Liga MX
Messico
· Season 2025/26
52.20%
1X2 accuracy · 23 predictions (3 months)
Playoff stage
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Vincitore del titolo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3–3 | +0 | 3 | — | |
| 2 | Toluca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3–3 | +0 | 3 | — | |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2–2 | +0 | 2 | — | |
| 4 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2–2 | +0 | 2 | — |
Vincitore del titolo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Vincitore del titolo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3–2 | +1 | 4 | — | |
| 2 | Toluca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2–1 | +1 | 4 | — | |
| 3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5–3 | +2 | 3 | — | |
| 4 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3–2 | +1 | 3 | — | |
| 5 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2–3 | -1 | 3 | — | |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3–5 | -2 | 3 | — | |
| 7 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2–3 | -1 | 1 | — | |
| 8 | FC Juarez | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | -1 | 1 | — |
Vincitore del titolo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Vincitore del titolo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2–2 | +0 | 3 | — | |
| 2 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2–2 | +0 | 3 | — |
Vincitore del titolo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Vincitore del titolo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33–17 | +16 | 35 | — | |
| 2 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 32–17 | +15 | 33 | — | |
| 3 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25–17 | +8 | 31 | — | |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27–17 | +10 | 30 | — | |
| 5 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24–15 | +9 | 27 | — | |
| 6 | Club America | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20–16 | +4 | 25 | — | |
| 7 | Atlas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15–18 | -3 | 23 | — | |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 23–17 | +6 | 22 | — | |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 19–17 | +2 | 22 | — | |
| 10 | Leon | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 21–28 | -7 | 22 | — | |
| 11 | Club Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17–21 | -4 | 20 | — | |
| 12 | Monterrey | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22–21 | +1 | 18 | — | |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23–25 | -2 | 18 | — | |
| 14 | Necaxa | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18–21 | -3 | 18 | — | |
| 15 | FC Juarez | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 24–31 | -7 | 16 | — | |
| 16 | Mazatlán | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21–32 | -11 | 15 | — | |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13–26 | -13 | 13 | — | |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17–38 | -21 | 9 | — |
Vincitore del titolo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Vincitore del titolo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43–18 | +25 | 37 | — | |
| 2 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 35–16 | +19 | 36 | — | |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 32–20 | +12 | 35 | — | |
| 4 | Club America | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 33–18 | +15 | 34 | — | |
| 5 | Monterrey | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 33–29 | +4 | 31 | — | |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 29–22 | +7 | 29 | — | |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 29–23 | +6 | 24 | — | |
| 8 | FC Juarez | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27–28 | -1 | 23 | — | |
| 9 | CF Pachuca | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21–21 | +0 | 22 | — | |
| 10 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 24–25 | -1 | 21 | — | |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 22–28 | -6 | 20 | — | |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19–29 | -10 | 20 | — | |
| 13 | Necaxa | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24–32 | -8 | 17 | — | |
| 14 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24–35 | -11 | 17 | — | |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 25–29 | -4 | 16 | — | |
| 16 | Mazatlán | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 20–29 | -9 | 14 | — | |
| 17 | Leon | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14–31 | -17 | 13 | — | |
| 18 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21–42 | -21 | 12 | — |
Vincitore del titolo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Vincitore del titolo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3–1 | +2 | 3 | — | |
| 2 | Club Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3–1 | +2 | 3 | — | |
| 3 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1–3 | -2 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | FC Juarez | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1–3 | -2 | 0 | — |
Vincitore del titolo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Vincitore del titolo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Juarez | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2–1 | +1 | 3 | — | |
| 2 | CF Pachuca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | -1 | 0 | — |
Vincitore del titolo
Regular season
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34–17 | +17 | 36 |
S
P
V
S
P
|
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33–17 | +16 | 36 |
S
P
V
S
P
|
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31–18 | +13 | 33 |
V
P
V
P
V
|
| 4 | CF Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25–19 | +6 | 31 |
S
V
V
V
S
|
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28–16 | +12 | 30 |
S
S
V
S
S
|
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16–18 | -2 | 26 |
S
S
V
P
V
|
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28–18 | +10 | 25 |
S
V
V
P
P
|
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20–17 | +3 | 25 |
P
P
S
V
V
|
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19–17 | +2 | 23 |
P
V
P
V
V
|
| 10 | Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22–32 | -10 | 22 |
S
S
V
V
V
|
| 11 | Club Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17–21 | -4 | 20 |
V
P
P
V
P
|
| 12 | FC Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26–32 | -6 | 19 |
V
S
S
S
P
|
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22–24 | -2 | 18 |
S
V
S
P
S
|
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24–27 | -3 | 18 |
S
V
S
P
V
|
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19–25 | -6 | 18 |
S
P
P
S
V
|
| 16 | Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22–37 | -15 | 15 |
S
V
P
S
S
|
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13–26 | -13 | 13 |
S
S
S
S
P
|
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20–38 | -18 | 12 |
V
S
S
S
P
|
Play Offs
Recent results
25 May
1–2
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Cruz Azul
22 May
0–0
1
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
18 May
1–0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF Pachuca
17 May
1–2
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
15 May
1–0
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
14 May
2–2
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
11 May
3–3
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club America
11 May
2–0
1
CF Pachuca
Toluca
Player statistics
⚽ Top scorers
1
26
J. Galvão
Atletico San Luis
2
24
A. González
Guadalajara Chivas
3
21
Paulinho
Toluca
4
19
J. Brunetta
Tigres UANL
5
16
Á. Correa
Tigres UANL
6
15
Ó. Estupiñán
FC Juarez
7
14
G. Fernández
Cruz Azul
8
13
G. Berterame
Monterrey
9
13
Sergio Canales
Monterrey
10
13
B. Rodríguez
Club America
👟 Assists
1
12
Á. Correa
Tigres UANL
2
11
A. Vega
Toluca
3
10
J. Paradela
Cruz Azul
4
9
J. Brunetta
Tigres UANL
5
9
J. Rodríguez
FC Juarez
6
8
V. Guzmán
CF Pachuca
7
8
N. Castro
Toluca
8
8
R. Árciga
Club Tijuana
9
8
Óliver Torres
Monterrey
10
8
R. Ledezma
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨 Yellow cards
1
13
F. Gorriarán
Tigres UANL
2
13
J. Gallardo
Toluca
3
12
I. Tona
Club Tijuana
4
12
H. Martínez
FC Juarez
5
11
R. Ledezma
Guadalajara Chivas
6
11
S. Barreiro
Leon
7
11
N. Díaz
Puebla
8
11
W. Ditta
Cruz Azul
9
11
A. Carrasquilla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
10
11
D. Lainez
Tigres UANL
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 10 | 55.00% | 40.0% | -15.00% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 62.5% | -2.50% |
| 70–100%% | 5 | 85.00% | 60.0% | -25.00% |
Based on 23 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve
| # | Team | Goals | xG | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
53 | 38.06 | +14.94 |
|
| 2 |
CF Pachuca
|
41 | 27.42 | +13.58 |
|
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
|
55 | 43.53 | +11.47 |
|
| 4 |
Tigres UANL
|
51 | 41.11 | +9.89 |
|
| 5 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
45 | 37.92 | +7.08 |
|
| 6 |
Club Tijuana
|
32 | 27.87 | +4.13 |
|
| 7 |
Atletico San Luis
|
29 | 25.02 | +3.98 |
|
| 8 |
Necaxa
|
23 | 21.73 | +1.27 |
|
| 9 |
Atlas
|
24 | 23.01 | +0.99 |
|
| 10 |
Santos Laguna
|
23 | 22.44 | +0.56 |
|
| 11 |
Leon
|
22 | 21.51 | +0.49 |
|
| 12 |
Monterrey
|
30 | 29.86 | +0.14 |
|
| 13 |
Club America
|
34 | 34.90 | -0.90 |
|
| 14 |
Puebla
|
17 | 18.13 | -1.13 |
|
| 15 |
FC Juarez
|
31 | 32.39 | -1.39 |
|
| 16 |
Mazatlán
|
23 | 24.69 | -1.69 |
|
| 17 |
Toluca
|
47 | 48.77 | -1.77 |
|
| 18 |
Club Queretaro
|
18 | 26.18 | -8.18 |
|
Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Liga MX?
For Liga MX, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Liga MX?
Accuracy for Liga MX is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Liga MX using per-league historical data.
How are Liga MX season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.