72% | 100% |
| 2 | Celtic | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 62–36 | +26 | 70 |
V
V
V
S
V
|
13.80% | 13.80% | 52.68% | 100% |
| 3 | Rangers | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 68–34 | +34 | 69 |
S
V
V
V
V
|
14.02% | 14.02% | 53.60% | 100% |
| 4 | Motherwell | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 55–31 | +24 | 57 |
V
S
S
P
S
|
— | — | — | 95.71% |
| 5 | Hibernian | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 52–39 | +13 | 51 |
S
S
V
P
P
|
— | — | — | 4.20% |
| 6 | Falkirk | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 46–51 | -5 | 46 |
S
S
V
S
P
|
— | — | — | <1% |
Vincitore del titolo
Champions League
Champions League (Qualification)
Conference League
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
30 Apr 2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Relegation | Playout / Spareggio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dundee Utd | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 48–54 | -6 | 43 |
V
V
S
V
P
|
— | — |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 34–48 | -14 | 36 |
V
V
S
S
P
|
— | <1% |
| 3 | Dundee | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34–56 | -22 | 33 |
S
P
S
S
P
|
— | 1.26% |
| 4 | ST Mirren | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 27–50 | -23 | 30 |
S
S
V
V
S
|
<1% | 39.29% |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 37–66 | -29 | 28 |
S
P
S
V
V
|
<1% | 58.32% |
| 6 | Livingston | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 37–66 | -29 | 19 |
V
S
P
S
P
|
98.94% | 1.04% |
Relegation
Playout / Spareggio
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
30 Apr 2026
Stagione regolare
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart Of Midlothian | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58–28 | +30 | 70 |
V
P
V
S
V
|
| 2 | Rangers | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66–31 | +35 | 69 |
V
V
V
V
P
|
| 3 | Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59–35 | +24 | 67 |
V
V
S
V
V
|
| 4 | Motherwell | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52–29 | +23 | 54 |
S
S
P
S
S
|
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51–37 | +14 | 51 |
S
V
P
P
P
|
| 6 | Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45–48 | -3 | 46 |
S
V
S
P
V
|
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45–54 | -9 | 40 |
V
S
V
P
V
|
| 8 | Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33–48 | -15 | 33 |
V
S
S
P
S
|
| 9 | Dundee | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34–53 | -19 | 33 |
P
S
S
P
V
|
| 10 | ST Mirren | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27–48 | -21 | 30 |
S
V
V
S
S
|
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37–65 | -28 | 28 |
P
S
V
V
S
|
| 12 | Livingston | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35–66 | -31 | 16 |
S
P
S
P
P
|
Promotion
Relegation Playoff
Upcoming matches
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 3 | 55.00% | 66.7% | +11.70% |
| 60–70%% | 6 | 65.00% | 66.7% | +1.70% |
| 70–100%% | 3 | 85.00% | 100.0% | +15.00% |
Basato su 12 previsioni verificate · Δ ≤ 5% = ottima calibrazione
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rangers
|
53 | 45.36 | +7.64 |
|
| 2 |
Falkirk
|
37 | 32.00 | +5.00 |
|
| 3 |
Hibernian
|
38 | 33.23 | +4.77 |
|
| 4 |
Livingston
|
29 | 25.80 | +3.20 |
|
| 5 |
Motherwell
|
38 | 35.82 | +2.18 |
|
| 6 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
38 | 35.99 | +2.01 |
|
| 7 |
Celtic
|
44 | 42.45 | +1.55 |
|
| 8 |
Dundee Utd
|
28 | 27.80 | +0.20 |
|
| 9 |
Dundee
|
25 | 26.43 | -1.43 |
|
| 10 |
Aberdeen
|
22 | 23.75 | -1.75 |
|
| 11 |
Kilmarnock
|
26 | 27.79 | -1.79 |
|
| 12 |
ST Mirren
|
13 | 20.39 | -7.39 |
|
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Rangers
Falkirk
Hibernian
Livingston
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren