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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores

Sud America  · Season 2026
2026 2025
▶ Previous rounds (1)
Qualification Round 1
The Strongest The Strongest 2–1 Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1–0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
Juventud Juventud 0–1 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
▶

Bracket
Finale
Final
TBD · TBD
▶

League stage
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15–6 +9 16
2 Flamengo Flamengo 5 4 1 0 11–2 +9 13
3 Rosario Central Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 9–1 +8 13
4 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11–6 +5 13
5 U. Catolica U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 8–4 +4 13
6 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 6–2 +4 13
7 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 8–5 +3 12
8 Mirassol Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7–4 +3 12
9 Palmeiras Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10–5 +5 11
10 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8–3 +5 11
11 Corinthians Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8–4 +4 11
12 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 8–6 +2 10
13 Platense Platense 6 3 1 2 8–7 +1 10
14 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 6–5 +1 9
15 UCV UCV 6 3 0 3 7–11 -4 9
16 Lanus Lanus 6 3 0 3 3–7 -4 9
17 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 7–6 +1 8
18 Fluminense Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7–7 +0 8
19 Santa Fe Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6–7 -1 8
20 Club Nacional Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 7–9 -2 8
21 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6–5 +1 7
22 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 5 2 1 2 6–8 -2 7
23 Universitario Universitario 6 1 3 2 5–6 -1 6
24 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 6–9 -3 6
25 Bolívar Bolívar 6 1 2 3 6–8 -2 5
26 Junior Junior 6 1 1 4 5–11 -6 4
27 Always Ready Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7–9 -2 3
28 Penarol Penarol 6 0 3 3 4–8 -4 3
29 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6–13 -7 3
30 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 2–12 -10 3
31 Cusco Cusco 6 0 1 5 4–12 -8 1
32 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 4–13 -9 0

Groups

Group A
# P GD Pts
1 6 +12 16
2 6 +1 9
3 6 -5 7
4 6 -8 1
Group B
# P GD Pts
1 6 +2 10
2 6 +1 8
3 6 -2 8
4 6 -1 6
Group C
# P GD Pts
1 6 +9 16
2 6 +0 8
3 6 -2 5
4 6 -7 3
Group D
# P GD Pts
1 6 +4 13
2 6 +5 11
3 6 +1 7
4 6 -10 3
Group E
# P GD Pts
1 6 +4 11
2 6 +1 10
3 6 -1 8
4 6 -4 3
Group F
# P GD Pts
1 6 +4 13
2 6 +5 11
3 6 -3 6
4 6 -6 4
Group G
# P GD Pts
1 6 +3 12
2 6 +3 12
3 6 -4 9
4 6 -2 3
Group H
# P GD Pts
1 6 +8 13
2 6 +5 13
3
UCV UCV
6 -4 9
4 6 -9 0

Upcoming matches

September 16, 2026
September 17, 2026
September 18, 2026

Recent results

September 11, 2026
September 10, 2026
September 09, 2026
August 26, 2026
August 21, 2026
August 20, 2026
August 19, 2026
August 14, 2026
August 13, 2026
August 12, 2026
May 29, 2026
May 28, 2026
May 27, 2026

Projections 15 Sep 05:50 · 10k sim

# Team 🏆 Win Final
1 Flamengo Flamengo
33.88%
61.14%
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras
29.13%
50.97%
3 Fluminense Fluminense
17.20%
39.99%
4 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
11.15%
26.19%
5 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
3.45%
7.73%
6 Corinthians Corinthians
3.30%
9.95%
7 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
1.53%
2.72%
8 Platense Platense
0.36%
1.31%

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers
1 A. Arce
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
9
2 C. González
C. González
Independiente del Valle
7
3 Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
5
4 F. Fydriszewski
F. Fydriszewski
Independiente Medellin
4
5 F. Zampedri
F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
4
6 Matheus Pereira
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
4
7 L. Melgarejo
L. Melgarejo
Libertad Asuncion
4
8 J. Arias
J. Arias
Palmeiras
3
9 Gustavo Henrique
Gustavo Henrique
Corinthians
3
10 G. Vadalá
G. Vadalá
Coquimbo Unido
3
👟 Assists
1 R. Garro
R. Garro
Corinthians
5
2 J. López
J. López
Palmeiras
4
3 M. Fernández
M. Fernández
Independ. Rivadavia
4
4 S. Villa
S. Villa
Independ. Rivadavia
3
5 Pedro
Pedro
Flamengo
3
6 Alesson
Alesson
Mirassol
3
7 J. Corozo
J. Corozo
LDU de Quito
3
8 L. Blanco
L. Blanco
Boca Juniors
3
9 M. Díaz
M. Díaz
Universidad Catolica
3
10 Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1 M. Céliz
M. Céliz
Barcelona SC
5
2 G. Távara
G. Távara
Sporting Cristal
5
3 Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
Estudiantes L.P.
5
4 T. Palacios
T. Palacios
Estudiantes L.P.
5
5 Yerlin Quinonez
Yerlin Quinonez
LDU de Quito
4
6 A. Rangel
A. Rangel
Barcelona SC
4
7 F. Ogaz
F. Ogaz
O'Higgins
3
8 S. Guzmán
S. Guzmán
Deportes Tolima
3
9 C. Arrieta
C. Arrieta
Deportes Tolima
3
10 F. Fydriszewski
F. Fydriszewski
Independiente Medellin
3
🟥 Red cards
1 M. Céliz
M. Céliz
Barcelona SC
1
2 J. Sornoza
J. Sornoza
Independiente del Valle
1
3 Gerson
Gerson
Cruzeiro
1
4 K. Flórez
K. Flórez
Deportes Tolima
1
5 Raniele
Raniele
Corinthians
1
6 Andreas Pereira
Andreas Pereira
Palmeiras
1
7 R. Peralta
R. Peralta
Juventud
1
8 P. Lago
P. Lago
Juventud
1
9 Jesús Sagredo
Jesús Sagredo
Bolívar
1
10 T. Guidara
T. Guidara
Lanus
1

Model calibration for this league

Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 9 55.00% 77.8% +22.80%
60–70%% 12 65.00% 75.0% +10.00%
Based on 23 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve

# Team Goals xG Δ
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 15 11.61 +3.39
2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 11 7.81 +3.19
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 6 3.49 +2.51
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 7 4.54 +2.46
5 Santa Fe Santa Fe 6 3.95 +2.05
6 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 7 5.33 +1.67
7 U. Catolica U. Catolica 9 7.36 +1.64
8 Platense Platense 9 7.91 +1.09
9 Bolívar Bolívar 6 5.20 +0.80
10 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 10 9.32 +0.68
11 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 5 4.36 +0.64
12 Juventud Juventud 8 7.88 +0.12
13 Penarol Penarol 4 3.90 +0.10
14 Always Ready Always Ready 7 6.94 +0.06
15 UCV UCV 7 7.06 -0.06
16 Flamengo Flamengo 14 14.13 -0.13
17 Universitario Universitario 5 5.16 -0.16
18 Mirassol Mirassol 8 8.21 -0.21
19 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 15 15.22 -0.22
20 Fluminense Fluminense 7 7.27 -0.27
21 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 4.41 -0.41
22 Corinthians Corinthians 8 8.45 -0.45
23 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 4 4.49 -0.49
24 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 5 5.61 -0.61
25 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 9 9.63 -0.63
26 Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC 3 3.63 -0.63
27 Cusco Cusco 4 4.94 -0.94
28 O'Higgins O'Higgins 3 4.01 -1.01
29 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 9 10.04 -1.04
30 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 10 11.19 -1.19
31 Botafogo Botafogo 3 4.44 -1.44
32 Palmeiras Palmeiras 12 13.73 -1.73
33 Rosario Central Rosario Central 9 10.83 -1.83
34 Junior Junior 5 6.94 -1.94
35 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 6 8.13 -2.13
36 Lanus Lanus 3 5.57 -2.57
37 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 10 12.63 -2.63
38 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 11 13.91 -2.91
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Copa Libertadores?
For Copa Libertadores, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Copa Libertadores?
Accuracy for Copa Libertadores is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Copa Libertadores using per-league historical data.
How are Copa Libertadores season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.