← Leagues

Virsliga

Lettonia · Season 2026

75.00%

1X2 accuracy · 32 predictions (3 months)

Matchday 24 of 18 133%

🏆

Champion 2026

Rīgas FS

Mathematically confirmed champion · 62 pts

League Table

10 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Rīgas FS — Champion	24	20	2	2	56–16	+40	62	V V P V V
2	Riga — Conference League	23	18	4	1	68–20	+48	58	V V V P V
3	Auda — Conference League	23	13	4	6	38–26	+12	43	V P S P V
4	FK Liepaja	23	9	4	10	30–34	-4	31	V S V S S
5	BFC Daugavpils	24	8	6	10	29–30	-1	30	S V V S P
6	Super Nova	23	8	3	12	25–35	-10	27	V S V S S
7	FS Jelgava	24	6	7	11	24–41	-17	25	S S S V V
8	Grobiņa	24	4	9	11	17–37	-20	21	P S V S P
9	Tukums — Relegation Playoff	24	3	8	13	38–48	-10	17	S S S S S
10	Ogre United — Relegation	24	3	5	16	23–61	-38	14	P S V S V
1	Riga — Champion	12	10	2	0	35–10	+25	32	V V V V V
2	Rīgas FS — Conference League	11	8	2	1	33–8	+25	26	V V V V P
3	FK Liepaja — Conference League	11	6	2	3	20–11	+9	20	V V V S V
4	BFC Daugavpils	13	6	2	5	13–10	+3	20	S P V P V
5	Auda	11	6	1	4	21–14	+7	19	V V P S V
6	FS Jelgava	13	4	2	7	13–22	-9	14	S V V S S
7	Tukums	12	3	4	5	22–17	+5	13	S P V S S
8	Grobiņa	13	2	5	6	11–19	-8	11	S V P V P
9	Super Nova — Relegation Playoff	11	2	2	7	13–22	-9	8	S S S S V
10	Ogre United — Relegation	11	1	4	6	12–22	-10	7	S P S V S
1	Rīgas FS — Champion	13	12	0	1	23–8	+15	36	V S V V V
2	Riga — Conference League	11	8	2	1	33–10	+23	26	V V V P V
3	Auda — Conference League	12	7	3	2	17–12	+5	24	V S V P P
4	Super Nova	12	6	1	5	12–13	-1	19	V S S P V
5	FS Jelgava	11	2	5	4	11–19	-8	11	P S P V S
6	FK Liepaja	12	3	2	7	10–23	-13	11	P S S S V
7	BFC Daugavpils	11	2	4	5	16–20	-4	10	P P S V S
8	Grobiņa	11	2	4	5	6–18	-12	10	P S S S S
9	Ogre United — Relegation Playoff	13	2	1	10	11–39	-28	7	V S S V P
10	Tukums — Relegation	12	0	4	8	16–31	-15	4	S S S S S

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026

Champion Champions League Conference League Relegation Playoff Relegation

#	Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
1	Rīgas FS	90 (75–98) pos. ~1.4°	C7 · T5 ELO 1494	▲20%
2	Riga	87 (74–94) pos. ~1.6°	C6 · T6 ELO 1488	▼20%
3	Auda	66 (50–80) pos. ~3.0°	C7 · T6 ELO 1481	·
4	FK Liepaja	50 (33–68) pos. ~4.6°	C6 · T7 ELO 1493	·
5	BFC Daugavpils	49 (32–64) pos. ~4.7°	C5 · T7 ELO 1490	·
6	Super Nova	39 (27–54) pos. ~6.6°	C6 · T6 ELO 1516	·
7	FS Jelgava	40 (27–54) pos. ~6.4°	C5 · T7 ELO 1501	·
8	Grobiņa	31 (21–45) pos. ~8.2°	C5 · T7 ELO 1533	▼8%
9	Tukums	28 (17–44) pos. ~8.7°	C7 · T5 ELO 1511	▲5%
10	Ogre United	21 (14–35) pos. ~9.9°	C7 · T5 ELO 1524	▼3%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	8	55.00%	75.0%	+20.00%
60–70%%	8	65.00%	62.5%	-2.50%
70–100%%	17	85.00%	82.4%	-2.60%

Based on 33 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for Virsliga?

For Virsliga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for Virsliga?

Accuracy for Virsliga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Virsliga using per-league historical data.

How are Virsliga season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.