Matchday 6 of 34
18%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
71 (45–97)
pos. ~1.3°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1499
|
▲0% | ||
|
63 (35–86)
pos. ~2.4°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1500
|
▲1% | ||
|
52 (27–76)
pos. ~6.2°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1503
|
▼0% | ||
|
51 (29–77)
pos. ~6.7°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1508
|
▲4% | ||
|
52 (27–77)
pos. ~6.2°
|
C15 · T13
ELO 1503
|
▲1% | ||
|
50 (23–74)
pos. ~7.4°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1509
|
▼7% | ||
|
46 (21–71)
pos. ~9.3°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1508
|
▲1% | ||
|
46 (20–74)
pos. ~9.4°
|
C13 · T15
ELO 1501
|
▲1% | ||
|
44 (20–74)
pos. ~10.4°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1508
|
▲0% | ||
|
46 (24–73)
pos. ~9.6°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1508
|
▲0% | ||
|
46 (20–70)
pos. ~9.6°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1510
|
▼0% | ||
|
44 (21–70)
pos. ~10.6°
|
C15 · T13
ELO 1505
|
▲0% | ||
|
44 (21–68)
pos. ~10.4°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1506
|
▲2% | ||
|
39 (18–62)
pos. ~13.5°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1509
|
▲0% | ||
|
37 (16–62)
pos. ~14.2°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1504
|
▼0% | ||
|
41 (18–66)
pos. ~12.3°
|
C13 · T15
ELO 1503
|
▲1% | ||
|
33 (12–65)
pos. ~16.0°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1513
|
▼0% | ||
|
34 (13–62)
pos. ~15.5°
|
C14 · T14
ELO 1511
|
▲0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 6 | 55.00% | 50.0% | -5.00% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 6 | 85.00% | 50.0% | -35.00% |
Based on 20 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Ligue 2?
For Ligue 2, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Ligue 2?
Accuracy for Ligue 2 is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Ligue 2 using per-league historical data.
How are Ligue 2 season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.