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Brasileirão Série B

Brasileirão Série B

Brasile  · Season 2026
81.30%
1X2 accuracy · 32 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 28 of 38 74%

League Table

20 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Novorizontino — Champion 28 14 8 6 48–25 +23 50
P V V V V
2 Juventude — Promotion 28 14 8 6 30–17 +13 50
S V P P V
3 Vila Nova — Promotion Playoff 28 14 6 8 40–31 +9 48
P V S V P
4 Fortaleza EC — Promotion Playoff 28 13 9 6 31–23 +8 48
P V V P V
5 Criciuma — Promotion Playoff 28 13 8 7 28–25 +3 47
S S V S S
6 Atletico Goianiense — Promotion Playoff 28 12 10 6 36–26 +10 46
V V P V V
7 Operario-PR 27 12 7 8 36–33 +3 43
V V P P S
8 CRB 27 12 6 9 40–39 +1 42
S V V S V
9 Sport Recife 27 10 11 6 36–26 +10 41
V S S V S
10 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33–30 +3 40
V S V S S
11 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27–22 +5 40
P V S V P
12 Goias 28 11 6 11 28–34 -6 39
V S S V P
13 São Bernardo 28 10 8 10 39–31 +8 38
V S V S P
14 Nautico Recife 27 10 7 10 32–30 +2 37
S V V P V
15 Ceara 28 8 8 12 29–36 -7 32
P S V S V
16 Botafogo SP 28 8 7 13 31–35 -4 31
S S S S S
17 Avai — Relegation 28 8 6 14 29–36 -7 30
P S S S V
18 Londrina — Relegation 27 6 7 14 32–39 -7 25
V S P S P
19 America Mineiro — Relegation 28 4 5 19 21–48 -27 17
S V S V S
20 Ponte Preta — Relegation 27 2 4 21 16–56 -40 10
S S S S S
1 Vila Nova — Champion 13 10 2 1 28–11 +17 32
V S V V V
2 Juventude — Promotion 15 9 4 2 19–6 +13 31
V P V P S
3 Fortaleza EC — Promotion Playoff 14 9 4 1 22–11 +11 31
V P P V P
4 Atletico Goianiense — Promotion Playoff 15 8 4 3 24–13 +11 28
V S V V V
5 Criciuma — Promotion Playoff 14 8 4 2 15–8 +7 28
P V S V S
6 Novorizontino — Promotion Playoff 14 8 3 3 23–14 +9 27
S V V V P
7 Sport Recife 14 6 7 1 24–14 +10 25
P P V V V
8 Operario-PR 14 7 4 3 20–16 +4 25
V S S P V
9 Nautico Recife 13 7 2 4 13–9 +4 23
V P V V V
10 Cuiaba 14 5 7 2 14–9 +5 22
S P V P V
11 Athletic Club 14 6 4 4 17–13 +4 22
V V S S V
12 Goias 13 7 1 5 12–14 -2 22
P V S V S
13 CRB 13 6 3 4 23–16 +7 21
V V P V V
14 Ceara 14 6 3 5 17–16 +1 21
S V S V V
15 Avai 14 5 4 5 15–14 +1 19
V S V S P
16 Botafogo SP 14 5 3 6 23–21 +2 18
V P S S S
17 Londrina — Relegation 13 3 5 5 16–16 +0 14
P S P P S
18 São Bernardo — Relegation 14 2 6 6 15–17 -2 12
P S S P S
19 America Mineiro — Relegation 14 3 3 8 12–20 -8 12
V S V V S
20 Ponte Preta — Relegation 14 1 4 9 9–23 -14 7
S P P S S
1 São Bernardo — Champion 14 8 2 4 24–14 +10 26
V P S V V
2 Novorizontino — Promotion 14 6 5 3 25–11 +14 23
S V P V V
3 CRB — Promotion Playoff 14 6 3 5 17–23 -6 21
V V V S S
4 Juventude — Promotion Playoff 13 5 4 4 11–11 +0 19
S V V P V
5 Criciuma — Promotion Playoff 14 5 4 5 13–17 -4 19
V S P S S
6 Cuiaba — Promotion Playoff 14 4 6 4 13–13 +0 18
P V V S P
7 Athletic Club 14 4 6 4 16–17 -1 18
P V S S V
8 Operario-PR 13 5 3 5 16–17 -1 18
P S S P V
9 Atletico Goianiense 13 4 6 3 12–13 -1 18
V P P V P
10 Fortaleza EC 14 4 5 5 9–12 -3 17
S P P V V
11 Goias 15 4 5 6 16–20 -4 17
S S P S V
12 Sport Recife 13 4 4 5 12–12 +0 16
P V S S S
13 Vila Nova 15 4 4 7 12–20 -8 16
S V P S P
14 Nautico Recife 14 3 5 6 19–21 -2 14
S P P P S
15 Botafogo SP 14 3 4 7 8–14 -6 13
P S V S S
16 Londrina 14 3 2 9 16–23 -7 11
S S S S V
17 Avai — Relegation 14 3 2 9 14–22 -8 11
S V V S S
18 Ceara — Relegation 14 2 5 7 12–20 -8 11
V S S S P
19 America Mineiro — Relegation 14 1 2 11 9–28 -19 5
S S S S S
20 Ponte Preta — Relegation 13 1 0 12 7–33 -26 3
S S S S S
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation
Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
Novorizontino
70 (57–80)
pos. ~1.9°
C5 · T5
ELO 1505
▼3%
Juventude
67 (53–80)
pos. ~3.0°
C4 · T6
ELO 1490
▲1%
Vila Nova
65 (52–78)
pos. ~4.0°
C6 · T4
ELO 1510
▲1%
Fortaleza EC
65 (51–78)
pos. ~4.2°
C5 · T5
ELO 1499
▲1%
Criciuma
59 (47–73)
pos. ~7.9°
C5 · T5
ELO 1492
▲0%
Atletico Goianiense
63 (49–76)
pos. ~5.1°
C4 · T6
ELO 1504
▲0%
Operario-PR
59 (44–74)
pos. ~7.8°
C5 · T6
ELO 1496
▲1%
CRB
60 (47–75)
pos. ~7.0°
C6 · T5
ELO 1497
·
Sport Recife
57 (43–74)
pos. ~8.8°
C5 · T6
ELO 1519
▼3%
Athletic Club
55 (40–70)
pos. ~10.5°
C5 · T5
ELO 1506
·
Cuiaba
57 (44–70)
pos. ~9.0°
C5 · T5
ELO 1493
▼0%
Goias
52 (40–66)
pos. ~12.3°
C6 · T4
ELO 1505
▼4%
São Bernardo
52 (39–66)
pos. ~12.2°
C5 · T5
ELO 1525
▼5%
Nautico Recife
52 (38–67)
pos. ~12.2°
C6 · T5
ELO 1520
▼0%
Ceara
44 (32–60)
pos. ~15.6°
C5 · T5
ELO 1508
▼1%
Botafogo SP
42 (31–57)
pos. ~16.4°
C5 · T5
ELO 1498
▲18%
Avai
44 (31–60)
pos. ~15.8°
C5 · T5
ELO 1494
▼6%
Londrina
38 (26–52)
pos. ~17.5°
C6 · T5
ELO 1494
▼1%
America Mineiro
24 (17–38)
pos. ~19.0°
C5 · T5
ELO 1515
·
Ponte Preta
14 (10–26)
pos. ~20.0°
C5 · T6
ELO 1521
·
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers
1 Mikael
Mikael
CRB
15
2 Robson
Robson
Novorizontino
13
3 Perotti
Perotti
Sport Recife
11
4 Bruno Santos
Bruno Santos
Londrina
11
5 Boschilia
Boschilia
Operario-PR
11
6 Gustavo Coutinho
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
10
7 Chrystian Barletta
Chrystian Barletta
Sport Recife
9
8 Everton Morelli
Everton Morelli
Botafogo SP
8
9 Kadu
Kadu
Goias
7
10 Janderson
Janderson
Vila Nova
6
👟 Assists
1 Romulo
Romulo
Novorizontino
8
2 Rafael Gava
Rafael Gava
Botafogo SP
7
3 Janderson
Janderson
Vila Nova
6
4 Marquinhos Gabriel
Marquinhos Gabriel
Vila Nova
6
5 Robson
Robson
Novorizontino
5
6 Dadá Belmonte
Dadá Belmonte
CRB
5
7 Juninho
Juninho
Novorizontino
4
8 Jean Lucas
Jean Lucas
Avai
4
9 Soares Geovany
Soares Geovany
Atletico Goianiense
4
10 Eduardo
Eduardo
São Bernardo
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1 DG
DG
Avai
11
2 David Miguel
David Miguel
Cuiaba
9
3 Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor
Avai
8
4 Dudu
Dudu
Vila Nova
7
5 Diogo Batista
Diogo Batista
Athletic Club
7
6 Daniel
Daniel
CRB
7
7 Vinícius Diniz
Vinícius Diniz
Operario-PR
7
8 Guilherme Lopes
Guilherme Lopes
Atletico Goianiense
7
9 Cristiano
Cristiano
Atletico Goianiense
7
10 Boschilia
Boschilia
Operario-PR
7
🟥 Red cards
1 Ian Luccas
Ian Luccas
Athletic Club
2
2 J. Miritello
J. Miritello
Fortaleza EC
2
3 Pedro Romano
Pedro Romano
Vila Nova
1
4 Lucas Belezi
Lucas Belezi
Athletic Club
1
5 Rodriguinho
Rodriguinho
Fortaleza EC
1
6 Pierre
Pierre
Fortaleza EC
1
7 Gustavo Coutinho
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
1
8 Filipe Machado
Filipe Machado
Goias
1
9 Iago Teles
Iago Teles
Londrina
1
10 Tiago Pagnussat
Tiago Pagnussat
Vila Nova
1

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 15 55.00% 66.7% +11.70%
60–70%% 10 65.00% 90.0% +25.00%
70–100%% 7 85.00% 100.0% +15.00%
Based on 32 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
# Team Goals xG Δ
1 Vila Nova Vila Nova 33 24.60 +8.40
2 São Bernardo São Bernardo 32 24.34 +7.66
3 CRB CRB 34 30.13 +3.87
4 Sport Recife Sport Recife 31 27.57 +3.43
5 Novorizontino Novorizontino 32 29.36 +2.64
6 Juventude Juventude 23 20.45 +2.55
7 Operario-PR Operario-PR 28 25.59 +2.41
8 Athletic Club Athletic Club 22 20.61 +1.39
9 Ceara Ceara 20 20.26 -0.26
10 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 23 23.43 -0.43
11 Avai Avai 18 19.09 -1.09
12 Goias Goias 19 21.22 -2.22
13 Criciuma Criciuma 16 18.37 -2.37
14 Londrina Londrina 13 15.42 -2.42
15 Cuiaba Cuiaba 20 22.52 -2.52
16 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 26 28.72 -2.72
17 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 28 31.01 -3.01
18 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 13 18.99 -5.99
19 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 23 29.94 -6.94
20 America Mineiro America Mineiro 13 20.60 -7.60
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Brasileirão Série B?
For Brasileirão Série B, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Brasileirão Série B?
Accuracy for Brasileirão Série B is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Brasileirão Série B using per-league historical data.
How are Brasileirão Série B season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.