Primera División
Cile
· Season 2026
70.00%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)
League Table + end of season projections
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Projected Pts | Champion | Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi) | Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione) | Copa Sudamericana | Relegation | Schedule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 29–12 | +17 | 36 |
V
V
V
V
V
|
66 (44–81)
pos. ~1.1°
|
|
|
|
|
— |
C7
·
T8
ELO 1497
|
| 2 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22–18 | +4 | 24 |
P
V
P
V
S
|
48 (30–67)
pos. ~5.1°
|
|
|
|
|
|
C8
·
T7
ELO 1499
|
| 3 | Palestino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23–21 | +2 | 24 |
V
P
V
V
S
|
46 (29–67)
pos. ~6.1°
|
|
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T8
ELO 1500
|
| 4 | U. Catolica | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 30–19 | +11 | 23 |
V
S
V
S
S
|
52 (33–71)
pos. ~3.4°
|
|
|
|
|
— |
C9
·
T7
ELO 1497
|
| 5 | Huachipato | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23–22 | +1 | 23 |
P
S
S
V
P
|
46 (30–65)
pos. ~5.8°
|
|
|
|
|
|
C8
·
T7
ELO 1500
|
| 6 | Everton de Vina | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19–15 | +4 | 22 |
S
V
P
V
V
|
45 (27–62)
pos. ~6.6°
|
|
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T8
ELO 1500
|
| 7 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18–19 | -1 | 22 |
P
V
P
S
S
|
40 (25–60)
pos. ~9.1°
|
— |
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T8
ELO 1500
|
| 8 | Deportes Limache | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28–20 | +8 | 21 |
S
S
S
P
V
|
47 (27–65)
pos. ~5.8°
|
|
|
|
|
|
C8
·
T8
ELO 1497
|
| 9 | Universidad de Chile | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13–8 | +5 | 20 |
V
S
V
P
S
|
46 (28–63)
pos. ~5.9°
|
|
|
|
|
|
C8
·
T8
ELO 1499
|
| 10 | O'Higgins | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19–20 | -1 | 20 |
P
S
S
V
V
|
41 (25–60)
pos. ~8.8°
|
— |
|
|
|
|
C8
·
T7
ELO 1500
|
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12–21 | -9 | 19 |
P
P
V
S
S
|
36 (20–56)
pos. ~11.1°
|
— |
|
|
|
|
C8
·
T8
ELO 1502
|
| 12 | D. La Serena | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21–25 | -4 | 18 |
P
S
V
S
P
|
35 (19–57)
pos. ~11.5°
|
— |
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T8
ELO 1500
|
| 13 | A. Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18–21 | -3 | 16 |
P
P
V
S
P
|
34 (18–53)
pos. ~12.2°
|
— |
|
|
|
|
C7
·
T8
ELO 1501
|
| 14 | Cobresal | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 19–29 | -10 | 13 |
S
S
S
V
S
|
28 (14–47)
pos. ~14.5°
|
— | — | — |
|
|
C8
·
T7
ELO 1503
|
| 15 | Concepción | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11–21 | -10 | 11 |
S
V
S
V
P
|
28 (14–46)
pos. ~14.4°
|
— | — | — |
|
|
C8
·
T8
ELO 1502
|
| 16 | Union La Calera | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12–26 | -14 | 11 |
P
S
S
S
V
|
27 (12–46)
pos. ~14.5°
|
— | — | — |
|
|
C8
·
T8
ELO 1501
|
Champion
Copa Libertadores (Fase a Gironi)
Copa Libertadores (Qualificazione)
Copa Sudamericana
Relegation
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
14 Jun 2026
Projection trend
Colo Colo
96%
+3%
Title
Coquimbo Unido
14%
-1%
Champions
Palestino
7%
+5%
Champions
U. Catolica
2%
-2%
Title
Huachipato
8%
+1%
Champions
Everton de Vina
5%
-7%
Champions
Nublense
1%
=
Relegation
Deportes Limache
9%
0%
Champions
Universidad de Chile
10%
+1%
Champions
O'Higgins
3%
-1%
Europa Lg
Universidad de Concepcion
5%
-1%
Relegation
D. La Serena
7%
-1%
Relegation
A. Italiano
14%
-2%
Relegation
Cobresal
58%
+10%
Relegation
Concepción
55%
-2%
Relegation
Union La Calera
59%
-4%
Relegation
Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
14 Jun
Concepción
Deportes Limache
1
28%
X
32%
2
39%
14 Jun
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
1
30%
X
34%
2
35%
14 Jun
U. Catolica
Universidad de Concepcion
1
65%
X
21%
2
12%
27 Jul
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
27 Jul
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
27 Jul
Huachipato
Cobresal
27 Jul
U. Catolica
D. La Serena
27 Jul
Coquimbo Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
27 Jul
Colo Colo
Deportes Limache
27 Jul
O'Higgins
Concepción
Player statistics
⚽ Top scorers
1
12
F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
2
8
D. Castro
Deportes Limache
3
8
J. Correa
Colo Colo
4
7
J. Giani
U. Catolica
5
7
S. Sáez
Union La Calera
6
6
N. Da Silva
Palestino
7
6
S. Pino
Cobresal
8
5
F. González
O'Higgins
9
5
N. Johansen
Coquimbo Unido
10
5
L. Altamirano
Huachipato
👟 Assists
1
8
J. Meneses
Deportes Limache
2
6
J. Cornejo
Coquimbo Unido
3
5
D. Castro
Deportes Limache
4
5
K. Méndez
Union La Calera
5
5
M. Palavecino
U. Catolica
6
5
B. Carvallo
Cobresal
7
4
F. González
O'Higgins
8
4
J. Vargas
D. La Serena
9
4
C. Montes
U. Catolica
10
4
C. Cuevas
U. Catolica
🟨 Yellow cards
1
7
C. Cuevas
U. Catolica
2
6
M. Fernández
Coquimbo Unido
3
6
A. Vidal
Colo Colo
4
6
S. Pino
Cobresal
5
6
J. Campusano
Nublense
6
6
D. Gutiérrez
Union La Calera
7
6
M. Morales
Universidad de Chile
8
5
M. Collao
A. Italiano
9
5
S. Gallegos
Palestino
10
5
F. Salinas
Coquimbo Unido
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 5 | 55.00% | 80.0% | +25.00% |
| 60–70%% | 4 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
Based on 10 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Primera División?
For Primera División, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Primera División?
Accuracy for Primera División is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Primera División using per-league historical data.
How are Primera División season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.