Brasileirão Série B
Brasile
· Season 2026
87.50%
1X2 accuracy · 16 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 20 of 38
53%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 29 Jul 2026
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
73 (53–90)
pos. ~1.6°
|
C9 · T9
ELO 1504
|
▼6% | ||
| 2 |
68 (50–86)
pos. ~2.9°
|
C8 · T10
ELO 1505
|
▲9% | ||
| 3 |
64 (44–83)
pos. ~4.2°
|
C9 · T9
ELO 1503
|
▼0% | ||
| 4 |
57 (38–75)
pos. ~7.6°
|
C9 · T9
ELO 1504
|
▼8% | ||
| 5 |
57 (40–79)
pos. ~7.6°
|
C10 · T8
ELO 1505
|
▲1% | ||
| 6 |
66 (46–84)
pos. ~3.6°
|
C10 · T8
ELO 1505
|
▼1% | ||
| 7 |
59 (40–79)
pos. ~6.8°
|
C8 · T10
ELO 1503
|
▼1% | ||
| 8 |
54 (35–74)
pos. ~9.5°
|
C9 · T9
ELO 1505
|
▲1% | ||
| 9 |
53 (34–71)
pos. ~10.2°
|
C10 · T8
ELO 1509
|
▲1% | ||
| 10 |
53 (34–74)
pos. ~10.0°
|
C8 · T10
ELO 1505
|
▲1% | ||
| 11 |
51 (34–74)
pos. ~11.1°
|
C9 · T9
ELO 1509
|
▼1% | ||
| 12 |
49 (32–69)
pos. ~12.7°
|
C8 · T10
ELO 1506
|
▼1% | ||
| 13 |
48 (29–67)
pos. ~13.4°
|
C10 · T8
ELO 1504
|
▼2% | ||
| 14 |
48 (30–69)
pos. ~13.3°
|
C9 · T9
ELO 1505
|
▼1% | ||
| 15 |
53 (32–71)
pos. ~10.4°
|
C10 · T8
ELO 1504
|
▼6% | ||
| 16 |
41 (24–61)
pos. ~16.4°
|
C9 · T9
ELO 1506
|
▼1% | ||
| 17 |
46 (26–69)
pos. ~14.1°
|
C9 · T9
ELO 1505
|
▼1% | ||
| 18 |
43 (25–63)
pos. ~15.8°
|
C9 · T9
ELO 1505
|
▲5% | ||
| 19 |
31 (13–50)
pos. ~18.9°
|
C9 · T9
ELO 1509
|
▼0% | ||
| 20 |
20 (9–38)
pos. ~19.9°
|
C8 · T10
ELO 1509
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 8 | 55.00% | 75.0% | +20.00% |
| 60–70%% | 5 | 65.00% | 100.0% | +35.00% |
| 70–100%% | 3 | 85.00% | 100.0% | +15.00% |
Based on 16 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve▾
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
São Bernardo
|
26 | 19.23 | +6.77 | |
| 2 |
CRB
|
28 | 22.65 | +5.35 | |
| 3 |
Vila Nova
|
23 | 18.01 | +4.99 | |
| 4 |
Operario-PR
|
25 | 21.11 | +3.89 | |
| 5 |
Juventude
|
19 | 16.11 | +2.89 | |
| 6 |
Novorizontino
|
23 | 20.47 | +2.53 | |
| 7 |
Ceara
|
17 | 15.89 | +1.11 | |
| 8 |
Criciuma
|
13 | 12.65 | +0.35 | |
| 9 |
Sport Recife
|
23 | 23.09 | -0.09 | |
| 10 |
Avai
|
12 | 12.40 | -0.40 | |
| 11 |
Athletic Club
|
15 | 15.51 | -0.51 | |
| 12 |
Fortaleza EC
|
21 | 21.68 | -0.68 | |
| 13 |
Botafogo SP
|
18 | 18.93 | -0.93 | |
| 14 |
Nautico Recife
|
22 | 23.63 | -1.63 | |
| 15 |
Londrina
|
12 | 13.97 | -1.97 | |
| 16 |
Goias
|
15 | 17.03 | -2.03 | |
| 17 |
Cuiaba
|
12 | 15.33 | -3.33 | |
| 18 |
Ponte Preta
|
12 | 15.63 | -3.63 | |
| 19 |
America Mineiro
|
9 | 14.08 | -5.08 | |
| 20 |
Atletico Goianiense
|
18 | 25.41 | -7.41 |
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Brasileirão Série B?
For Brasileirão Série B, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Brasileirão Série B?
Accuracy for Brasileirão Série B is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Brasileirão Série B using per-league historical data.
How are Brasileirão Série B season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.
São Bernardo
CRB
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Juventude
Novorizontino
Ceara
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Avai
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Goias
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense