League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
67 (38–91)
pos. ~2.0°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1501
|
▲1% | ||
|
67 (40–92)
pos. ~2.0°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1503
|
▼0% | ||
|
54 (29–81)
pos. ~5.9°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1506
|
▼0% | ||
|
54 (29–80)
pos. ~5.8°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1503
|
▼0% | ||
|
52 (28–76)
pos. ~6.5°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1506
|
▼0% | ||
|
51 (24–77)
pos. ~7.0°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1507
|
▼0% | ||
|
50 (25–79)
pos. ~7.8°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1507
|
▼1% | ||
|
48 (24–74)
pos. ~9.0°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1506
|
· | ||
|
43 (19–70)
pos. ~11.4°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1512
|
▲0% | ||
|
43 (17–70)
pos. ~11.6°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1504
|
▼0% | ||
|
44 (19–69)
pos. ~11.2°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1508
|
▲0% | ||
|
38 (17–64)
pos. ~14.2°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1506
|
▼0% | ||
|
40 (17–64)
pos. ~13.3°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1506
|
▼1% | ||
|
43 (19–68)
pos. ~11.5°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1508
|
▲0% | ||
|
44 (18–73)
pos. ~10.8°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1501
|
▲0% | ||
|
38 (14–63)
pos. ~14.2°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1505
|
▼0% | ||
|
40 (13–67)
pos. ~13.4°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1507
|
· | ||
|
39 (17–67)
pos. ~13.5°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1506
|
▲1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 10 | 55.00% | 50.0% | -5.00% |
| 60–70%% | 5 | 65.00% | 80.0% | +15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 4 | 85.00% | 75.0% | -10.00% |
Based on 19 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hertha BSC
|
10 | 6.08 | +3.92 | |
| 2 |
1. FC Magdeburg
|
6 | 3.79 | +2.21 | |
| 3 |
Eintracht Braunschweig
|
9 | 7.11 | +1.89 | |
| 4 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
4 | 3.10 | +0.90 | |
| 5 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
2 | 2.00 | +0.00 | |
| 6 |
1. FC Kaiserslautern
|
2 | 2.62 | -0.62 | |
| 7 |
Holstein Kiel
|
4 | 5.48 | -1.48 | |
| 8 |
FC St. Pauli
|
4 | 5.68 | -1.68 | |
| 9 |
VfL Bochum
|
1 | 3.66 | -2.66 | |
| 10 |
Hannover 96
|
2 | 6.29 | -4.29 |
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for 2. Bundesliga?
For 2. Bundesliga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for 2. Bundesliga?
Accuracy for 2. Bundesliga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for 2. Bundesliga using per-league historical data.
How are 2. Bundesliga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.
Hertha BSC
1. FC Magdeburg
Eintracht Braunschweig
VfL Osnabrück
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
VfL Bochum
Hannover 96