Matchday 7 of 38
18%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
74 (48–96)
pos. ~2.4°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1516
|
▲20% | ||
|
74 (49–102)
pos. ~2.4°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1510
|
▼10% | ||
|
65 (37–92)
pos. ~5.3°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1518
|
▼2% | ||
|
65 (40–93)
pos. ~5.3°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1512
|
▼2% | ||
|
64 (40–90)
pos. ~5.5°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1520
|
▼2% | ||
|
63 (37–92)
pos. ~6.2°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1522
|
▼1% | ||
|
56 (27–82)
pos. ~8.9°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1510
|
· | ||
|
64 (38–93)
pos. ~5.5°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1518
|
▼2% | ||
|
54 (29–80)
pos. ~9.8°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1521
|
▼0% | ||
|
56 (29–84)
pos. ~9.1°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1519
|
▼1% | ||
|
49 (24–81)
pos. ~12.1°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1516
|
▼1% | ||
|
46 (20–74)
pos. ~13.3°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1518
|
▼3% | ||
|
47 (22–73)
pos. ~13.2°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1518
|
▼3% | ||
|
51 (25–76)
pos. ~11.0°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1507
|
▼1% | ||
|
45 (23–72)
pos. ~13.7°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1514
|
▼3% | ||
|
38 (17–64)
pos. ~16.4°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1515
|
▼5% | ||
|
42 (17–68)
pos. ~14.8°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1512
|
▼7% | ||
|
35 (8–64)
pos. ~17.4°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1518
|
▼3% | ||
|
33 (11–60)
pos. ~17.9°
|
C16 · T15
ELO 1517
|
▲27% | ||
|
23 (2–45)
pos. ~19.7°
|
C15 · T16
ELO 1515
|
▼0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 5 | 55.00% | 60.0% | +5.00% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 7 | 85.00% | 71.4% | -13.60% |
Based on 20 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for 1. Lig?
For 1. Lig, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for 1. Lig?
Accuracy for 1. Lig is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for 1. Lig using per-league historical data.
How are 1. Lig season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.