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First League

First League

Montenegro  · Season 2026/27
2026/27 2025/26
Matchday 8 of 18 44%

League Table

10 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Dečić — Champion 8 4 2 2 9–6 +3 14
S P S V V
2 Otrant-Olympic — Conference League 8 4 1 3 11–9 +2 13
V S V V S
3 Mornar 8 3 3 2 8–6 +2 12
S S V P V
4 Sutjeska 8 3 2 3 9–7 +2 11
V V P V P
5 Buducnost Podgorica 8 3 2 3 7–6 +1 11
V V S P S
6 Bokelj 7 3 2 2 4–4 +0 11
V S P P S
7 Mladost DG 8 3 1 4 8–12 -4 10
S V V S P
8 Petrovac — Relegation Playoff 8 1 5 2 6–5 +1 8
S P P P P
9 Jezero — Relegation Playoff 7 2 2 3 7–10 -3 8
S V S P S
10 Arsenal Tivat — Relegation 8 1 4 3 5–9 -4 7
V S S S P
1 Sutjeska — Champion 5 3 0 2 9–6 +3 9
S S V V V
2 Jezero — Conference League 4 2 2 0 6–2 +4 8
P V P V
3 Dečić 4 2 2 0 4–2 +2 8
P V V P
4 Mornar 4 2 1 1 4–2 +2 7
P V V S
5 Bokelj 3 2 1 0 3–1 +2 7
V P V
6 Mladost DG 5 2 1 2 6–6 +0 7
V S P V S
7 Petrovac 5 1 2 2 5–4 +1 5
S V P P S
8 Buducnost Podgorica — Relegation Playoff 3 1 1 1 3–2 +1 4
S P V
9 Otrant-Olympic — Relegation Playoff 3 1 1 1 2–3 -1 4
P S V
10 Arsenal Tivat — Relegation 3 0 1 2 1–3 -2 1
P S S
1 Otrant-Olympic — Champion 5 3 0 2 9–6 +3 9
S V V S V
2 Buducnost Podgorica — Conference League 5 2 1 2 4–4 +0 7
V P S S V
3 Dečić 4 2 0 2 5–4 +1 6
V V S S
4 Arsenal Tivat 5 1 3 1 4–6 -2 6
P P P S V
5 Mornar 4 1 2 1 4–4 +0 5
P V P S
6 Bokelj 4 1 1 2 1–3 -2 4
V S P S
7 Petrovac 3 0 3 0 1–1 +0 3
P P P
8 Mladost DG — Relegation Playoff 3 1 0 2 2–6 -4 3
S S V
9 Sutjeska — Relegation Playoff 3 0 2 1 0–1 -1 2
S P P
10 Jezero — Relegation 3 0 0 3 1–8 -7 0
S S S
Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation
Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
Dečić
31 (16–47)
pos. ~2.9°
C6 · T5
ELO 1487
▲5%
Otrant-Olympic
30 (14–44)
pos. ~3.4°
C6 · T5
ELO 1485
▲15%
Mornar
28 (14–41)
pos. ~4.3°
C5 · T6
ELO 1485
▼19%
Sutjeska
26 (12–42)
pos. ~5.2°
C5 · T6
ELO 1489
▲0%
Buducnost Podgorica
27 (12–42)
pos. ~5.1°
C6 · T5
ELO 1482
▲5%
Bokelj
28 (14–43)
pos. ~4.5°
C6 · T6
ELO 1485
▲1%
Mladost DG
22 (10–39)
pos. ~7.4°
C5 · T6
ELO 1488
▲16%
Petrovac
23 (10–39)
pos. ~7.0°
C5 · T6
ELO 1487
▲11%
Jezero
24 (10–40)
pos. ~6.5°
C6 · T6
ELO 1488
▼10%
Arsenal Tivat
19 (7–35)
pos. ~8.7°
C6 · T5
ELO 1483
▼31%
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for First League?
For First League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for First League?
Accuracy for First League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for First League using per-league historical data.
How are First League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.