46.20%
1X2 accuracy · 13 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 0 of 30
0%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 31 Jul 2026
Champion
Champions League
Conference League
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
41 (17–67)
pos. ~8.7°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1500
|
▼0% | ||
| 2 |
41 (16–68)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1499
|
▲0% | ||
| 3 |
42 (17–70)
pos. ~8.1°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1498
|
▼0% | ||
| 4 |
42 (13–70)
pos. ~8.0°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
| 5 |
42 (14–70)
pos. ~8.4°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1499
|
▼0% | ||
| 6 |
42 (12–68)
pos. ~8.4°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1499
|
▼0% | ||
| 7 |
41 (16–70)
pos. ~8.9°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1500
|
▲0% | ||
| 8 |
41 (17–69)
pos. ~9.0°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1501
|
▲0% | ||
| 9 |
41 (11–68)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1499
|
▲0% | ||
| 10 |
41 (17–67)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1499
|
▼0% | ||
| 11 |
40 (14–68)
pos. ~9.1°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1501
|
▲0% | ||
| 12 |
42 (19–71)
pos. ~8.0°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1498
|
▲0% | ||
| 13 |
41 (17–70)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1499
|
▲0% | ||
| 14 |
42 (18–70)
pos. ~8.0°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1498
|
▼1% | ||
| 15 |
41 (16–69)
pos. ~8.8°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1500
|
▼0% | ||
| 16 |
42 (14–69)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C15 · T15
ELO 1499
|
▲0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 4 | 55.00% | 25.0% | -30.00% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 5 | 85.00% | 80.0% | -5.00% |
Based on 17 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for National Division?
For National Division, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for National Division?
Accuracy for National Division is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for National Division using per-league historical data.
How are National Division season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.