Challenge League

Svizzera · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26

Matchday 8 of 18 44%

League Table

10 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — Champion	8	6	2	0	17–3	+14	20	V V V P V
2	FC Winterthur — Promotion Playoff	8	4	3	1	17–7	+10	15	V V P P V
3	Yverdon Sport	8	4	3	1	14–9	+5	15	S V V P V
4	Neuchatel Xamax FC	8	4	0	4	12–14	-2	12	V S S S S
5	FC Aarau	7	3	2	2	11–12	-1	11	P V P V S
6	SC Kriens	7	3	1	3	10–8	+2	10	P S P V V
7	Étoile Carouge	8	2	3	3	7–8	-1	9	S P S V P
8	Rapperswil	8	2	1	5	12–16	-4	7	V S P S S
9	FC WIL 1900	8	1	3	4	10–21	-11	6	S P P P S
10	Stade Nyonnais — Relegation	8	0	2	6	6–18	-12	2	S S P S P
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — Champion	4	4	0	0	11–0	+11	12	V V V V
2	FC Aarau — Promotion Playoff	5	3	2	0	10–7	+3	11	P V V V P
3	FC Winterthur	4	2	2	0	12–3	+9	8	P V P V
4	Yverdon Sport	4	2	2	0	8–4	+4	8	P V P V
5	Étoile Carouge	5	2	1	2	6–4	+2	7	V S V P S
6	SC Kriens	4	2	0	2	5–4	+1	6	V S V S
7	Rapperswil	4	1	1	2	7–8	-1	4	S S P V
8	Neuchatel Xamax FC	3	1	0	2	5–6	-1	3	V S S
9	Stade Nyonnais	4	0	2	2	4–7	-3	2	S P P S
10	FC WIL 1900 — Relegation	3	0	1	2	3–6	-3	1	S S P
1	Neuchatel Xamax FC — Champion	5	3	0	2	7–8	-1	9	V V S S V
2	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — Promotion Playoff	4	2	2	0	6–3	+3	8	P V P V
3	Yverdon Sport	4	2	1	1	6–5	+1	7	P V V S
4	FC Winterthur	4	2	1	1	5–4	+1	7	S V P V
5	SC Kriens	4	1	2	1	7–6	+1	5	S V P P
6	FC WIL 1900	5	1	2	2	7–15	-8	5	V S P P S
7	Rapperswil	4	1	0	3	5–8	-3	3	V S S S
8	Étoile Carouge	3	0	2	1	1–4	-3	2	P P S
9	FC Aarau	3	0	1	2	3–7	-4	1	S S P
10	Stade Nyonnais — Relegation	4	0	0	4	2–11	-9	0	S S S S

Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	41 (27–50) pos. ~1.2°	C5 · T5 ELO 1489	▼1%
FC Winterthur	33 (18–45) pos. ~2.6°	C5 · T5 ELO 1493	▲0%
Yverdon Sport	32 (16–45) pos. ~3.0°	C5 · T5 ELO 1489	▲0%
Neuchatel Xamax FC	26 (12–40) pos. ~5.0°	C6 · T4 ELO 1485	·
FC Aarau	24 (11–39) pos. ~5.6°	C4 · T6 ELO 1486	▼0%
SC Kriens	25 (12–40) pos. ~5.3°	C5 · T5 ELO 1486	·
Étoile Carouge	21 (10–36) pos. ~6.6°	C4 · T6 ELO 1492	▲0%
Rapperswil	19 (7–35) pos. ~7.6°	C5 · T5 ELO 1493	▼0%
FC WIL 1900	16 (6–33) pos. ~8.5°	C6 · T4 ELO 1482	▼1%
Stade Nyonnais	10 (2–24) pos. ~9.8°	C5 · T5 ELO 1497	▲1%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	3	55.00%	66.7%	+11.70%
60–70%%	6	65.00%	66.7%	+1.70%
70–100%%	3	85.00%	66.7%	-18.30%

Based on 12 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Challenge League?

For Challenge League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Challenge League?

Accuracy for Challenge League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Challenge League using per-league historical data.

How are Challenge League season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.