Matchday 2 of 34
6%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 31 Jul 2026
Play Offs
| # | Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
29 (11–49)
pos. ~5.1°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1510
|
▲1% | ||
| 2 |
30 (11–47)
pos. ~4.2°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1511
|
▼0% | ||
| 3 |
28 (11–46)
pos. ~6.3°
|
C9 · T6
ELO 1521
|
▼0% | ||
| 4 |
27 (9–46)
pos. ~6.9°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1512
|
▲1% | ||
| 5 |
26 (10–45)
pos. ~7.0°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1509
|
▲0% | ||
| 6 |
25 (6–46)
pos. ~8.0°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1507
|
▼1% | ||
| 7 |
26 (8–43)
pos. ~7.7°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1501
|
▲0% | ||
| 8 |
22 (5–41)
pos. ~10.6°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1518
|
▲0% | ||
| 9 |
24 (8–43)
pos. ~8.9°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1507
|
▲1% | ||
| 10 |
21 (4–41)
pos. ~12.2°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1511
|
▼4% | ||
| 11 |
24 (7–44)
pos. ~9.0°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1506
|
▲5% | ||
| 12 |
24 (7–45)
pos. ~9.2°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1501
|
▲1% | ||
| 13 |
21 (4–38)
pos. ~12.2°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1503
|
▼3% | ||
| 14 |
21 (5–41)
pos. ~11.7°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1510
|
▼0% | ||
| 15 |
23 (6–41)
pos. ~10.1°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1508
|
▼1% | ||
| 16 |
19 (2–37)
pos. ~13.7°
|
C7 · T8
ELO 1515
|
▲1% | ||
| 17 |
18 (0–39)
pos. ~14.1°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1518
|
· | ||
| 18 |
18 (1–37)
pos. ~14.0°
|
C8 · T7
ELO 1515
|
▼0% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Player statistics
Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 10 | 55.00% | 40.0% | -15.00% |
| 60–70%% | 8 | 65.00% | 62.5% | -2.50% |
| 70–100%% | 5 | 85.00% | 60.0% | -25.00% |
Based on 23 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Liga MX?
For Liga MX, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Liga MX?
Accuracy for Liga MX is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Liga MX using per-league historical data.
How are Liga MX season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.