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1. Lig

1. Lig

Turchia  · Season 2026/27
2026/27 2025/26
Matchday 0 of 38 0%

League Table

20 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Kayserispor — Champion 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
2 Antalyaspor — Promotion 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
3 İstanbulspor — Promotion Playoff 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
4 Fatih Karagümrük — Promotion Playoff 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
5 Pendikspor — Promotion Playoff 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
6 Sarıyer — Promotion Playoff 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
7 Sivasspor — Promotion Playoff 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
8 Bursaspor 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
9 Boluspor 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
10 Vanspor FK 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
11 Bandırmaspor 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
12 Muğlaspor 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
13 Keçiörengücü 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
14 Batman Petrolspor 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
15 Ümraniyespor 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
16 Bodrum FK 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
17 Manisa F.K. — Relegation 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
18 Esenler Erokspor — Relegation 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
19 Mardin 1969 — Relegation 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
20 Iğdır FK — Relegation 0 0 0 0 0–0 +0 0
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 31 Jul 2026
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation
# Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
1 Kayserispor
45 (16–75)
pos. ~14.9°
C19 · T19
ELO 1534
▲0%
2 Antalyaspor
46 (18–73)
pos. ~14.8°
C19 · T19
ELO 1534
▼0%
3 İstanbulspor
52 (21–81)
pos. ~11.1°
C19 · T19
ELO 1528
▲1%
4 Fatih Karagümrük
48 (17–79)
pos. ~13.2°
C19 · T19
ELO 1531
▲1%
5 Pendikspor
53 (25–81)
pos. ~10.4°
C19 · T19
ELO 1527
▲1%
6 Sarıyer
52 (19–85)
pos. ~10.8°
C19 · T19
ELO 1528
▼0%
7 Sivasspor
50 (21–80)
pos. ~12.1°
C19 · T19
ELO 1530
▼0%
8 Bursaspor
62 (29–90)
pos. ~4.9°
C19 · T19
ELO 1519
▼1%
9 Boluspor
48 (22–80)
pos. ~13.5°
C19 · T19
ELO 1531
▲1%
10 Vanspor FK
49 (21–79)
pos. ~12.9°
C19 · T19
ELO 1531
▼1%
11 Bandırmaspor
55 (23–91)
pos. ~9.1°
C19 · T19
ELO 1526
▲0%
12 Muğlaspor
57 (27–88)
pos. ~7.6°
C19 · T19
ELO 1524
▲0%
13 Keçiörengücü
54 (27–84)
pos. ~9.2°
C19 · T19
ELO 1526
▼0%
14 Batman Petrolspor
60 (28–88)
pos. ~6.0°
C19 · T19
ELO 1521
▲0%
15 Ümraniyespor
49 (21–83)
pos. ~12.6°
C19 · T19
ELO 1530
▲0%
16 Bodrum FK
55 (24–87)
pos. ~8.8°
C19 · T19
ELO 1525
·
17 Manisa F.K.
52 (21–82)
pos. ~10.7°
C19 · T19
ELO 1528
▼1%
18 Esenler Erokspor
57 (30–88)
pos. ~7.4°
C19 · T19
ELO 1523
▼0%
19 Mardin 1969
57 (26–86)
pos. ~7.5°
C19 · T19
ELO 1524
▲1%
20 Iğdır FK
49 (17–82)
pos. ~12.5°
C19 · T19
ELO 1530
▼0%
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 4 55.00% 50.0% -5.00%
60–70%% 8 65.00% 50.0% -15.00%
70–100%% 7 85.00% 71.4% -13.60%
Based on 19 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for 1. Lig?
For 1. Lig, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for 1. Lig?
Accuracy for 1. Lig is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for 1. Lig using per-league historical data.
How are 1. Lig season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.