LigaPro
Ecuador
· Season 2026
66.70%
1X2 accuracy · 15 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 22 of 30
73%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Play-Offs Championship
Posti
Relegation Playoff
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
73 (59–79)
pos. ~1.0°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1505
|
· | ||
| 2 |
49 (37–60)
pos. ~3.3°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1505
|
▼1% | ||
| 3 |
49 (37–59)
pos. ~3.4°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1501
|
▲0% | ||
| 4 |
46 (35–57)
pos. ~5.2°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1495
|
▼0% | ||
| 5 |
45 (35–58)
pos. ~5.2°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1512
|
▼0% | ||
| 6 |
44 (33–56)
pos. ~5.9°
|
C5 · T3
ELO 1509
|
▲1% | ||
| 7 |
44 (32–55)
pos. ~6.2°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1501
|
▼1% | ||
| 8 |
40 (31–52)
pos. ~8.7°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1507
|
▼1% | ||
| 9 |
39 (28–52)
pos. ~9.4°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1503
|
▼1% | ||
| 10 |
37 (27–51)
pos. ~10.4°
|
C5 · T3
ELO 1518
|
▲1% | ||
| 11 |
36 (26–48)
pos. ~11.5°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1506
|
▲1% | ||
| 12 |
34 (26–48)
pos. ~12.8°
|
C3 · T5
ELO 1500
|
▼0% | ||
| 13 |
35 (25–49)
pos. ~11.6°
|
C3 · T5
ELO 1489
|
▲1% | ||
| 14 |
35 (25–49)
pos. ~11.7°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1502
|
▼0% | ||
| 15 |
32 (23–44)
pos. ~13.8°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1516
|
▼0% | ||
| 16 |
20 (14–33)
pos. ~16.0°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1507
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 6 | 55.00% | 66.7% | +11.70% |
| 60–70%% | 7 | 65.00% | 85.7% | +20.70% |
| 70–100%% | 5 | 85.00% | 60.0% | -25.00% |
Based on 18 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Universidad Catolica
|
4 | 3.85 | +0.15 | |
| 2 |
Deportivo Cuenca
|
1 | 3.34 | -2.34 | |
| 3 |
LDU de Quito
|
0 | 4.15 | -4.15 |
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for LigaPro?
For LigaPro, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for LigaPro?
Accuracy for LigaPro is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for LigaPro using per-league historical data.
How are LigaPro season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.