Matchday 7 of 42
17%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
48 (30–64)
pos. ~1.8°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1496
|
▲1% | ||
|
43 (23–57)
pos. ~3.6°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1498
|
▼1% | ||
|
41 (21–58)
pos. ~4.4°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1489
|
▲0% | ||
|
40 (22–57)
pos. ~5.2°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1495
|
▼0% | ||
|
37 (18–58)
pos. ~7.0°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1499
|
· | ||
|
38 (22–55)
pos. ~5.9°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1494
|
▲0% | ||
|
34 (16–50)
pos. ~8.9°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1500
|
· | ||
|
38 (20–55)
pos. ~6.0°
|
C7 · T9
ELO 1493
|
▼0% | ||
|
32 (13–48)
pos. ~10.2°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1496
|
· | ||
|
34 (16–52)
pos. ~9.0°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1502
|
· | ||
|
30 (12–49)
pos. ~12.1°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1500
|
· | ||
|
31 (11–49)
pos. ~11.0°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1499
|
· | ||
|
25 (10–42)
pos. ~15.0°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1502
|
· | ||
|
20 (2–38)
pos. ~18.6°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
|
29 (11–47)
pos. ~12.6°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1489
|
· | ||
|
27 (10–44)
pos. ~14.0°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1488
|
· | ||
|
23 (8–40)
pos. ~16.6°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1499
|
· | ||
|
22 (7–40)
pos. ~17.2°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1490
|
· | ||
|
24 (8–42)
pos. ~16.1°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1501
|
· | ||
|
20 (6–35)
pos. ~18.6°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
|
17 (4–36)
pos. ~20.5°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
|
14 (3–31)
pos. ~21.7°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1495
|
· | ||
|
17 (2–37)
pos. ~20.1°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1489
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 5 | 55.00% | 20.0% | -35.00% |
| 60–70%% | 7 | 65.00% | 42.9% | -22.10% |
| 70–100%% | 6 | 85.00% | 100.0% | +15.00% |
Based on 18 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Liga II?
For Liga II, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Liga II?
Accuracy for Liga II is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Liga II using per-league historical data.
How are Liga II season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.