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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores

Sud America  · Season 2026
2026 2025
76.20%
1X2 accuracy · 21 predictions (3 months)

Bracket

Qualification Round 1
Qualification Round 2
Qualification Round 3
Round of 16
Finale
Final
TBD · TBD

League stage
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15–6 +9 16
2 Flamengo Flamengo 5 4 1 0 11–2 +9 13
3 Rosario Central Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 9–1 +8 13
4 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11–6 +5 13
5 U. Catolica U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 8–4 +4 13
6 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 6–2 +4 13
7 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 8–5 +3 12
8 Mirassol Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7–4 +3 12
9 Palmeiras Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10–5 +5 11
10 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8–3 +5 11
11 Corinthians Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8–4 +4 11
12 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 8–6 +2 10
13 Platense Platense 6 3 1 2 8–7 +1 10
14 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 6–5 +1 9
15 UCV UCV 6 3 0 3 7–11 -4 9
16 Lanus Lanus 6 3 0 3 3–7 -4 9
17 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 7–6 +1 8
18 Fluminense Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7–7 +0 8
19 Santa Fe Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6–7 -1 8
20 Club Nacional Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 7–9 -2 8
21 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6–5 +1 7
22 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 5 2 1 2 6–8 -2 7
23 Universitario Universitario 6 1 3 2 5–6 -1 6
24 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 6–9 -3 6
25 Bolívar Bolívar 6 1 2 3 6–8 -2 5
26 Junior Junior 6 1 1 4 5–11 -6 4
27 Always Ready Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7–9 -2 3
28 Penarol Penarol 6 0 3 3 4–8 -4 3
29 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6–13 -7 3
30 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 2–12 -10 3
31 Cusco Cusco 6 0 1 5 4–12 -8 1
32 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 4–13 -9 0

Groups

Group A
# P GD Pts
1 6 +12 16
2 6 +1 9
3 6 -5 7
4 6 -8 1
Group B
# P GD Pts
1 6 +2 10
2 6 +1 8
3 6 -2 8
4 6 -1 6
Group C
# P GD Pts
1 6 +9 16
2 6 +0 8
3 6 -2 5
4 6 -7 3
Group D
# P GD Pts
1 6 +4 13
2 6 +5 11
3 6 +1 7
4 6 -10 3
Group E
# P GD Pts
1 6 +4 11
2 6 +1 10
3 6 -1 8
4 6 -4 3
Group F
# P GD Pts
1 6 +4 13
2 6 +5 11
3 6 -3 6
4 6 -6 4
Group G
# P GD Pts
1 6 +3 12
2 6 +3 12
3 6 -4 9
4 6 -2 3
Group H
# P GD Pts
1 6 +8 13
2 6 +5 13
3
UCV UCV
6 -4 9
4 6 -9 0

Upcoming matches

August 11, 2026
August 18, 2026

Recent results

May 29, 2026
May 28, 2026
May 27, 2026
May 22, 2026
May 21, 2026
May 20, 2026

Projections 14 Jun 05:41 · 10k sim

# Team 🏆 Win Final
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras
13.35%
21.86%
2 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
12.48%
24.13%
3 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
10.89%
19.76%
4 Flamengo Flamengo
9.48%
18.26%
5 Rosario Central Rosario Central
9.20%
17.67%
6 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
8.17%
15.08%
7 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
7.19%
15.17%
8 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
5.57%
13.72%
9 U. Catolica U. Catolica
5.23%
11.17%
10 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
4.81%
9.25%
11 Corinthians Corinthians
4.05%
9.29%
12 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
3.79%
7.86%
13 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
1.66%
4.12%
14 Fluminense Fluminense
1.64%
4.98%
15 Mirassol Mirassol
1.43%
3.82%
16 Platense Platense
1.06%
3.86%

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers
1 A. Arce
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
8
2 C. González
C. González
Independiente del Valle
6
3 Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
4
4 F. Fydriszewski
F. Fydriszewski
Independiente Medellin
4
5 Matheus Pereira
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
4
6 L. Melgarejo
L. Melgarejo
Libertad Asuncion
4
7 J. Arias
J. Arias
Palmeiras
3
8 J. Cuesta
J. Cuesta
UCV
3
9 Gustavo Henrique
Gustavo Henrique
Corinthians
3
10 L. Muriel
L. Muriel
Junior
3
👟 Assists
1 J. López
J. López
Palmeiras
4
2 R. Garro
R. Garro
Corinthians
4
3 M. Fernández
M. Fernández
Independ. Rivadavia
4
4 S. Villa
S. Villa
Independ. Rivadavia
3
5 Alesson
Alesson
Mirassol
3
6 L. Blanco
L. Blanco
Boca Juniors
3
7 M. Díaz
M. Díaz
Universidad Catolica
3
8 Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
2
9 C. Montes
C. Montes
U. Catolica
2
10 Allan
Allan
Palmeiras
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1 M. Céliz
M. Céliz
Barcelona SC
5
2 G. Távara
G. Távara
Sporting Cristal
5
3 A. Rangel
A. Rangel
Barcelona SC
4
4 Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
Estudiantes L.P.
4
5 F. Ogaz
F. Ogaz
O'Higgins
3
6 F. Fydriszewski
F. Fydriszewski
Independiente Medellin
3
7 C. Arrieta
C. Arrieta
Deportes Tolima
3
8 J. Contreras
J. Contreras
Barcelona SC
3
9 C. Cabellos
C. Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
3
10 Cris Silva
Cris Silva
Sporting Cristal
3

Model calibration for this league

Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 8 55.00% 75.0% +20.00%
60–70%% 11 65.00% 72.7% +7.70%
Based on 21 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve

# Team Goals xG Δ
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 15 11.17 +3.83
2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 11 7.81 +3.19
3 Platense Platense 8 5.27 +2.73
4 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 6 3.49 +2.51
5 Club Nacional Club Nacional 7 4.54 +2.46
6 Santa Fe Santa Fe 6 3.95 +2.05
7 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 6 4.52 +1.48
8 U. Catolica U. Catolica 8 6.78 +1.22
9 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 8 6.88 +1.12
10 Bolívar Bolívar 6 5.20 +0.80
11 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 5 4.36 +0.64
12 Fluminense Fluminense 7 6.57 +0.43
13 Mirassol Mirassol 7 6.71 +0.29
14 Flamengo Flamengo 11 10.76 +0.24
15 Juventud Juventud 8 7.88 +0.12
16 Penarol Penarol 4 3.90 +0.10
17 Always Ready Always Ready 7 6.94 +0.06
18 Corinthians Corinthians 8 8.02 -0.02
19 UCV UCV 7 7.06 -0.06
20 Universitario Universitario 5 5.16 -0.16
21 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 4.41 -0.41
22 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 4 4.49 -0.49
23 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 5 5.61 -0.61
24 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 8 8.62 -0.62
25 Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC 3 3.63 -0.63
26 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 6 6.74 -0.74
27 Cusco Cusco 4 4.94 -0.94
28 O'Higgins O'Higgins 3 4.01 -1.01
29 Palmeiras Palmeiras 10 11.20 -1.20
30 Rosario Central Rosario Central 9 10.40 -1.40
31 Botafogo Botafogo 3 4.44 -1.44
32 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 11 12.46 -1.46
33 Junior Junior 5 6.94 -1.94
34 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 6 8.13 -2.13
35 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 8 10.28 -2.28
36 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 10 12.36 -2.36
37 Lanus Lanus 3 5.57 -2.57
38 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 10 12.63 -2.63
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Copa Libertadores?
For Copa Libertadores, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Copa Libertadores?
Accuracy for Copa Libertadores is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Copa Libertadores using per-league historical data.
How are Copa Libertadores season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.