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Virsliga

Lettonia · Season 2026

56.70%

1X2 accuracy · 30 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 30 of 18 167%

🏆

Champion 2026

Rīgas FS

Mathematically confirmed champion · 73 pts

League Table

10 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Rīgas FS — Champion	29	23	4	2	70–21	+49	73	V P V P V
2	Riga — Conference League	29	20	7	2	84–30	+54	67	P P S P V
3	Auda — Conference League	29	17	6	6	47–29	+18	57	P V P V V
4	FK Liepaja	30	12	6	12	41–43	-2	42	P P V S V
5	BFC Daugavpils	30	10	8	12	35–35	+0	38	S P S P V
6	Super Nova	28	10	5	13	29–38	-9	35	V V P P S
7	FS Jelgava	30	8	8	14	32–48	-16	32	P S V V S
8	Grobiņa	30	5	10	15	20–51	-31	25	P S V S S
9	Tukums — Relegation Playoff	30	5	8	17	43–60	-17	23	S V S S S
10	Ogre United — Relegation	29	3	6	20	29–75	-46	15	P S S S S
1	Riga — Champion	16	12	4	0	46–14	+32	40	V V V P P
2	Rīgas FS — Conference League	14	9	4	1	42–12	+30	31	V P V P P
3	Auda — Conference League	15	9	2	4	27–15	+12	29	V V V P V
4	FK Liepaja	13	8	2	3	26–14	+12	26	V S V V V
5	BFC Daugavpils	16	8	2	6	18–13	+5	26	P V V V S
6	Tukums	15	5	4	6	27–23	+4	19	S S V S V
7	Grobiņa	15	3	6	6	12–19	-7	15	P V P V P
8	FS Jelgava	15	4	2	9	13–24	-11	14	V S S S S
9	Super Nova — Relegation Playoff	14	3	3	8	15–24	-9	12	S V S P V
10	Ogre United — Relegation	14	1	5	8	16–30	-14	8	V S S S P
1	Rīgas FS — Champion	15	14	0	1	28–9	+19	42	V V V V V
2	Auda — Conference League	14	8	4	2	20–14	+6	28	V P P V P
3	Riga — Conference League	13	8	3	2	38–16	+22	27	V P V P S
4	Super Nova	14	7	2	5	14–14	+0	23	S P V P V
5	FS Jelgava	15	4	6	5	19–24	-5	18	S S V V P
6	FK Liepaja	17	4	4	9	15–29	-14	16	S V S P P
7	BFC Daugavpils	14	2	6	6	17–22	-5	12	V S P S P
8	Grobiņa	15	2	4	9	8–32	-24	10	S S S S S
9	Ogre United — Relegation Playoff	15	2	1	12	13–45	-32	7	S V P S S
10	Tukums — Relegation	15	0	4	11	16–37	-21	4	S S S S S

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Rīgas FS	89 (79–94) pos. ~1.2°	C4 · T3 ELO 1492	▲2%
Riga	83 (71–88) pos. ~1.9°	C2 · T5 ELO 1463	▼2%
Auda	70 (58–78) pos. ~3.0°	C3 · T4 ELO 1466	·
FK Liepaja	52 (42–60) pos. ~4.2°	C4 · T2 ELO 1471	·
BFC Daugavpils	48 (38–56) pos. ~5.1°	C2 · T4 ELO 1466	·
Super Nova	44 (35–57) pos. ~5.8°	C4 · T4 ELO 1545	·
FS Jelgava	38 (32–48) pos. ~6.9°	C3 · T3 ELO 1539	·
Grobiņa	29 (25–40) pos. ~8.3°	C3 · T3 ELO 1507	▼0%
Tukums	27 (23–38) pos. ~8.7°	C4 · T2 ELO 1546	▲0%
Ogre United	20 (15–31) pos. ~10.0°	C4 · T3 ELO 1519	▼0%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers

Paulo

Riga

👟 Assists

Paulo

Riga

🟨 Yellow cards

Paulo

Riga

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	11	55.00%	63.6%	+8.60%
60–70%%	14	65.00%	57.1%	-7.90%
70–100%%	27	85.00%	74.1%	-10.90%

Based on 52 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Virsliga?

For Virsliga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Virsliga?

Accuracy for Virsliga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Virsliga using per-league historical data.

How are Virsliga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.