Challenge League

Svizzera · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26

Matchday 1 of 18 6%

League Table

10 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Étoile Carouge — Champion	1	1	0	0	3–0	+3	3	V
2	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — Promotion Playoff	1	1	0	0	2–0	+2	3	V
3	FC WIL 1900	1	1	0	0	5–4	+1	3	V
4	Neuchatel Xamax FC	1	1	0	0	3–2	+1	3	V
5	FC Winterthur	1	0	1	0	2–2	+0	1	P
6	Yverdon Sport	1	0	1	0	2–2	+0	1	P
7	Rapperswil	1	0	0	1	4–5	-1	0	S
8	SC Kriens	1	0	0	1	2–3	-1	0	S
9	Stade Nyonnais	1	0	0	1	0–2	-2	0	S
10	FC Aarau — Relegation	1	0	0	1	0–3	-3	0	S
1	Étoile Carouge — Champion	1	1	0	0	3–0	+3	3	V
2	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — Promotion Playoff	1	1	0	0	2–0	+2	3	V
3	Neuchatel Xamax FC	1	1	0	0	3–2	+1	3	V
4	FC Winterthur	1	0	1	0	2–2	+0	1	P
5	Rapperswil	1	0	0	1	4–5	-1	0	S
1	FC WIL 1900 — Champion	1	1	0	0	5–4	+1	3	V
2	Yverdon Sport — Promotion Playoff	1	0	1	0	2–2	+0	1	P
3	SC Kriens	1	0	0	1	2–3	-1	0	S
4	Stade Nyonnais	1	0	0	1	0–2	-2	0	S
5	FC Aarau	1	0	0	1	0–3	-3	0	S

Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026

Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

#	Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
1	Étoile Carouge	29 (10–48) pos. ~3.9°	C8 · T9 ELO 1475	▲0%
2	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	28 (8–51) pos. ~4.3°	C8 · T9 ELO 1487	▼1%
3	FC WIL 1900	27 (9–47) pos. ~4.8°	C9 · T8 ELO 1485	▲1%
4	Neuchatel Xamax FC	28 (8–50) pos. ~4.3°	C8 · T9 ELO 1480	▼0%
5	FC Winterthur	20 (3–43) pos. ~7.8°	C8 · T9 ELO 1493	▲0%
6	Yverdon Sport	29 (6–49) pos. ~3.9°	C9 · T8 ELO 1480	▲0%
7	Rapperswil	23 (1–49) pos. ~6.6°	C8 · T9 ELO 1485	▲0%
8	SC Kriens	24 (2–45) pos. ~6.3°	C9 · T8 ELO 1481	▼0%
9	Stade Nyonnais	19 (0–39) pos. ~8.4°	C9 · T8 ELO 1494	▼0%
10	FC Aarau	27 (6–47) pos. ~4.8°	C9 · T8 ELO 1471	▼0%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	3	55.00%	66.7%	+11.70%
60–70%%	6	65.00%	66.7%	+1.70%
70–100%%	3	85.00%	66.7%	-18.30%

Based on 12 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Challenge League?

For Challenge League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Challenge League?

Accuracy for Challenge League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Challenge League using per-league historical data.

How are Challenge League season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.