Úrvalsdeild

Islanda · Season 2026

64.70%

1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 16 of 22 73%

League Table

12 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Vikingur Reykjavik — Playoff	16	14	1	1	54–12	+42	43	V S V V V
2	KR Reykjavik — Playoff	16	11	2	3	58–36	+22	35	V V P S V
3	Fram Reykjavik — Playoff	16	10	4	2	41–28	+13	34	P V V P V
4	Breidablik — Playoff	16	8	5	3	35–26	+9	29	V P V V S
5	Valur Reykjavik — Playoff	16	6	1	9	26–32	-6	19	S S S V P
6	Keflavik — Playoff	16	5	4	7	25–33	-8	19	S V S P V
7	IA Akranes — Relegation Playoff	16	5	3	8	26–34	-8	18	V S S S S
8	IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Relegation Playoff	16	4	4	8	26–34	-8	16	S P S V P
9	KA Akureyri — Relegation Playoff	16	4	3	9	24–32	-8	15	P P V S S
10	Stjarnan — Relegation Playoff	16	4	3	9	29–41	-12	15	S S P V S
11	FH hafnarfjordur — Relegation Playoff	16	2	7	7	20–31	-11	13	P P V P P
12	Thor Akureyri — Relegation Playoff	16	3	3	10	17–42	-25	12	P V S P S
1	KR Reykjavik — Playoff	9	8	1	0	37–17	+20	25	V V V V V
2	Vikingur Reykjavik — Playoff	8	7	1	0	29–6	+23	22	V V V V V
3	Breidablik — Playoff	8	6	1	1	21–12	+9	19	V V S V V
4	Fram Reykjavik — Playoff	8	5	2	1	24–16	+8	17	V V S V P
5	Keflavik — Playoff	8	3	3	2	13–11	+2	12	V S V P V
6	IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Playoff	8	3	2	3	15–15	+0	11	S V V V P
7	Valur Reykjavik — Relegation Playoff	8	3	1	4	14–18	-4	10	S V S P S
8	IA Akranes — Relegation Playoff	7	2	2	3	11–11	+0	8	P V S S V
9	FH hafnarfjordur — Relegation Playoff	8	1	4	3	10–11	-1	7	P P P V P
10	KA Akureyri — Relegation Playoff	8	2	1	5	11–14	-3	7	V S S V P
11	Stjarnan — Relegation Playoff	8	2	1	5	16–20	-4	7	S S S P V
12	Thor Akureyri — Relegation Playoff	8	2	1	5	11–18	-7	7	S S S P V
1	Vikingur Reykjavik — Playoff	8	7	0	1	25–6	+19	21	V V V V S
2	Fram Reykjavik — Playoff	8	5	2	1	17–12	+5	17	V V V P V
3	KR Reykjavik — Playoff	7	3	1	3	21–19	+2	10	V S S S P
4	Breidablik — Playoff	8	2	4	2	14–14	+0	10	S S P V P
5	IA Akranes — Playoff	9	3	1	5	15–23	-8	10	V V S S S
6	Valur Reykjavik — Playoff	8	3	0	5	12–14	-2	9	S S V S S
7	KA Akureyri — Relegation Playoff	8	2	2	4	13–18	-5	8	S S S S P
8	Stjarnan — Relegation Playoff	8	2	2	4	13–21	-8	8	V S P S S
9	Keflavik — Relegation Playoff	8	2	1	5	12–22	-10	7	V S P S S
10	FH hafnarfjordur — Relegation Playoff	8	1	3	4	10–20	-10	6	S P S V P
11	IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Relegation Playoff	8	1	2	5	11–19	-8	5	P V P S S
12	Thor Akureyri — Relegation Playoff	8	1	2	5	6–24	-18	5	S S P S P

Playoff Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026

Playoff Relegation Playoff

#	Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	57 (46–61) pos. ~1.0°	C3 · T3 ELO 1503	·
2	KR Reykjavik	45 (35–53) pos. ~2.5°	C2 · T4 ELO 1522	·
3	Fram Reykjavik	43 (34–52) pos. ~2.8°	C3 · T3 ELO 1526	·
4	Breidablik	39 (29–47) pos. ~3.7°	C3 · T3 ELO 1497	·
5	Valur Reykjavik	26 (19–37) pos. ~7.1°	C3 · T3 ELO 1512	▲1%
6	Keflavik	28 (19–37) pos. ~6.3°	C3 · T3 ELO 1464	▼1%
7	IA Akranes	25 (18–36) pos. ~7.4°	C4 · T2 ELO 1513	▼1%
8	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	25 (16–34) pos. ~7.4°	C3 · T3 ELO 1513	▼0%
9	KA Akureyri	21 (15–33) pos. ~9.6°	C3 · T3 ELO 1515	·
10	Stjarnan	22 (15–33) pos. ~9.0°	C3 · T3 ELO 1492	▲1%
11	FH hafnarfjordur	21 (13–31) pos. ~10.0°	C3 · T3 ELO 1511	▲0%
12	Thor Akureyri	17 (12–30) pos. ~11.4°	C3 · T3 ELO 1482	▼0%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	8	55.00%	87.5%	+32.50%
60–70%%	5	65.00%	20.0%	-45.00%
70–100%%	4	85.00%	75.0%	-10.00%

Based on 17 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Úrvalsdeild?

For Úrvalsdeild, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Úrvalsdeild?

Accuracy for Úrvalsdeild is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Úrvalsdeild using per-league historical data.

How are Úrvalsdeild season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.