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National Division

National Division

Lussemburgo  · Season 2026/27
2026/27 2025/26
Matchday 7 of 30 23%

League Table

16 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 UNA Strassen — Champion 7 7 0 0 15–2 +13 21
V V V V V
2 FC Differdange 03 — Conference League 7 6 0 1 16–5 +11 18
V V V V V
3 US Mondorf-les-bains — Conference League 7 6 0 1 15–9 +6 18
S V V V V
4 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 7 5 1 1 21–8 +13 16
V V P S V
5 Progres Niederkorn 7 5 0 2 13–5 +8 15
V V S S V
6 UN Kaerjeng 97 7 4 0 3 19–13 +6 12
V S V V S
7 Atert Bissen 7 4 0 3 14–9 +5 12
V S S V S
8 Résidence Walferdange 7 4 0 3 14–9 +5 12
V S V S V
9 US Hostert 7 3 1 3 13–10 +3 10
P V S V V
10 F91 Dudelange 7 2 1 4 6–11 -5 7
P S V V S
11 AS Jeunesse Esch 7 2 0 5 13–16 -3 6
S V V S S
12 US Rumelange 7 2 0 5 8–21 -13 6
S S S S V
13 Wiltz — Relegation Playoff 7 1 1 5 12–18 -6 4
S S S S S
14 Victoria Rosport — Relegation Playoff 7 1 1 5 10–19 -9 4
S S P V S
15 Etzella Ettelbruck — Relegation 7 1 1 5 5–14 -9 4
S V S S S
16 Swift Hesperange — Relegation 7 0 0 7 2–27 -25 0
S S S S S
1 FC Differdange 03 — Champion 4 4 0 0 10–1 +9 12
V V V V
2 Racing FC Union Luxembourg — Conference League 4 3 1 0 17–4 +13 10
V V P V
3 UN Kaerjeng 97 — Conference League 4 3 0 1 16–4 +12 9
V S V V
4 UNA Strassen 3 3 0 0 7–1 +6 9
V V V
5 US Mondorf-les-bains 4 3 0 1 7–5 +2 9
V V V S
6 Progres Niederkorn 3 2 0 1 5–2 +3 6
V S V
7 US Rumelange 4 2 0 2 6–13 -7 6
V V S S
8 US Hostert 3 1 1 1 5–3 +2 4
V S P
9 Victoria Rosport 3 1 0 2 6–5 +1 3
S V S
10 AS Jeunesse Esch 3 1 0 2 6–6 +0 3
S S V
11 F91 Dudelange 3 1 0 2 4–7 -3 3
S V S
12 Atert Bissen 3 1 0 2 3–6 -3 3
V S S
13 Résidence Walferdange — Relegation Playoff 4 1 0 3 4–8 -4 3
V S S S
14 Wiltz — Relegation Playoff 4 0 1 3 4–7 -3 1
P S S S
15 Etzella Ettelbruck — Relegation 3 0 0 3 0–7 -7 0
S S S
16 Swift Hesperange — Relegation 4 0 0 4 2–15 -13 0
S S S S
1 UNA Strassen — Champion 4 4 0 0 8–1 +7 12
V V V V
2 Résidence Walferdange — Conference League 3 3 0 0 10–1 +9 9
V V V
3 Atert Bissen — Conference League 4 3 0 1 11–3 +8 9
V V S V
4 Progres Niederkorn 4 3 0 1 8–3 +5 9
V V S V
5 US Mondorf-les-bains 3 3 0 0 8–4 +4 9
V V V
6 FC Differdange 03 3 2 0 1 6–4 +2 6
S V V
7 US Hostert 4 2 0 2 8–7 +1 6
S S V V
8 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 2 0 1 4–4 +0 6
V S V
9 Etzella Ettelbruck 4 1 1 2 5–7 -2 4
P S V S
10 F91 Dudelange 4 1 1 2 2–4 -2 4
S S V P
11 Wiltz 3 1 0 2 8–11 -3 3
V S S
12 AS Jeunesse Esch 4 1 0 3 7–10 -3 3
S S V S
13 UN Kaerjeng 97 — Relegation Playoff 3 1 0 2 3–9 -6 3
S V S
14 Victoria Rosport — Relegation Playoff 4 0 1 3 4–14 -10 1
S S P S
15 US Rumelange — Relegation 3 0 0 3 2–8 -6 0
S S S
16 Swift Hesperange — Relegation 3 0 0 3 0–12 -12 0
S S S
Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation
Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
UNA Strassen
66 (40–86)
pos. ~1.7°
C12 · T11
ELO 1493
▲0%
FC Differdange 03
60 (39–80)
pos. ~3.2°
C12 · T11
ELO 1494
·
US Mondorf-les-bains
56 (32–78)
pos. ~4.2°
C11 · T12
ELO 1493
▼0%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
59 (35–80)
pos. ~3.3°
C11 · T12
ELO 1496
▲0%
Progres Niederkorn
53 (32–75)
pos. ~5.1°
C12 · T11
ELO 1495
▼0%
UN Kaerjeng 97
47 (25–72)
pos. ~7.2°
C11 · T12
ELO 1496
·
Atert Bissen
49 (22–71)
pos. ~6.7°
C12 · T11
ELO 1494
·
Résidence Walferdange
48 (25–70)
pos. ~6.9°
C11 · T12
ELO 1496
·
US Hostert
45 (22–70)
pos. ~8.1°
C13 · T10
ELO 1497
·
F91 Dudelange
37 (16–60)
pos. ~10.6°
C12 · T11
ELO 1494
▲0%
AS Jeunesse Esch
37 (17–67)
pos. ~10.5°
C11 · T12
ELO 1494
·
US Rumelange
26 (9–51)
pos. ~13.7°
C11 · T12
ELO 1499
▲0%
Wiltz
30 (10–53)
pos. ~12.7°
C11 · T12
ELO 1498
▼0%
Victoria Rosport
29 (9–51)
pos. ~13.1°
C12 · T11
ELO 1496
▲1%
Etzella Ettelbruck
28 (9–49)
pos. ~13.2°
C11 · T12
ELO 1496
▼0%
Swift Hesperange
13 (0–34)
pos. ~15.9°
C11 · T12
ELO 1499
▼0%
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 4 55.00% 25.0% -30.00%
60–70%% 8 65.00% 50.0% -15.00%
70–100%% 5 85.00% 80.0% -5.00%
Based on 17 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for National Division?
For National Division, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for National Division?
Accuracy for National Division is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for National Division using per-league historical data.
How are National Division season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.