League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Champions League
Conference League
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
53 (26–81)
pos. ~4.3°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1553
|
· | ||
| 2 |
61 (30–90)
pos. ~2.4°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1542
|
▲1% | ||
| 3 |
46 (18–77)
pos. ~6.5°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1562
|
▼0% | ||
| 4 |
57 (32–84)
pos. ~3.3°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1538
|
▼0% | ||
| 5 |
52 (25–81)
pos. ~4.7°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1548
|
▲0% | ||
| 6 |
52 (24–77)
pos. ~4.8°
|
C18 · T16
ELO 1545
|
▲1% | ||
| 7 |
53 (25–80)
pos. ~4.4°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1551
|
▼1% | ||
| 8 |
40 (14–71)
pos. ~8.2°
|
C16 · T18
ELO 1562
|
▲2% | ||
| 9 |
39 (13–69)
pos. ~8.2°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1558
|
▲0% | ||
| 10 |
40 (12–67)
pos. ~8.1°
|
C17 · T17
ELO 1559
|
▼1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 3 | 55.00% | 66.7% | +11.70% |
| 60–70%% | 3 | 65.00% | 66.7% | +1.70% |
| 70–100%% | 10 | 85.00% | 100.0% | +15.00% |
Based on 16 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for 1. SNL?
For 1. SNL, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for 1. SNL?
Accuracy for 1. SNL is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for 1. SNL using per-league historical data.
How are 1. SNL season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.