National Division
Lussemburgo
· Season 2025/26
52.90%
1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)
Playoff stage
Regular season
Recent results
Player statistics
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 4 | 55.00% | 25.0% | -30.00% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 5 | 85.00% | 80.0% | -5.00% |
Based on 17 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for National Division?
For National Division, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for National Division?
Accuracy for National Division is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for National Division using per-league historical data.
How are National Division season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.