Úrvalsdeild

Islanda · Season 2026

48.30%

1X2 accuracy · 29 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 22 of 22 100%

League Table

12 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Vikingur Reykjavik — Playoff	22	16	5	1	67–21	+46	53	V P P V V
2	Fram Reykjavik — Playoff	22	13	6	3	56–42	+14	45	P P V V S
3	KR Reykjavik — Playoff	22	13	5	4	74–49	+25	44	V S P V P
4	Breidablik — Playoff	22	8	6	8	43–41	+2	30	S S S P S
5	IA Akranes — Playoff	22	8	6	8	39–41	-2	30	S V P P V
6	Keflavik — Playoff	22	8	4	10	33–38	-5	28	S S S V V
7	Stjarnan — Relegation Playoff	22	8	4	10	42–50	-8	28	V P V V S
8	Valur Reykjavik — Relegation Playoff	22	8	3	11	39–45	-6	27	V V P S P
9	FH hafnarfjordur — Relegation Playoff	22	4	9	9	27–39	-12	21	V S V P S
10	Thor Akureyri — Relegation Playoff	22	6	3	13	22–50	-28	21	S V V S S
11	KA Akureyri — Relegation Playoff	22	5	5	12	35–48	-13	20	S V P S P
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Relegation Playoff	22	4	6	12	32–45	-13	18	S P S S S
1	Vikingur Reykjavik — Playoff	12	9	3	0	39–11	+28	30	V P V P V
2	KR Reykjavik — Playoff	12	9	3	0	46–22	+24	30	V V P P V
3	Fram Reykjavik — Playoff	11	6	3	2	31–24	+7	21	V P S V P
4	Breidablik — Playoff	11	6	1	4	25–21	+4	19	V V S S S
5	Keflavik — Playoff	11	5	3	3	18–13	+5	18	P V V V S
6	Stjarnan — Playoff	12	5	2	5	25–24	+1	17	V V V P V
7	IA Akranes — Relegation Playoff	11	4	4	3	19–15	+4	16	V P V P V
8	Valur Reykjavik — Relegation Playoff	12	4	3	5	26–28	-2	15	S S P P V
9	FH hafnarfjordur — Relegation Playoff	12	3	5	4	18–17	+1	14	P P S V V
10	Thor Akureyri — Relegation Playoff	11	4	1	6	13–20	-7	13	P V V S V
11	IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Relegation Playoff	11	3	2	6	17–21	-4	11	V P S S S
12	KA Akureyri — Relegation Playoff	11	3	1	7	16–21	-5	10	V P S S V
1	Vikingur Reykjavik — Playoff	11	8	2	1	32–11	+21	26	V S P V P
2	Fram Reykjavik — Playoff	11	7	3	1	25–18	+7	24	P V V V P
3	KR Reykjavik — Playoff	11	5	2	4	33–28	+5	17	P P V V S
4	Valur Reykjavik — Playoff	11	5	0	6	17–18	-1	15	S S V S V
5	Stjarnan — Playoff	11	4	2	5	19–26	-7	14	S S V S V
6	IA Akranes — Playoff	12	4	2	6	21–31	-10	14	S S V P S
7	Breidablik — Relegation Playoff	11	2	5	4	18–20	-2	11	V P S P S
8	FH hafnarfjordur — Relegation Playoff	11	2	4	5	12–22	-10	10	V P V P S
9	KA Akureyri — Relegation Playoff	12	2	4	6	19–30	-11	10	P S P P S
10	Keflavik — Relegation Playoff	12	3	1	8	16–29	-13	10	S S V S S
11	Thor Akureyri — Relegation Playoff	12	2	2	8	10–34	-24	8	P S S V S
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Relegation Playoff	12	1	4	7	15–26	-11	7	S P S P S

Playoff Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Playoff Relegation Playoff

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Vikingur Reykjavik	61 (53–65) pos. ~1.0°	C2 · T2 ELO 1531	·
Fram Reykjavik	53 (45–60) pos. ~2.4°	C3 · T2 ELO 1529	·
KR Reykjavik	52 (44–56) pos. ~2.6°	C2 · T2 ELO 1531	·
Breidablik	34 (30–45) pos. ~6.2°	C2 · T3 ELO 1546	▼2%
IA Akranes	36 (30–42) pos. ~5.3°	C2 · T2 ELO 1531	▲5%
Keflavik	32 (28–40) pos. ~7.2°	C2 · T2 ELO 1531	▲17%
Stjarnan	35 (28–40) pos. ~5.6°	C2 · T2 ELO 1453	▼5%
Valur Reykjavik	34 (27–39) pos. ~6.2°	C2 · T2 ELO 1463	▼4%
FH hafnarfjordur	27 (21–33) pos. ~9.5°	C2 · T2 ELO 1461	▼0%
Thor Akureyri	25 (21–33) pos. ~10.5°	C2 · T2 ELO 1463	·
KA Akureyri	25 (20–32) pos. ~10.5°	C2 · T2 ELO 1461	·
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	23 (18–30) pos. ~11.2°	C2 · T2 ELO 1453	·

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	13	55.00%	69.2%	+14.20%
60–70%%	13	65.00%	30.8%	-34.20%
70–100%%	8	85.00%	62.5%	-22.50%

Based on 34 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Úrvalsdeild?

For Úrvalsdeild, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Úrvalsdeild?

Accuracy for Úrvalsdeild is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Úrvalsdeild using per-league historical data.

How are Úrvalsdeild season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.