51.20%
1X2 accuracy · 41 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 0 of 42
0%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
59 (28–95)
pos. ~11.0°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1518
|
▼0% | ||
| 2 |
57 (22–89)
pos. ~12.4°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1519
|
▼1% | ||
| 3 |
62 (28–94)
pos. ~9.2°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1516
|
· | ||
| 4 |
62 (31–93)
pos. ~8.9°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1515
|
▼0% | ||
| 5 |
64 (25–102)
pos. ~7.3°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1514
|
▲0% | ||
| 6 |
59 (28–90)
pos. ~10.6°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1517
|
▼0% | ||
| 7 |
62 (35–96)
pos. ~8.6°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1515
|
▲0% | ||
| 8 |
50 (21–83)
pos. ~16.9°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1524
|
▲1% | ||
| 9 |
62 (29–96)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1515
|
▼0% | ||
| 10 |
56 (22–86)
pos. ~13.0°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1520
|
▲0% | ||
| 11 |
62 (32–97)
pos. ~9.0°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1515
|
▼0% | ||
| 12 |
53 (25–92)
pos. ~15.1°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1522
|
▲0% | ||
| 13 |
55 (24–84)
pos. ~13.4°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1520
|
▲0% | ||
| 14 |
54 (27–86)
pos. ~14.3°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1521
|
▼0% | ||
| 15 |
61 (29–100)
pos. ~9.4°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1516
|
▲1% | ||
| 16 |
53 (23–88)
pos. ~14.7°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1521
|
▲1% | ||
| 17 |
62 (30–100)
pos. ~8.9°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1515
|
▲0% | ||
| 18 |
58 (27–90)
pos. ~11.5°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1518
|
▼0% | ||
| 19 |
54 (24–84)
pos. ~14.2°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1521
|
▲0% | ||
| 20 |
50 (20–82)
pos. ~16.8°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1524
|
▼0% | ||
| 21 |
63 (32–94)
pos. ~8.3°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1515
|
· | ||
| 22 |
59 (30–89)
pos. ~11.0°
|
C21 · T21
ELO 1517
|
▼0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 41 | 55.00% | 61.0% | +6.00% |
| 60–70%% | 21 | 65.00% | 57.1% | -7.90% |
| 70–100%% | 11 | 85.00% | 63.6% | -21.40% |
Based on 73 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Segunda División?
For Segunda División, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Segunda División?
Accuracy for Segunda División is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Segunda División using per-league historical data.
How are Segunda División season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.