Matchday 7 of 38
18%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
79 (52–103)
pos. ~1.7°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1497
|
· | ||
|
66 (39–93)
pos. ~4.9°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
|
61 (35–92)
pos. ~6.8°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1504
|
· | ||
|
74 (46–99)
pos. ~2.5°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1499
|
· | ||
|
64 (39–89)
pos. ~5.6°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1499
|
· | ||
|
60 (35–86)
pos. ~7.1°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1501
|
· | ||
|
60 (32–87)
pos. ~7.0°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1502
|
· | ||
|
60 (29–93)
pos. ~7.0°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1499
|
· | ||
|
60 (31–88)
pos. ~7.2°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1497
|
· | ||
|
49 (23–76)
pos. ~12.1°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1499
|
· | ||
|
53 (28–79)
pos. ~10.2°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1500
|
· | ||
|
48 (23–76)
pos. ~12.4°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1496
|
· | ||
|
43 (19–74)
pos. ~15.0°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1500
|
· | ||
|
44 (18–71)
pos. ~14.4°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1501
|
· | ||
|
44 (21–73)
pos. ~14.5°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1502
|
· | ||
|
41 (12–67)
pos. ~15.6°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1497
|
· | ||
|
42 (17–68)
pos. ~15.4°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1503
|
· | ||
|
43 (18–73)
pos. ~14.7°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1502
|
· | ||
|
35 (14–62)
pos. ~17.7°
|
C14 · T17
ELO 1500
|
· | ||
|
33 (11–60)
pos. ~18.3°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1500
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 10 | 55.00% | 60.0% | +5.00% |
Based on 13 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for J1 League?
For J1 League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for J1 League?
Accuracy for J1 League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for J1 League using per-league historical data.
How are J1 League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.