Virsliga

Q: What predictions are available for Virsliga?

For Virsliga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

Q: How accurate are predictions for Virsliga?

Accuracy for Virsliga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Virsliga using per-league historical data.

Q: How are Virsliga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.

Lettonia · Season 2026

81.80%

1X2 accuracy · 22 predictions (3 months)

🏆

Champion 2026

Rīgas FS

Mathematically confirmed champion · 46 pts

League Table + end of season projections

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form	Projected Pts	Champion	Champions League	Conference League	Relegation Playoff	Relegation	Schedule
1	Rīgas FS	17	15	1	1	41–12	+29	46	V V V V V	88 (67–103) pos. ~1.3°	70%	70%	100%	—	—	C10 · T9 ELO 1495
2	Riga	17	13	3	1	54–18	+36	42	V V V V P	84 (63–99) pos. ~1.7°	30%	30%	100%	—	—	C10 · T9 ELO 1495
3	Auda	17	11	2	4	33–21	+12	35	P V V V S	68 (48–86) pos. ~3.0°	<1%	<1%	98%	—	—	C9 · T10 ELO 1495
4	FK Liepaja	17	7	4	6	23–24	-1	25	V V P S V	52 (34–74) pos. ~4.4°	—	—	2%	<1%	—	C9 · T10 ELO 1498
5	Super Nova	17	6	2	9	19–25	-6	20	S S S V V	44 (27–66) pos. ~5.8°	—	—	<1%	<1%	<1%	C11 · T8 ELO 1501
6	BFC Daugavpils	17	5	4	8	20–25	-5	19	P P S V S	43 (24–65) pos. ~6.2°	—	—	<1%	2%	—	C9 · T10 ELO 1503
7	FS Jelgava	17	3	7	7	13–31	-18	16	P P P S P	35 (19–56) pos. ~7.8°	—	—	—	19%	<1%	C10 · T9 ELO 1499
8	Tukums	17	2	8	7	30–31	-1	14	P S S S P	42 (24–61) pos. ~6.2°	—	—	<1%	2%	<1%	C9 · T10 ELO 1507
9	Grobiņa	17	2	7	8	11–29	-18	13	S S P S P	28 (14–48) pos. ~8.8°	—	—	—	71%	5%	C9 · T10 ELO 1507
10	Ogre United	17	0	4	13	14–42	-28	4	S S P S S	17 (4–35) pos. ~9.9°	—	—	—	5%	94%	C9 · T10 ELO 1510

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 14 Jun 2026

Projection trend

Rīgas FS

70%

-2%

Title

Riga

30%

+2%

Title

Auda

Relegation

FK Liepaja

Relegation

Super Nova

Relegation

BFC Daugavpils

Relegation

FS Jelgava

-1%

Relegation

Tukums

Relegation

Grobiņa

71%

+9%

Relegation Playoff

Ogre United

94%

+1%

Relegation

Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model calibration for this league

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	6	55.00%	83.3%	+28.30%
60–70%%	6	65.00%	83.3%	+18.30%
70–100%%	10	85.00%	80.0%	-5.00%

Based on 22 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Virsliga?

For Virsliga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Virsliga?

Accuracy for Virsliga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Virsliga using per-league historical data.

How are Virsliga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.