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Segunda Liga

Segunda Liga

Portogallo  · Season 2026/27
2026/27 2025/26
Matchday 0 of 34 0%

League Table

18 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Academica — Champion 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
2 Leixoes — Promotion 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
3 Feirense — Promotion Playoff 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
4 Penafiel 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
5 Portimonense 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
6 Vizela 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
7 Chaves 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
8 Torreense 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
9 União de Leiria 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
10 Tondela 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
11 Amarante 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
12 Lusitânia Lourosa 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
13 Farense 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
14 Felgueiras 1932 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
15 FC Porto B 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
16 Sporting CP B — Relegation Playoff 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
17 Benfica B — Relegation 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
18 AVS — Relegation 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation Playoff Relegation
# Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
1 Academica
53 (23–84)
pos. ~6.1°
C17 · T17
ELO 1502
▲1%
2 Leixoes
49 (23–78)
pos. ~8.2°
C17 · T17
ELO 1506
▼0%
3 Feirense
46 (17–80)
pos. ~9.9°
C17 · T17
ELO 1509
▼0%
4 Penafiel
46 (19–74)
pos. ~10.2°
C17 · T17
ELO 1509
·
5 Portimonense
45 (19–72)
pos. ~10.6°
C17 · T17
ELO 1510
▼0%
6 Vizela
46 (18–73)
pos. ~10.3°
C17 · T17
ELO 1510
▲0%
7 Chaves
46 (20–76)
pos. ~9.9°
C17 · T17
ELO 1509
▼0%
8 Torreense
51 (24–81)
pos. ~6.8°
C17 · T17
ELO 1504
▲1%
9 União de Leiria
48 (18–74)
pos. ~8.9°
C17 · T17
ELO 1507
▼0%
10 Tondela
42 (17–75)
pos. ~12.3°
C17 · T17
ELO 1513
▲0%
11 Amarante
54 (27–85)
pos. ~5.4°
C17 · T17
ELO 1501
▲0%
12 Lusitânia Lourosa
45 (18–72)
pos. ~10.9°
C17 · T17
ELO 1511
▲0%
13 Farense
47 (20–76)
pos. ~9.3°
C17 · T17
ELO 1508
▼0%
14 Felgueiras 1932
47 (17–73)
pos. ~9.5°
C17 · T17
ELO 1508
▼1%
15 FC Porto B
48 (18–76)
pos. ~8.5°
C17 · T17
ELO 1507
·
16 Sporting CP B
43 (19–69)
pos. ~12.0°
C17 · T17
ELO 1512
▲0%
17 Benfica B
46 (20–78)
pos. ~10.1°
C17 · T17
ELO 1509
▲0%
18 AVS
43 (15–77)
pos. ~12.1°
C17 · T17
ELO 1512
·
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 11 55.00% 63.6% +8.60%
60–70%% 8 65.00% 50.0% -15.00%
70–100%% 4 85.00% 25.0% -60.00%
Based on 23 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Segunda Liga?
For Segunda Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Segunda Liga?
Accuracy for Segunda Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Segunda Liga using per-league historical data.
How are Segunda Liga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.