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League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
53 (23–84)
pos. ~6.1°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1502
|
▲1% | ||
| 2 |
49 (23–78)
pos. ~8.2°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1506
|
▼0% | ||
| 3 |
46 (17–80)
pos. ~9.9°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1509
|
▼0% | ||
| 4 |
46 (19–74)
pos. ~10.2°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1509
|
· | ||
| 5 |
45 (19–72)
pos. ~10.6°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1510
|
▼0% | ||
| 6 |
46 (18–73)
pos. ~10.3°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1510
|
▲0% | ||
| 7 |
46 (20–76)
pos. ~9.9°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1509
|
▼0% | ||
| 8 |
51 (24–81)
pos. ~6.8°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1504
|
▲1% | ||
| 9 |
48 (18–74)
pos. ~8.9°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1507
|
▼0% | ||
| 10 |
42 (17–75)
pos. ~12.3°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1513
|
▲0% | ||
| 11 |
54 (27–85)
pos. ~5.4°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1501
|
▲0% | ||
| 12 |
45 (18–72)
pos. ~10.9°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1511
|
▲0% | ||
| 13 |
47 (20–76)
pos. ~9.3°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1508
|
▼0% | ||
| 14 |
47 (17–73)
pos. ~9.5°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1508
|
▼1% | ||
| 15 |
48 (18–76)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1507
|
· | ||
| 16 |
43 (19–69)
pos. ~12.0°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1512
|
▲0% | ||
| 17 |
46 (20–78)
pos. ~10.1°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1509
|
▲0% | ||
| 18 |
43 (15–77)
pos. ~12.1°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1512
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 11 | 55.00% | 63.6% | +8.60% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 4 | 85.00% | 25.0% | -60.00% |
Based on 23 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Segunda Liga?
For Segunda Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Segunda Liga?
Accuracy for Segunda Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Segunda Liga using per-league historical data.
How are Segunda Liga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.