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Brasileirão Série B

Brasileirão Série B

Brasile  · Season 2026
87.50%
1X2 accuracy · 16 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 20 of 38 53%

League Table

20 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Criciuma — Champion 20 11 7 2 23–12 +11 40
P V V V V
2 Juventude — Promotion 20 10 5 5 22–12 +10 35
V S V V P
3 Operario-PR — Promotion Playoff 20 10 5 5 28–25 +3 35
S V P V V
4 Fortaleza EC — Promotion Playoff 20 10 4 6 23–19 +4 34
V S V S V
5 Vila Nova — Promotion Playoff 20 10 4 6 27–24 +3 34
S V S S V
6 Novorizontino — Promotion Playoff 20 9 6 5 32–19 +13 33
V S S S V
7 Atletico Goianiense 20 8 7 5 23–20 +3 31
V V P V S
8 CRB 20 8 5 7 31–32 -1 29
V V V P S
9 Goias 20 8 5 7 21–26 -5 29
S P V P V
10 Sport Recife 20 6 11 3 25–19 +6 29
P P P P S
11 Athletic Club 20 6 10 4 19–18 +1 28
P V P P S
12 São Bernardo 20 7 6 7 28–23 +5 27
S S P P S
13 Nautico Recife 20 7 4 9 24–24 +0 25
P V S S P
14 Cuiaba 20 5 10 5 15–15 +0 25
P S S P V
15 Botafogo SP 20 6 6 8 24–21 +3 24
S V P P V
16 Ceara 20 5 7 8 20–25 -5 22
V S P P S
17 Londrina — Relegation 20 5 5 10 27–31 -4 20
S S P P V
18 Avai — Relegation 20 5 5 10 21–27 -6 20
S V P V S
19 America Mineiro — Relegation 20 2 5 13 14–31 -17 11
V S P P S
20 Ponte Preta — Relegation 20 2 3 15 15–39 -24 9
P S S S S
1 Juventude — Champion 11 8 2 1 15–1 +14 26
V V V V V
2 Fortaleza EC — Promotion 10 8 1 1 18–8 +10 25
S V V V V
3 Vila Nova — Promotion Playoff 9 7 2 0 18–10 +8 23
V V V V V
4 Criciuma — Promotion Playoff 10 6 4 0 12–4 +8 22
P V V V P
5 Operario-PR — Promotion Playoff 10 6 3 1 15–11 +4 21
P V V V V
6 Atletico Goianiense — Promotion Playoff 11 5 4 2 15–10 +5 19
P V V P V
7 Novorizontino 9 5 2 2 14–10 +4 17
V P V V S
8 Sport Recife 11 3 7 1 17–13 +4 16
P P P P P
9 Athletic Club 10 4 4 2 9–7 +2 16
V P V S V
10 Goias 9 5 1 3 9–11 -2 16
V S S V P
11 Avai 10 4 3 3 12–10 +2 15
S S V V V
12 Botafogo SP 9 4 2 3 17–11 +6 14
S V S V V
13 CRB 10 4 2 4 18–14 +4 14
S P P V V
14 Cuiaba 10 3 5 2 8–7 +1 14
V V P V S
15 Nautico Recife 9 4 1 4 8–7 +1 13
V S S P V
16 Londrina 10 3 3 4 15–14 +1 12
V V V P S
17 Ceara — Relegation 10 3 3 4 10–11 -1 12
S V S P S
18 São Bernardo — Relegation 11 2 5 4 13–13 +0 11
P S P P S
19 America Mineiro — Relegation 10 1 3 6 7–14 -7 6
S S P P V
20 Ponte Preta — Relegation 11 1 3 7 8–18 -10 6
S S S S P
1 Criciuma — Champion 10 5 3 2 11–8 +3 18
P V V V V
2 Novorizontino — Promotion 11 4 4 3 18–9 +9 16
V V S S V
3 São Bernardo — Promotion Playoff 9 5 1 3 15–10 +5 16
V V S S S
4 CRB — Promotion Playoff 10 4 3 3 13–18 -5 15
S P V S V
5 Operario-PR — Promotion Playoff 10 4 2 4 13–14 -1 14
S V V P S
6 Sport Recife — Promotion Playoff 9 3 4 2 8–6 +2 13
V P S S P
7 Goias 11 3 4 4 12–15 -3 13
P V P V S
8 Nautico Recife 11 3 3 5 16–17 -1 12
P S S S P
9 Athletic Club 10 2 6 2 10–11 -1 12
P S P P P
10 Atletico Goianiense 9 3 3 3 8–10 -2 12
P V P S V
11 Cuiaba 10 2 5 3 7–8 -1 11
V S P S P
12 Vila Nova 11 3 2 6 9–14 -5 11
S S S S S
13 Botafogo SP 11 2 4 5 7–10 -3 10
S V P P S
14 Ceara 10 2 4 4 10–14 -4 10
P S S P V
15 Juventude 9 2 3 4 7–11 -4 9
P S V P S
16 Fortaleza EC 10 2 3 5 5–11 -6 9
S V P S S
17 Londrina — Relegation 10 2 2 6 12–17 -5 8
S S P P S
18 Avai — Relegation 10 1 2 7 9–17 -8 5
S S S P S
19 America Mineiro — Relegation 10 1 2 7 7–17 -10 5
S V S S S
20 Ponte Preta — Relegation 9 1 0 8 7–21 -14 3
S S S S S
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation
# Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
1 Criciuma
73 (53–90)
pos. ~1.6°
C9 · T9
ELO 1504
▼6%
2 Juventude
68 (50–86)
pos. ~2.9°
C8 · T10
ELO 1505
▲9%
3 Operario-PR
64 (44–83)
pos. ~4.2°
C9 · T9
ELO 1503
▼0%
4 Fortaleza EC
57 (38–75)
pos. ~7.6°
C9 · T9
ELO 1504
▼8%
5 Vila Nova
57 (40–79)
pos. ~7.6°
C10 · T8
ELO 1505
▲1%
6 Novorizontino
66 (46–84)
pos. ~3.6°
C10 · T8
ELO 1505
▼1%
7 Atletico Goianiense
59 (40–79)
pos. ~6.8°
C8 · T10
ELO 1503
▼1%
8 CRB
54 (35–74)
pos. ~9.5°
C9 · T9
ELO 1505
▲1%
9 Goias
53 (34–71)
pos. ~10.2°
C10 · T8
ELO 1509
▲1%
10 Sport Recife
53 (34–74)
pos. ~10.0°
C8 · T10
ELO 1505
▲1%
11 Athletic Club
51 (34–74)
pos. ~11.1°
C9 · T9
ELO 1509
▼1%
12 São Bernardo
49 (32–69)
pos. ~12.7°
C8 · T10
ELO 1506
▼1%
13 Nautico Recife
48 (29–67)
pos. ~13.4°
C10 · T8
ELO 1504
▼2%
14 Cuiaba
48 (30–69)
pos. ~13.3°
C9 · T9
ELO 1505
▼1%
15 Botafogo SP
53 (32–71)
pos. ~10.4°
C10 · T8
ELO 1504
▼6%
16 Ceara
41 (24–61)
pos. ~16.4°
C9 · T9
ELO 1506
▼1%
17 Londrina
46 (26–69)
pos. ~14.1°
C9 · T9
ELO 1505
▼1%
18 Avai
43 (25–63)
pos. ~15.8°
C9 · T9
ELO 1505
▲5%
19 America Mineiro
31 (13–50)
pos. ~18.9°
C9 · T9
ELO 1509
▼0%
20 Ponte Preta
20 (9–38)
pos. ~19.9°
C8 · T10
ELO 1509
·
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers
1 Mikael
Mikael
CRB
12
2 Bruno Santos
Bruno Santos
Londrina
11
3 Robson
Robson
Novorizontino
10
4 Boschilia
Boschilia
Operario-PR
9
5 Perotti
Perotti
Sport Recife
8
6 Gustavo Coutinho
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
8
7 Chrystian Barletta
Chrystian Barletta
Sport Recife
8
8 Everton Morelli
Everton Morelli
Botafogo SP
7
9 Vinícius
Vinícius
Nautico Recife
6
10 Janderson
Janderson
Vila Nova
5
👟 Assists
1 Romulo
Romulo
Novorizontino
7
2 Rafael Gava
Rafael Gava
Botafogo SP
6
3 Marquinhos Gabriel
Marquinhos Gabriel
Vila Nova
5
4 Robson
Robson
Novorizontino
4
5 Janderson
Janderson
Vila Nova
4
6 Dadá Belmonte
Dadá Belmonte
CRB
4
7 Mikael Doka
Mikael Doka
Operario-PR
4
8 Victor Hugo
Victor Hugo
Londrina
4
9 Bruno Santos
Bruno Santos
Londrina
3
10 Chrystian Barletta
Chrystian Barletta
Sport Recife
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1 DG
DG
Avai
9
2 David Miguel
David Miguel
Cuiaba
8
3 Daniel
Daniel
CRB
7
4 Wenderson
Wenderson
Nautico Recife
6
5 Éder
Éder
Ceara
6
6 Cristiano
Cristiano
Atletico Goianiense
6
7 Vinícius Diniz
Vinícius Diniz
Operario-PR
6
8 Lucas Gazal
Lucas Gazal
Fortaleza EC
6
9 Chrystian Barletta
Chrystian Barletta
Sport Recife
6
10 Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor
Avai
6
🟥 Red cards
1 Ian Luccas
Ian Luccas
Athletic Club
2
2 Pedro Romano
Pedro Romano
Vila Nova
1
3 Lucas Belezi
Lucas Belezi
Athletic Club
1
4 Gustavo Coutinho
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
1
5 Iago Teles
Iago Teles
Londrina
1
6 Rodriguinho
Rodriguinho
Fortaleza EC
1
7 Maílton
Maílton
Fortaleza EC
1
8 Márcio Silva
Márcio Silva
Ponte Preta
1
9 Filipe Machado
Filipe Machado
Goias
1
10 Iury Castilho
Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
1

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 8 55.00% 75.0% +20.00%
60–70%% 5 65.00% 100.0% +35.00%
70–100%% 3 85.00% 100.0% +15.00%
Based on 16 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
# Team Goals xG Δ
1 São Bernardo São Bernardo 26 19.23 +6.77
2 CRB CRB 28 22.65 +5.35
3 Vila Nova Vila Nova 23 18.01 +4.99
4 Operario-PR Operario-PR 25 21.11 +3.89
5 Juventude Juventude 19 16.11 +2.89
6 Novorizontino Novorizontino 23 20.47 +2.53
7 Ceara Ceara 17 15.89 +1.11
8 Criciuma Criciuma 13 12.65 +0.35
9 Sport Recife Sport Recife 23 23.09 -0.09
10 Avai Avai 12 12.40 -0.40
11 Athletic Club Athletic Club 15 15.51 -0.51
12 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 21 21.68 -0.68
13 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 18 18.93 -0.93
14 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 22 23.63 -1.63
15 Londrina Londrina 12 13.97 -1.97
16 Goias Goias 15 17.03 -2.03
17 Cuiaba Cuiaba 12 15.33 -3.33
18 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 12 15.63 -3.63
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 9 14.08 -5.08
20 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 18 25.41 -7.41
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Brasileirão Série B?
For Brasileirão Série B, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Brasileirão Série B?
Accuracy for Brasileirão Série B is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Brasileirão Série B using per-league historical data.
How are Brasileirão Série B season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.