LigaPro
Ecuador
· Season 2026
63.60%
1X2 accuracy · 11 predictions (3 months)
League Table + end of season projections
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Projected Pts | Play-Offs Championship | Posti | Relegation Playoff | Schedule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32–18 | +14 | 37 |
V
S
V
V
V
|
62 (44–77)
pos. ~1.1°
|
|
|
— |
C7
·
T7
ELO 1499
|
| 2 | Deportivo Cuenca | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18–17 | +1 | 27 |
V
P
V
V
V
|
46 (31–64)
pos. ~5.4°
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T7
ELO 1501
|
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26–14 | +12 | 26 |
S
V
P
S
S
|
49 (30–66)
pos. ~4.0°
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T7
ELO 1500
|
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18–13 | +5 | 26 |
S
V
V
S
P
|
47 (31–65)
pos. ~4.9°
|
|
|
|
C8
·
T6
ELO 1501
|
| 5 | Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19–16 | +3 | 26 |
P
V
S
V
S
|
46 (32–66)
pos. ~5.4°
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T7
ELO 1500
|
| 6 | LDU de Quito | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16–13 | +3 | 24 |
P
V
V
V
S
|
46 (28–64)
pos. ~5.4°
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T7
ELO 1500
|
| 7 | Orense SC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21–19 | +2 | 22 |
S
V
V
V
P
|
45 (28–62)
pos. ~6.0°
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T7
ELO 1500
|
| 8 | Emelec | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13–16 | -3 | 22 |
V
V
P
P
S
|
41 (24–58)
pos. ~8.5°
|
|
|
|
C6
·
T8
ELO 1500
|
| 9 | Tecnico Universitario | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17–16 | +1 | 20 |
V
V
S
V
S
|
40 (25–57)
pos. ~9.0°
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T7
ELO 1501
|
| 10 | Macara | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15–18 | -3 | 20 |
P
S
S
V
S
|
37 (22–54)
pos. ~10.9°
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T7
ELO 1502
|
| 11 | Guayaquil City FC | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14–19 | -5 | 19 |
S
P
S
S
S
|
37 (21–55)
pos. ~10.6°
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T7
ELO 1499
|
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19–21 | -2 | 18 |
P
P
S
S
S
|
36 (20–55)
pos. ~11.4°
|
|
|
|
C6
·
T8
ELO 1500
|
| 13 | Leones del Norte | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15–18 | -3 | 17 |
P
S
V
S
V
|
37 (20–56)
pos. ~10.8°
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T7
ELO 1502
|
| 14 | Libertad | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16–22 | -6 | 17 |
S
V
S
P
V
|
32 (18–53)
pos. ~13.2°
|
|
|
|
C8
·
T6
ELO 1504
|
| 15 | Delfin SC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8–15 | -7 | 16 |
S
S
P
S
V
|
30 (16–45)
pos. ~14.2°
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T7
ELO 1501
|
| 16 | Manta FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7–19 | -12 | 12 |
V
S
P
S
P
|
26 (13–42)
pos. ~15.3°
|
— |
|
|
C7
·
T7
ELO 1504
|
Play-Offs Championship
Posti
Relegation Playoff
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
14 Jun 2026
Projection trend
Independiente del Valle
100%
=
Promotion
Deportivo Cuenca
68%
+1%
Promotion
Universidad Catolica
86%
0%
Promotion
Barcelona SC
76%
+1%
Promotion
Aucas
68%
0%
Promotion
LDU de Quito
70%
+1%
Promotion
Orense SC
59%
0%
Promotion
Emelec
26%
=
Relegation Playoff
Tecnico Universitario
32%
+1%
Relegation Playoff
Macara
60%
0%
Relegation Playoff
Guayaquil City FC
54%
+1%
Relegation Playoff
Mushuc Runa SC
66%
-1%
Relegation Playoff
Leones del Norte
58%
=
Relegation Playoff
Libertad
88%
+0%
Relegation Playoff
Delfin SC
96%
0%
Relegation Playoff
Manta FC
99%
0%
Relegation Playoff
Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
2 Jul
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2 Jul
Libertad
Leones del Norte
2 Jul
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
2 Jul
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
2 Jul
Macara
LDU de Quito
2 Jul
Delfin SC
Emelec
2 Jul
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
2 Jul
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
6 Jul
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
6 Jul
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Recent results
Player statistics
⚽ Top scorers
1
6
E. Mero
Guayaquil City FC
2
6
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
Independiente del Valle
3
6
B. Palacios
Universidad Catolica
4
6
B. Miranda
Aucas
5
5
D. Benedetto
Barcelona SC
6
5
R. Carrillo
Mushuc Runa SC
7
5
A. Herrera
Orense SC
8
5
Juan Luis Anangonó León
Leones del Norte
9
5
J. Ordoñez
Deportivo Cuenca
10
4
D. Reasco
Independiente del Valle
👟 Assists
1
6
M. Díaz
Universidad Catolica
2
4
J. Ayovi
Guayaquil City FC
3
3
D. Reasco
Independiente del Valle
4
3
G. Cortéz
Libertad
5
3
A. Rodríguez
Independiente del Valle
6
3
E. Zambrano
Orense SC
7
3
E. Velasco
Mushuc Runa SC
8
3
Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón
Mushuc Runa SC
9
3
J. Viacava
Independiente del Valle
10
3
Y. Arce
Tecnico Universitario
🟨 Yellow cards
1
7
Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón
Mushuc Runa SC
2
6
O. Quiñonez
Orense SC
3
6
B. Caicedo
Libertad
4
6
L. Estupiñán
Tecnico Universitario
5
6
E. Rubio
Delfin SC
6
6
R. Arias
Guayaquil City FC
7
6
C. Castaño
Tecnico Universitario
8
6
J. Ontaneda
Aucas
9
6
M. Cagua
Tecnico Universitario
10
5
Y. Arce
Tecnico Universitario
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 5 | 55.00% | 60.0% | +5.00% |
| 60–70%% | 4 | 65.00% | 100.0% | +35.00% |
Based on 11 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for LigaPro?
For LigaPro, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for LigaPro?
Accuracy for LigaPro is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for LigaPro using per-league historical data.
How are LigaPro season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.