61.10%
1X2 accuracy · 72 predictions (3 months)
🏆
Bracket
League Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Santander | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90–61 | +29 | 82 |
V
P
V
V
V
|
| 2 | Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65–44 | +21 | 77 |
S
V
V
V
V
|
| 3 | Almeria | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81–63 | +18 | 74 |
V
P
V
S
S
|
| 4 | Malaga | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75–52 | +23 | 73 |
P
V
V
P
V
|
| 5 | Las Palmas | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57–40 | +17 | 73 |
P
S
V
P
V
|
| 6 | Castellón | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70–51 | +19 | 72 |
S
P
V
V
P
|
| 7 | Burgos | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48–33 | +15 | 72 |
V
V
V
P
P
|
| 8 | Eibar | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52–40 | +12 | 67 |
S
V
S
V
S
|
| 9 | Sporting Gijon | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60–54 | +6 | 61 |
V
V
V
S
S
|
| 10 | Cordoba | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57–61 | -4 | 61 |
P
S
S
V
V
|
| 11 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51–63 | -12 | 61 |
V
V
S
P
V
|
| 12 | Albacete | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56–55 | +1 | 59 |
S
V
V
V
V
|
| 13 | FC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62–54 | +8 | 58 |
S
S
S
V
S
|
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50–56 | -6 | 48 |
S
S
S
S
V
|
| 15 | Real Sociedad II | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52–61 | -9 | 47 |
P
S
P
V
P
|
| 16 | Leganes | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43–51 | -8 | 46 |
V
S
P
S
S
|
| 17 | Valladolid | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44–57 | -13 | 46 |
S
S
S
V
S
|
| 18 | Cadiz | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41–61 | -20 | 43 |
S
V
P
S
P
|
| 19 | Mirandes | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47–69 | -22 | 40 |
S
V
P
S
S
|
| 20 | Huesca | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41–63 | -22 | 38 |
P
S
P
S
S
|
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39–68 | -29 | 37 |
P
S
V
S
P
|
| 22 | Zaragoza | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35–59 | -24 | 36 |
S
P
S
S
S
|
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation
Upcoming matches
Player statistics
⚽ Top scorers
1
26
Sergio Arribas
Almeria
2
24
Chupe
Malaga
3
23
Andrés Martín
Racing Santander
4
16
Asier Villalibre
Racing Santander
5
16
Jonathan Dubasin
Sporting Gijon
6
16
Carlos Fernández
Mirandes
7
15
Gorka Carrera
Real Sociedad II
8
15
Adri Embarba
Almeria
9
15
J. Otero
Sporting Gijon
10
14
Fuentes
Cordoba
👟 Assists
1
20
Iñigo Vicente
Racing Santander
2
13
Cristian Carracedo
Cordoba
3
12
J. Otero
Sporting Gijon
4
12
Manu Fuster
Las Palmas
5
10
Adri Embarba
Almeria
6
10
Peke
Deportivo La Coruna
7
10
Luismi Cruz
Deportivo La Coruna
8
9
Andrés Martín
Racing Santander
9
9
Peio Canales
Racing Santander
10
9
B. Cipenga
Castellón
🟨 Yellow cards
1
15
Mikel Rodriguez
Real Sociedad II
2
15
Iker Recio
Cadiz
3
14
Juan Gutiérrez
Mirandes
4
14
Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
Cultural Leonesa
5
14
Pablo Insua
Zaragoza
6
14
José Corpas
Eibar
7
14
Miguel Atienza
Burgos
8
14
Álex Muñoz
Almeria
9
13
G. Puerta
Racing Santander
10
13
Mario Climent
Cadiz
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 40 | 55.00% | 62.5% | +7.50% |
| 60–70%% | 21 | 65.00% | 57.1% | -7.90% |
| 70–100%% | 11 | 85.00% | 63.6% | -21.40% |
Based on 72 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing Santander
|
27 | 15.28 | +11.72 |
|
| 2 |
Almeria
|
16 | 10.27 | +5.73 |
|
| 3 |
Las Palmas
|
15 | 10.61 | +4.39 |
|
| 4 |
Real Sociedad II
|
16 | 14.22 | +1.78 |
|
| 5 |
Malaga
|
18 | 16.48 | +1.52 |
|
| 6 |
Mirandes
|
12 | 10.93 | +1.07 |
|
| 7 |
Castellón
|
16 | 15.03 | +0.97 |
|
| 8 |
Cultural Leonesa
|
12 | 11.11 | +0.89 |
|
| 9 |
Granada CF
|
15 | 15.14 | -0.14 |
|
| 10 |
Burgos
|
11 | 12.20 | -1.20 |
|
| 11 |
Huesca
|
12 | 13.20 | -1.20 |
|
| 12 |
AD Ceuta FC
|
11 | 12.67 | -1.67 |
|
| 13 |
Valladolid
|
9 | 10.89 | -1.89 |
|
| 14 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
8 | 9.95 | -1.95 |
|
| 15 |
Sporting Gijon
|
12 | 14.00 | -2.00 |
|
| 16 |
FC Andorra
|
16 | 18.04 | -2.04 |
|
| 17 |
Zaragoza
|
5 | 7.05 | -2.05 |
|
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
7 | 10.27 | -3.27 |
|
| 19 |
Leganes
|
17 | 21.53 | -4.53 |
|
| 20 |
Albacete
|
10 | 14.72 | -4.72 |
|
| 21 |
Cordoba
|
12 | 17.64 | -5.64 |
|
| 22 |
Eibar
|
15 | 21.39 | -6.39 |
|
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Segunda División?
For Segunda División, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Segunda División?
Accuracy for Segunda División is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Segunda División using per-league historical data.
How are Segunda División season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.
Real Sociedad II
Mirandes
Cultural Leonesa
Granada CF
Burgos
Huesca
AD Ceuta FC
Valladolid
Deportivo La Coruna
Sporting Gijon
FC Andorra
Zaragoza
Cadiz
Leganes
Albacete
Cordoba
Eibar