Primera División
Cile
· Season 2026
63.60%
1X2 accuracy · 11 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 16 of 30
53%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)
Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione)
Copa Sudamericana
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
68 (49–81)
pos. ~1.0°
|
C6 · T8
ELO 1496
|
▼0% | ||
| 2 |
53 (31–69)
pos. ~2.8°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1495
|
▼0% | ||
| 3 |
50 (33–67)
pos. ~3.8°
|
C8 · T6
ELO 1500
|
▲1% | ||
| 4 |
44 (27–65)
pos. ~6.8°
|
C6 · T8
ELO 1501
|
▼0% | ||
| 5 |
46 (30–63)
pos. ~5.3°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1498
|
▼0% | ||
| 6 |
43 (28–60)
pos. ~7.1°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1504
|
▲0% | ||
| 7 |
45 (28–61)
pos. ~6.0°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1501
|
▼1% | ||
| 8 |
40 (23–58)
pos. ~9.1°
|
C8 · T6
ELO 1496
|
▼0% | ||
| 9 |
41 (24–58)
pos. ~8.3°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1500
|
▲1% | ||
| 10 |
36 (21–52)
pos. ~11.3°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1502
|
▲1% | ||
| 11 |
38 (20–56)
pos. ~10.2°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1495
|
▲1% | ||
| 12 |
36 (20–55)
pos. ~11.1°
|
C6 · T8
ELO 1500
|
▼4% | ||
| 13 |
32 (19–51)
pos. ~13.1°
|
C8 · T6
ELO 1498
|
▲2% | ||
| 14 |
36 (18–53)
pos. ~11.4°
|
C7 · T7
ELO 1502
|
▼0% | ||
| 15 |
32 (17–50)
pos. ~13.2°
|
C6 · T8
ELO 1500
|
▲1% | ||
| 16 |
24 (11–43)
pos. ~15.6°
|
C8 · T6
ELO 1504
|
▲1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 5 | 55.00% | 80.0% | +25.00% |
| 60–70%% | 7 | 65.00% | 57.1% | -7.90% |
| 70–100%% | 3 | 85.00% | 66.7% | -18.30% |
Based on 15 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Primera División?
For Primera División, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Primera División?
Accuracy for Primera División is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Primera División using per-league historical data.
How are Primera División season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.