Canadian Premier League
Canada
· Season 2026
55.00%
1X2 accuracy · 20 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 22 of 14
157%
🏆
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Playoff
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
65 (53–70)
pos. ~1.1°
|
C4 · T3
ELO 1483
|
▲10% | ||
|
58 (47–66)
pos. ~2.0°
|
C3 · T4
ELO 1484
|
▼10% | ||
|
42 (34–52)
pos. ~3.3°
|
C3 · T3
ELO 1497
|
▼0% | ||
|
37 (30–48)
pos. ~4.1°
|
C3 · T3
ELO 1497
|
▼0% | ||
|
30 (23–41)
pos. ~6.2°
|
C4 · T2
ELO 1502
|
▲0% | ||
|
33 (23–47)
pos. ~5.5°
|
C4 · T4
ELO 1492
|
· | ||
|
31 (22–43)
pos. ~6.0°
|
C3 · T4
ELO 1488
|
▼0% | ||
|
16 (10–31)
pos. ~8.0°
|
C3 · T4
ELO 1507
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 8 | 55.00% | 50.0% | -5.00% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 62.5% | -2.50% |
| 70–100%% | 5 | 85.00% | 60.0% | -25.00% |
Based on 21 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlético Ottawa
|
6 | 2.55 | +3.45 | |
| 2 |
Supra du Quebec
|
9 | 7.59 | +1.41 | |
| 3 |
HFX Wanderers FC
|
8 | 6.68 | +1.32 | |
| 4 |
Pacific FC
|
7 | 5.71 | +1.29 | |
| 5 |
Cavalry FC
|
3 | 4.73 | -1.73 | |
| 6 |
Vancouver FC
|
2 | 4.06 | -2.06 |
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Canadian Premier League?
For Canadian Premier League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Canadian Premier League?
Accuracy for Canadian Premier League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Canadian Premier League using per-league historical data.
How are Canadian Premier League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.